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View Full Version : Nate Silver @fivethirtyeight: "Likes Ron Paul's chances FWIW"




Bama Boy
02-11-2012, 11:16 AM
Nate Silver @fivethirtyeight


We'll have a preview of Maine up soon. I like Ron Paul's chances quite a bit there, FWIW.

https://twitter.com/#!/fivethirtyeight

kathy88
02-11-2012, 11:17 AM
Good news today. I can feel it!

No Free Beer
02-11-2012, 12:20 PM
I am guessing that "FWIW" means "for what it's worth"?

thoughtomator
02-11-2012, 12:29 PM
InTrade odds reversed overnight too, Paul over 50% and Romney down to 44%

Aratus
02-11-2012, 12:39 PM
yes. saw it happen. yes. have been following Intrade. yes.

jbuttell
02-11-2012, 12:40 PM
Just hope this isn't an Iowa repeat... things were looking up there too. Not exactly the same... but I'm preparing to be burned yet again.

Trigonx
02-11-2012, 12:41 PM
I so wish intrade would take CC's from banks in the US. I would have made a load of money off MN and off ME tonight.

Bama Boy
02-11-2012, 12:41 PM
Here is his full analysis:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/11/maine-caucus-offers-an-opportunity-for-paul/

Bama Boy
02-11-2012, 12:42 PM
I so wish intrade would take CC's from banks in the US. I would have made a load of money off MN and off ME tonight.

You could mail them a check this weekend and have the money in your account in a week or two. There are more contests to come. I lost a ton on RP in Nevada, but Santorum winning CO put me in the positive.