Realistic Delegate Numbers to Date (Must Read)

[nyrgoal99]

FIRST OFF

IF YOU GO BASED ON % SO FAR IN ALL THE RESULTS, MINUS THE WINNER TAKE ALLS (BASICALLY WHAT THE NETWORKS ARE DOING)

ROMNEY 114
PAUL 39
SANTORUM 50
GINGRICH 40


NOW FACTOR IN OUR ORGANIZATION IN THE CAUCUS STATES (GETTING AT LEAST 50% MORE DELEGATES THAN WHAT WE POLLED)
IE: PAUL GETS 25% IN STRAW POLL, 38-50% IN DELEGATES

ROMNEY 104
PAUL 74
SANTORUM 39
GINGRICH 36





We are right in this

[opinionatedfool]

The campaign feels we'll get the majority of delegates from nv, ia, mn, co, and me. I think our probable numbers from the states thus far are higher than romneys.

[Gray Fullbuster]

The campaign feels we'll get the majority of delegates from nv, ia, mn, co, and me. I think our probable numbers from the states thus far are higher than romneys.

Got to stay in reason. Double then what the straw poll says is a good measure.

[bluesc]

Got to stay in reason. Double then what the straw poll says is a good measure.

We can take 100% from all of those states if we got enough delegates to the county/state conventions.

[nyrgoal99]

i did not get too crazy with my projections. Reasonable

[kathy88]

We can take 100% from all of those states if we got enough delegates to the county/state conventions.

Yep. Gonna be a bloodbath. Can't WAIT!

[ghengis86]

One question: are delegates bound to the straw poll winner on their first ballot? B/c the way I see it, the delegate strategy only works if we have a brokered convention (which is looking likely). Or all the Paul delegates go off the farm and vote Paul on the first ballot regardless?

I believe we're getting the delegates, but I'm not quite sure how this pans out if we don't win a few states and the convention is not brokered.

[Gray Fullbuster]

We can take 100% from all of those states if we got enough delegates to the county/state conventions.

I just meant for this threads sake, double straw vote is a good measure of our delegate support but we'll never know, maybe throw in a screwball every couple states where we only get the # of delegates to our straw vote. (I'm HOPING that doesn't happen but it might.) (This is me trying to paint accurate speculation numbers and it'll never work. :p)

[Aratus]

even with the initial numbers flat out, if ole newt gingrich is about to angrily fold and
rick santorum is whining and wimpering by april, would their totals go to mitt romney?

[Okie RP fan]

Become a delegate if it is not too late!

[Royksopp]

NOW FACTOR IN OUR ORGANIZATION IN THE CAUCUS STATES (GETTING AT LEAST 50% MORE DELEGATES THAN WHAT WE POLLED)
IE: PAUL GETS 25% IN STRAW POLL, 38-50% IN DELEGATES


Is this 'if' based on anything apart from your own speculation? Or what the campaign have told us? The campaign have told us a LOT of positive things, none of them true.

[Mike4Freedom]

Wow, this is really pumping me up. LETS WIN THIS THING!

[Simple]

I haven't seen the rosy projections so I want to look at this. So SC, NH, FL, and MN are locked in and the rest are yet to be determined?