LIVE RESULTS THREAD UPDATED EVERY MINUTE

[1836]

I WILL UPDATE THIS THREAD THE SECOND NEW RESULTS ARE POSTED FROM THE NEVADA GOP, FOR EVERY UPDATE.

42.9% Reporting
Pershing, Eureka, Churchill, Mineral, Nye, Storey, Lander, Esmeralda, Humboldt, Lincoln, Carson City, White Pine, Douglas, Elko, Washoe, Clark (part) counties

Romney
42.4% 6858

Gingrich
26.1% 4228

Santorum
13.0% 2102

Paul
18.3% 2966

UPDATED 11:39PM CST

[Maximus]

We can't lost to Santorum

[sailingaway]

lmyerslvrj laura myers
.@ronpaul wins #nye co, says our reporter w/ unofficial results from 991 votes: Paul 46%, Romney 29%, Gingrich 17%, Santorum 8%.

[sailingaway]

We can't lost to Santorum

we won't.

[1836]

FYI - CNN results are different because it is based on their own count of their own monitored caucuses:

ROMNEY 48
GINGRICH 23
PAUL 18
SANTORUM 11

[Miss Annie]

Could someone give the links they are watching? Please..... :)

[Jlasoon]

Ron just said on MSNBC, campaign expects 25% in Nevada.

[1836]

JUST IN: 2.2% REPORTING

ROMNEY 45%
GINGRICH 22.4%
SANTORUM 17.1%
PAUL 15.4%

[davidhperry]

lmyerslvrj laura myers
.@ronpaul wins #nye co, says our reporter w/ unofficial results from 991 votes: Paul 46%, Romney 29%, Gingrich 17%, Santorum 8%.

That makes sense, since we killed it in Nye Country last time, as well as in the adjacent Esmerelda County.

[1836]

That was Mineral county just reported in... new vote totals will be added to original post on this thread.

[1836]

JUST IN: 4% precincts reporting

Romney 37.6%
Paul 29.6%
Gingrich 19.7%
Santorum 12.9%

[Oddone]

Nye County comes through again! Come on Clark!

[Paulistinian]

JUST IN: 4% precincts reporting

Romney 37.6%
Paul 29.6%
Gingrich 19.7%
Santorum 12.9%Fuck yes. That's more like it!

[shrugged0106]

JUST IN: 4% precincts reporting

Romney 37.6%
Paul 29.6%
Gingrich 19.7%
Santorum 12.9%

thats better

[1836]

NYE COUNTY RESULTS (Just came in... Ron dominated)

RP 454 45.6%
ROMNEY 291 29.2%
NEWT 166 16.7%
SANTORUM 80 8%

[SCOTUSman]

Interesting note...with Pershing County 100% reporting (according to CNN). Ron Paul has received 8 less votes this time than in 2008. He received a couple to a few more in Eureka County and Mineral County.

[oddtodd]

Interesting note...with Pershing County 100% reporting (according to CNN). Ron Paul has received 8 less votes this time than in 2008. He received a couple to a few more in Eureka County and Mineral County.

maybe people moved?

[1836]

CNN REPORTING 8% in
ROMNEY 45
NEWT 22
RP 21
RICK 11

[SCOTUSman]

Ron Paul up 41 votes in Nye County from 2008, Romney down 108 votes.

[rb3b3]

JUST IN: 4% precincts reporting

Romney 37.6%
Paul 29.6%
Gingrich 19.7%
Santorum 12.9%

thank god, i was ready to jump off the cliff

[sailingaway]

here is the NVGOP page: http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results

[BrianH]

CNN: 8% reporting
R 45%
P 22%
G 21%
S 11%

[1836]

CNN RESULTS ARE NOT THE OFFICIAL NV GOP RESULTS KEEP IN MIND

[1836]

More OFFICIAL results coming very soon! Stay tuned...

[BrianH]

Now CNN says:
8% reporting
Romney 45%
Gingrich 22%
Paul 21%
Santorum 11%

[Paul4Prez]

Why is this thread classified as a "priority"? It's just results. It should be "News".

[1836]

Now CNN says:
8% reporting
Romney 45%
Gingrich 22%
Paul 21%
Santorum 11%

Problem with CNN's results is they are mish-mashing their own reporters' tallies with those of the NV GOP which may lead to a miscount somewhere. I would rather stick to the official NV GOP numbers.

[1836]

NEXT UPDATE IMMINENT....

[Aratus]

i agree, 1836
keep it real!!!

[1836]

Here comes Storey county

[1836]

JUST IN:

4.6% reporting
ROMNEY 36.8%
PAUL 29.5%
GINGRICH 20.2%
SANTORUM 13.3%

[Chowder]

thank god, i was ready to jump off the cliff

Good thing I brought a parachute!

[Oddone]

DAMN! 1 vote!

[1836]

STOREY COUNTY
ROMNEY 53 votes
PAUL 52 votes
NEWT 48 votes
RICK 35 votes

[1836]

JUST IN:
4.9% REPORTING
ROMNEY 36.9%
PAUL 29.2%
NEWT 20.2%
RICK 13.4%

[Butchie]

Can't believe how many people are still supporting Gingrich, bad enough they support Romney, but I guess I "get" that since he's pumped as the front-runner so much, but Gringrich? Thought Nevada was this big "Liberty" state???

[shrugged0106]

Can't believe how many people are still supporting Gingrich, bad enough they support Romney, but I guess I "get" that since he's pumped as the front-runner so much, but Gringrich? Thought Nevada was this big "Liberty" state???

There's a lot of Mormons and retirees in NV

[1836]

That was Lander county in central NV by the way, small county.

LANDER COUNTY RESULTS
ROMNEY 16
NEWT 9
RICK 8
PAUL 6

[Maestro232]

QUestion... are current results in these low populated areas an indication of the two big counties?

[vita3]

Tarkanians are in charge. I like that.

[1836]

NEXT UPDATE IMMINENT

For those with weak hearts, these next updates will probably diminish our percentages, so get ready.

[1836]

JUST IN:
5.1% REPORTING
ROMNEY 36.8%
PAUL 29.4%
NEWT 20.3%
RICK 13.4%

[CTRattlesnake]

ANd just like that...we win Esmeralda county by 1 vote!


Wow

[Brick-in-the-Wall]

Tarkanians are in charge. I like that.

Really?

http://mimg.ugo.com/200905/9682/heavy_metal_movie.jpg

[1836]

ESMERALDA COUNTY RESULTS:

PAUL 20
ROMNEY 19
NEWT 13
RICK 6

[Fermli]

I'm liking how well newt is doing and how poorly Romney is doing. I hope this holds up.

[yesman]

ESMERALDA COUNTY RESULTS:

PAUL 20
ROMNEY 19
NEWT 13
RICK 6

Ohh god that is fucking GLORIOUS

[1836]

CNN NOW REPORTING 9%
ROMNEY 47%
PAUL 21%
NEWT 20%
RICK 11%

[1836]

New OFFICIAL GOP results coming very shortly

[BrianH]

Now CNN's unofficial count:
"almost" 10% reporting:
Romney 47%
Paul 21%
Gingrich 20%
Santorum 11%

[Miss Annie]

From what I can see, Romney's lead is getting a wee bit smaller!! :D

[1836]

From what I can see, Romney's lead is getting a wee bit smaller!! :D

It will enlarge significantly when the larger counties come in. Big western counties coming soon. Waiting on Washoe.

[Maestro232]

these numbers are meaningless. Clark and Washoe will be the deciders.

[Miss Annie]

It will enlarge significantly when the larger counties come in. Big western counties coming soon. Waiting on Washoe.

At what link are you monitoring this?

[Fort Lauderdale]

NEVADA CAUCUS RESULTS

FOX http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012/nevada-caucuses-feb-4/

MSNBC http://elections.msnbc.msn.com/ns/politics/2012/nevada/republican/caucus/

[1836]

JUST IN
5.9% REPORTING
ROMNEY 37.7%
PAUL 27.7%
NEWT 21.5%
RICK 12.9%

[Paulistinian]

John King is sweating bullets right now on CNN

[1836]

At what link are you monitoring this?

Here http://www.nvgopcaucus.com/results

and here https://twitter.com/nvgop

and here http://www.epctv.com/channels/CNN-Online-Watch-4758.htm (CNN)

[CTRattlesnake]

Were doing very well in Reno

[amonasro]

Noice!!!

[Miss Annie]

Thanks!!!!!! :)

[1836]

That was Humboldt County, by the way, north central NV

[1836]

JUST IN
6.2% REPORTING
ROMNEY 40.4%
PAUL 26.3%
NEWT 20.8%
RICK 12.3%

[Butchie]

Geez, is Lincoln all Mormon or something?

[RonPaul101.com]

In the 8 counties that have 100% reported, only 1 county had more votes (higher turnout) than in 2008 and it was Eureka County by 12 more votes.

Looking like lower turnout for 2012 overall?

[1836]

That was Lincoln county.

WASHOE COUNTY, HUGE COUNTY WITH RENO, UP NEXT!

[Fort Lauderdale]

Perry, Huntsman, Bachmann and Cain are not on the ballot in Nevada!

[RonRules]

Look at the picture they have on the front page of CNN Politics:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/dam/assets/120205010644-vote-count-c1-main.jpg

go look if you don't believe me:
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/

[RonPaul101.com]

That was Humboldt County, by the way, north central NV

Why did we get abut half (30+ fewer) votes in that county compared to 2008. I see turnout was low, but has the overall population left that county in four years?

[1836]

LINCOLN COUNTY RESULTS (County north of Las vegas/clark county)

MITT 138
NEWT 16
PAUL 8
RICK 5

[Miss Annie]

At least we are beating Gingrich and Santorum so far! :)

[1836]

JUST IN
7.5% REPORTING
ROMNEY 39.3%
GINGRICH 25.1%
PAUL 22.1%
RICK 13.1%

[tennman]

At least we are beating Gingrich and Santorum so far! :)

I'm happy about that too! Pleased but not satisfied.

[RonPaul101.com]

Look at the picture they have on the front page of CNN Politics:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/dam/assets/120205010644-vote-count-c1-main.jpg

go look if you don't believe me:
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/

That and the "Intro Piece to Nevada Results" that they run every half hour that asks, "Can Newt spoil NV for Mitt...?"

CNN IS the liberal media that Republicans complain about, so WHY do they listen to CNN when they try to tell voters who they should choose?

If anyone can answer that for me, I would be forever in your debt.

[tennman]

I spoke too soon.

[RonPaul101.com]

JUST IN
7.5% REPORTING
ROMNEY 39.3%
GINGRICH 25.1%
PAUL 22.1%
RICK 13.1%

We really underperformed in Carson city County. 2% less than 2008... how?

[1836]

CARSON CITY RESULTS
MITT 656
NEWT 562
PAUL 268
RICK 252

Newt did well here

[EBounding]

Ginrich got bumped by Carson City.

[justatrey]

These numbers are going to change quite a bit based on exit polls. Official numbers have Romney at 39% but looks like he'll end up with more like 50%.

[1836]

These numbers are going to change quite a bit based on exit polls. Official numbers have Romney at 39% but looks like he'll end up with more like 50%.

Likely so... he will do very well in Washoe (reno) and in Clarke (Las vegas)

[1836]

New results very soon

[1836]

8.1% reporting
Romney 40.5%
Gingrich 24.9%
Paul 21.5%
Rick 12.8%

[1836]

That was White Pine County

[Bruno]

How can Fox and Cnn be so far off?

[GeorgiaAvenger]

Oh, Newt

[JJ2]

In non-Washoe/Clark areas, Paul is only down 3.4% instead of 5% entrance polls predict.

[Savvy Jack]

Ron Paul live coverage after the tally?

[1836]

In non-Washoe/Clark areas, Paul is only down 3.4% instead of 5% entrance polls predict.

That's precisely why the entrance polls should not be too trusted...

Official results matter.

[Miss Annie]

But we are only at 8% reporting and most of the counties have been reported? What does this mean?

[impaleddead]

But we are only at 8% reporting and most of the counties have been reported? What does this mean?

It means 90 percent of people in Nevada live in those 2 counties.

[nasaal]

Well this isn't going quite as we had hoped. I do hope something changes and he crawls back into second even if it is just a very close second.

[JJ2]

But we are only at 8% reporting and most of the counties have been reported? What does this mean?

Yeah, and entrance polls had non-Washoe/Clark areas at 24% of the vote. Interesting.

[Savvy Jack]

Mitt winner...boooooooooo!

[Maximus]

The reporting is so slow

[flamezero]

I don't know how they are reporting the votes, but this has us slightly edging Gingrich with 10% reporting in.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/nv?hpt=hp_pc1

[1836]

Washoe County up next, I THINK, but lots of delay in these next results.

[1836]

The next few results are going to be very large jumps in precinct numbers reported.

[Miss Annie]

I don't know how they are reporting the votes, but this has us slightly edging Gingrich with 10% reporting in.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/nv?hpt=hp_pc1

Nice! I will take that...... even if it is a temporary thrill! LOL :D

[1836]

JUST IN
10.3% REPORTING
ROMNEY 40.7%
NEWT 26.3%
PAUL 19.1%
RICK 13.7%

[1836]

That was Douglas County

[Savvy Jack]

well, at least Santorum is last!

[1836]

Next up is either Elko or Washoe

[1836]

FIRST RESULTS FROM WASHOE (1 PCT)

MITT 17 votes
NEWT 10
PAUL 9
RICK 5

[1836]

TOTAL VOTES SO FAR
JUST IN
11.1% reporting
Romney 41.1%
Gingrich 26.2%
Paul 18.8%
Santorum 13.7%

[low preference guy]

The polls killed us. They put him dead last, so many voters thought Ron didn't have a chance and voted for Newt. Good job for the establishment, PPP.

[1836]

12.5% reporting
Romney 40.8%
Newt 26.2%
Paul 19.2%
Rick 13.6%

[1836]

Washoe trickling in (Reno)

[Paulistinian]

Washoe trickling in (Reno)I'm so worried

[Miss Annie]

I'm so worried
Dont' worry, we still have 52 states to go! :P

[Savvy Jack]

Dont' worry, we still have 52 states to go! :P

lol, that's the spirit!

[alucard13mmfmj]

12.5% reporting
Romney 40.8%
Newt 26.2%
Paul 19.2%
Rick 13.6%

lol wasnt it the other way around before? >.< wow.

[giovannile07]

Man can't believe we're behind Gingrich, hope other results turn out better.

[mosquitobite]

The polls killed us. They put him dead last, so many voters thought Ron didn't have a chance and voted for Newt. Good job for the establishment, PPP.

This is why I do not like undecideds. I said it the other day that I hoped they stayed home and people were saying "we can convert them". No. We can't. If someone is wishy washy going into the polls - they are NOT going to vote for Paul. Sorry guys. Undecideds=establishment

[pauliticalfan]

Ha! Gingrich winning Washoe County!? BULLSHIT!

[1836]

14.3% reporting
Romney 36.8%
Gingrich 29%
Paul 18.6%
Santorum 14.7%

[Austrian Econ Disciple]

All these phonies really disgust me. They lie to your face as if what they are saying is the god's honest truth. Lie after lie after lie. Demagoguery and slander. Boy, H.L. Mencken has never been more right.

[1836]

Newt's percentage is going up because he's doing well in Washoe, surprisingly well.

[seyferjm]

:(

[Miss Annie]

Newt's percentage is going up because he's doing well in Washoe, surprisingly well.

That's because he is the "uninformed's Anti-Romney".

[1836]

Washoe county is 15.2% in. Question will be, can Newt keep his performance there stellar?

He's leading Washoe 39.9% to Mitt's 21.2%, Rick's 18.8%, Ron's 16.7%.

More results soon!

[Savvy Jack]

I am confused!

http://i44.photobucket.com/albums/f36/CurtissHawk/nevada1.jpg
http://i44.photobucket.com/albums/f36/CurtissHawk/nevada2.jpg

[Gravik]

Mitt Romney 3,569 42.5%
Newt Gingrich 2,059 24.5%
Ron Paul 1,663 19.8%
Rick Santorum 1,112 13.2%
Other 0 0%

15% reporting

[Student Of Paulism]

Christ...i dont even think Adelson's caucus will matter at this point, Gingrich's lead seems to be getting larger as well as Santorum gaining more and Ron pretty much stagnant now. So disappointing, really thought he would have second here.

[RonPaulMyPresident]

REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES NEVADA results 19% in

Mitt Romney 42%
Newt Gingrich 25%
Ron Paul 20%
Rick Santorum 13%

http://elections.msnbc.msn.com/ns/politics/2012/nevada/republican/caucus/

[The_Ruffneck]

surely the nevada gop site is the best place for the data?
all these unconfirmed sources are just confusing things

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Mitt Romney 3,569 42.5%
Newt Gingrich 2,059 24.5%
Ron Paul 1,663 19.8%
Rick Santorum 1,112 13.2%
Other 0 0%

15% reporting

Based on these numbers, Romney can't be declared the winner.

I honestly don't think these numbers are anywhere near valid.

[1836]

JUST IN
16.6% reporting
ELKO IN
Romney 38.6%
Gingrich 27.2%
PAUL 19.2%
SANTORUM 14.3%

[Feelgood]

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results

No need to post anything. This page auto re-freshes and keeps you up to date.

[RonPaulMyPresident]

Christ...i dont even think Adelson's caucus will matter at this point, Gingrich's lead seems to be getting larger as well as Santorum gaining more and Ron pretty much stagnant now. So disappointing, really thought he would have second here.

Calm down. Less than 20% of reporting is in and Newt and Ron Paul have only a 5% difference. Santorum is way behind.

[1836]

ELKO COUNTY
MITT 56.9% 480
RON 24.6% 208
RICK 9.6% 81
NEWT 8.9% 75

[CTRattlesnake]

Newt last in Elko county!

[1836]

CNN TALLY
47% MITT
21% NEWT
20% RON
12% RICK

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

JUST IN
16.6% reporting
ELKO IN
Romney 38.6%
Gingrich 27.2%
PAUL 19.2%
SANTORUM 14.3%

Based on Elko results alone, the totals don't jive.

Romney WON, yet his % goes down?
Paul came in second, yet his % goes down?
Gingrich came in 3rd and his % goes up?
Same for Santorum?

Something doesn't add up -- literally.

[Gravik]

Based on these numbers, Romney can't be declared the winner.

I honestly don't think these numbers are anywhere near valid.
Those are the Google numbers.

[Bruno]

CNN TALLY
47% MITT
21% NEWT
20% RON
12% RICK

Where is Cnn getting their number from? They had some imbedded reporters, but not that many.

[Liberty74]

Based on these numbers, Romney can't be declared the winner.

I honestly don't think these numbers are anywhere near valid.

Entrance polls. No one is close to Romney who will be around 50% or so.

Yet so many still don't understand...

[Miss Annie]

These are CNN's #s...... a wee bit different for Gingrich.

Romney 6,059 47%


Gingrich 2,697 21%

Paul 2,523 20%

Santorum 1,491 12%

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Entrance polls. No one is close to Romney who will be around 50% or so.

Yet so many still don't understand...

No, I do understand. The Washoe numbers are flying in the face of the entrance poll numbers. Romney is UNDER 40% statewide.

CNN's numbers and the "Google" numbers are WAY different.

[Liberty74]

No, I do understand. The Washoe numbers are flying in the face of the entrance poll numbers. Romney is UNDER 40% statewide.

CNN's numbers and the "Google" numbers are WAY different.

What are the Washoe entrance numbers? One must understand that the biggest county will lift Romney closer to 50% and that is Clark which is 2.5 times bigger than Washoe.

[Savvy Jack]

This just got real crazy!

[sailingaway]

What are the Washoe entrance numbers? One must understand that the biggest county will lift Romney closer to 50% and that is Clark which is 2.5 times bigger than Washoe.


only 15% of Washoe is reporting on the NV GOP one, and by twitter Gingrich did better than Ron there but Ron made it up in Clark but that was BEFORE the super special Gingrich caucus.

[unknown]

Can Clark and Lyon surge us?

[sunsense]

CNN is still being dismissive of RP.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/county/map/r/nv

Notice if you move around all the counties, they are in % order, high to low.

EXCEPT in the Two counties RP won.

He is listed in Second in both, even with more votes and higher percentages.

They just can't bear to put him at the top.

Total BS CNN media.

[sunsense]

And what happened to Lincoln County - only 3% for RP.

[Liberty74]

Caucus results went from 16.6% to 15.1% being reported?

[sunsense]

Yes, I was just going to post that and RP lost some votes.

[giovannile07]

CNN is still being dismissive of RP.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/county/map/r/nv

Notice if you move around all the counties, they are in % order, high to low.

EXCEPT in the Two counties RP won.

He is listed in Second in both, even with more votes and higher percentages.

They just can't bear to put him at the top.

Total BS CNN media.
What asshats won't even put in results in correct order...

[unknown]

Caucus results went from 16.6% to 15.1% being reported?

CNN is reporting 11,000 total vote at 15 %. FOX and MSNBC is reporting 8,000 vote total at 19%. Politico reporting 6,000 votes at 13.3%...

[1836]

15.1% reporting
Romney 38.9%
Gingrich 27.4%
Paul 18.4%
Santorum 14.5%

[Liberty74]

Yes, I was just going to post that and RP lost some votes.

Did Mineral County get wiped out?

[phill4paul]

WTF? google showing Newt in second? There is no Frikken way other than tampering. None.

[Liberty74]

CNN is reporting 11,000 total vote at 15 %. FOX and MSNBC is reporting 8,000 vote total at 19%. Politico reporting 6,000 votes at 13.3%...

CNN can't add math. If 11K @ 15% is correct, well then that means a record turnout. Yet, people are reporting slightly less turnout than 2008 @ 44K right?

[1836]

Not sure why the vote total went down on the NV GOP site

[sunsense]

I do. Nye county was showing 100% complete. Now its showing 54.5% (18/33).

[FrancisMarion]

Our total is going down here: http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results What gives?

[mmadness]

This should kill those "Super" Brochures for good now. :mad:

They were direct-mailed to Iowa, SC, FL and NV.

[Liberty74]

I do. Nye county was showing 100% complete. Now its showing 54.5% (18/33).

I see that and Mineral County is back up.

Edit: Nye back up now too.

[Savvy Jack]

explain to me how the total can go down?

[Savvy Jack]

Big JUmp!!

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/nv?hpt=hp_pc1

CRAZY!

[Liberty74]

And Ron got killed in Lyon. I swear...

[Austrian Econ Disciple]

Man, how are we down 7%.....

[1836]

18.7% reporting
Romney 38.4%
Gingrich 27.6%
Paul 18.6%
Santorum 14.7%

[Savvy Jack]

I smell a Rat!

[RonPaulRules]

This shit is so rigged. I mean look at Iowa that was rigged. They are more honest on American Idol.

[Aratus]

there is ONE county to go.

~~~~~~clark~~~~~~

[1836]

I think the Nevada GOP has dropped the ball on updating the results, honestly.

[goldwater's ghost]

Mitt Romney

1,203

56%

3%
reporting
Newt Gingrich

395

18%
Ron Paul

391

18%
Rick Santorum

151

7%


clark county with 3% has paul and newt neck and neck. of course newt's big fat moose neck flap gives him a 4 vote lead

[Savvy Jack]

I think the Nevada GOP has dropped the ball on updating the results, honestly.

That is because they are trying to figure out how to rig the numbers so Gingrich will beat Paul. A shame. I'm ready for bed...geeesh!

[sunsense]

there is ONE county to go.

~~~~~~clark~~~~~~


There is also Washoe and Lander that are still incomplete.

[Liberty74]

Gingrich beats Ron by 700 in Washoe with 99% in according to CNN. Guys I think I am going to bed. Not enough vote difference between the two in Clark to make that up plus another 600 needed. With 43% reported, Ron is in third behind Newt by 1300. We'll have to settle for third. And from the looks of it, PPP poll was dead on IMO and within the margin of error for Paul.

[Savvy Jack]

It ain't much but Paul just might take Storey. One vote behind Romney at 80% reporting

[The Binghamton Patriot]

Lets face it friends. There is no way this was a fairly conducted election. From the "jewish only" caucus to the late reporting of clark county, we are now concurrently in the midst of a stalinesque scam of the most epic proportions. Do you REALLY think the GOP was going to let Ron beat Newt? Aside from the fact that the older generations IE the baby boomers, are essentially voting themselves a paycheck, we are battling multiple fronts who are deploying every possible tactic known to man. Look at what happened to Pat Buchanan in 96- this is history repeating. I love Ron. I would take multiple bullets and die for him. The TRUTH is, we put our message out there and either the American people don't want peace, sound money, and honest government, OR they just don't understand the message and are voting at their own peril. We should go 3rd party just to get our message out on the national stage, and SINK THE GOP. We gotta draw the line somewhere.

[Savvy Jack]

The People deserve Odumbo for four more years. What idiots!

[Indy Vidual]

...We should go 3rd party just to get our message out on the national stage, and SINK THE GOP. We gotta draw the line somewhere.

Libertarian 3rd parties don't get the national stage, just ask Dr. Paul.

[driller80545]

Old people voting themselves a paycheck? I'm old, but I never got a paycheck for voting. Could you let me in on this. I could use the money.

[1836]

20.4% Reporting
Romney 39.1%
Gingrich 27.2%
Paul 18.6%
Santorum 14.4%

This is the official reporting... I will update with CNN in a moment.

[sunsense]

http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2012/feb/04/nv-nevada-caucus-time-confusion/

[goldwater's ghost]

we should go third party but let's keep this in this perspective. the strict constitutionalist approach was absent from politics since Goldwater ran in the 60s. Fifty friggin years! Ron Paul and this new generation of American Patriots brought it back. 2008 a new voice was heard. 2012 a serious player though not quite enough to complete the revolution. 2016 with Rand, we take back the country. I'm still holding out hope something may spark us this election, but if it doesnt I'm still thrilled that the constitution has made a comeback after being in the desert for fifty years. At the end of the day we must understand that we are not a sound bite philosophy but rather a deep intellectual philosophy of man, economics and liberty. The message may need more time to germinate

To those in their twenties. You are what will save this country if you just keep your faith. From someone in his forties I want to say how grateful I am for making this possible

[1836]

CNN RESULTS 43% reporting
Romney 44%
Gingrich 25%
Paul 18%
Santorum 12%

[The Binghamton Patriot]

The message may need more time to germinate

or the baby boomers can die off

[goldwater's ghost]

or the baby boomers can die off works for me lol

[RPit]

clark starting to come in it seems.

[Liberty74]

Libertarian 3rd parties don't get the national stage, just ask Dr. Paul.

That's why you run Indy ---> 30-35% of the people are registered as such.

[sunsense]

http://biggovernment.com/babramson/2012/02/04/play-by-play-of-the-nevada-caucus/

This is So pathetic !

Read it and weep.

[The Binghamton Patriot]

I have so much trouble accepting the fact that SLIMEBALL ADULTERER INDIVIDUAL MANDATE SUPPORTER NEWT GINGRICH, WHO RESIGNED FROM HIS SPEAKERSHIP over ethics charges, just beat the guy with the best voting record in the history of congress, in probably the most libertarian state in the union.

Let this serve as proof that we no longer live in a democracy- we live in a dystopian authoritarian state. It's not who the people vote for, its who counts the votes.

[PaleoForPaul]

I have so much trouble accepting the fact that SLIMEBALL ADULTERER INDIVIDUAL MANDATE SUPPORTER NEWT GINGRICH, WHO RESIGNED FROM HIS SPEAKERSHIP over ethics charges, just beat the guy with the best voting record in the history of congress, in probably the most libertarian state in the union.

Let this serve as proof that we no longer live in a democracy- we live in a dystopian authoritarian state. It's not who the people vote for, its who counts the votes.

It is rigged or retarded. I waiver between which of the two it is.

[Feelgood]

I have so much trouble accepting the fact that SLIMEBALL ADULTERER INDIVIDUAL MANDATE SUPPORTER NEWT GINGRICH, WHO RESIGNED FROM HIS SPEAKERSHIP over ethics charges, just beat the guy with the best voting record in the history of congress, in probably the most libertarian state in the union.

Let this serve as proof that we no longer live in a democracy- we live in a dystopian authoritarian state. It's not who the people vote for, its who counts the votes.

We never have lived in a Democracy. This is a Republic, there is a difference.

Personally, these BS losses are starting to grate on me. I was really expecting a solid second place win, and we arent even going to break 20% with a third place win. Its really starting to become too much. Granted it is only a caucus, but still its not much of a momentum builder when you are losing to the Grinch like this. Its ridiculous!

[helmuth_hubener]

Is this thread actually being updated still? Because http://www.nvgopcaucus.com/results shows 42.9% reporting.

[1836]

42.9% reporting. Only Clark left to go

Romney
42.4% 6858

Gingrich
26.1% 4228

Santorum
13.0% 2102

Paul
18.3% 2966

[1836]

Is this thread actually being updated still? Because http://www.nvgopcaucus.com/results shows 42.9% reporting.

Went and got busy for a while, but also, there was almost no update for a long, long time. Then a huge jump from 20 to 43 percent, probably because they leaked the results early to the press. In other words, they screwed up and did not report in the way they said they would.

[CTRattlesnake]

So what are they waiting for again?

[Aratus]

we all have been waiting for the NVgop to get past 2.8%
of clark county being in. all other counties are at 100%!!!

[1836]

I'm going to say that we can almost catch Gingrich. It seems hard to believe, but from the Twitter results I saw early in the day, we were beating Gingrich in Clark. Also, the Adelson caucus puts us up by about 120-130 votes over Newt.

I think we will get very close even if we end up in 3rd.

[splint]

So what are they waiting for again?

Suppressing Ron Paul's 2nd place win long enough that it won't make the Sunday paper??

[Aratus]

if that happens, some of the bettors at Intrade are going to be in for a surprise.

[tbone717]

That's why you run Indy ---> 30-35% of the people are registered as such.

"Independent" Candidate General Election Percentages

2008, Nader 0.56%
2004, Nader 0.38%
1992, Perot 18.9% (note he spent a boatload of his own money to do this)
1980, Anderson 6.6%

[1836]

we all have been waiting for the NVgop to get past 2.8%
of clark county being in. all other counties are at 100%!!!

I'm so pissed at the Nevada GOP. I love Nevada, and have spent so much time there for business and personal reasons that I feel as though it is a place I have a personal connection with.

However, I cannot tell you how incredibly inept they are to have claimed, arrogantly, that they would be at the fore of the digital revolution by "being the first" to report all these results and then, apparently, leaking them to CNN and the AP and FOX before they ever put them online.

That left those of us watching the NV GOP website and twitter truly disappointed.

Hell, the last tweet from the NV GOP STILL has it at 20.4%:


nvgop Nevada GOP
Current #NVCaucus results with 20.4% of precincts reporting: Gingrich: 27.2%, Paul: 18.6%, Romney: 39.1%, Santorum 14.4%, No Vote: 0.7%
50 minutes ago

Utter laziness if you ask me.

[justatrey]

I'm going to say that we can almost catch Gingrich. It seems hard to believe, but from the Twitter results I saw early in the day, we were beating Gingrich in Clark. Also, the Adelson caucus puts us up by about 120-130 votes over Newt.

I think we will get very close even if we end up in 3rd.

What were the twitter results? I'm guessing results leaked from a few precincts?

[1836]

What were the twitter results? I'm guessing results leaked from a few precincts?

Quite a few precincts... early in the day, most of the twittered results were from Clark. We were ahead of Newt in quite a few of them, even in just as many, and behind in only a small number.

Given all that, I have reason to think we can get close to catching him in Clark.

Only about 15k votes so far, and yet more than 40k votes in 2008... one has to think that even a small boost for Ron would translate very favorably here, where Newt is only ahead by a little more than a thousand votes.

[sunsense]

we all have been waiting for the NVgop to get past 2.8%
of clark county being in. all other counties are at 100%!!!


Ughh...No !

Lander has been at 44.4% for over Two hours. God knows why ?

[Ohio4Paul]

Ughh...No !

Lander has been at 44.4% for over Two hours. God knows why ?
Patience. Plotting, scheming and vote-rigging takes time. It's a science. You can't rush it.

[justatrey]

Quite a few precincts... early in the day, most of the twittered results were from Clark. We were ahead of Newt in quite a few of them, even in just as many, and behind in only a small number.

Given all that, I have reason to think we can get close to catching him in Clark.

Only about 15k votes so far, and yet more than 40k votes in 2008... one has to think that even a small boost for Ron would translate very favorably here, where Newt is only ahead by a little more than a thousand votes.

Good to hear, thanks.

We need to keep in mind that normally, once 43% is reported, the results don't really change much but that's because the remaining votes aren't all coming from one county. Normally the remaining votes are more evenly distributed across the state where the 43% already came from, so the trend doesn't change.

This is truly a unique situation, so I'm not giving up hope yet.

[Aratus]

its going to be us or mitt and virginia is the looming battleground for this

[Ender]

Ughh...No !

Lander has been at 44.4% for over Two hours. God knows why ?

I was going to ask the same thing- it's actually been at that percentage most of the night.

[Ohio4Paul]

God, it's been an hour since Politico updated any numbers!

[undergroundrr]

Uh-oh. Now they're saying the Clark vote will take all night -

http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/0cb9d4274bd443e58fc0481aabb5dda2/NV--Nevada-Up-All-Night/

[NCGOPer_for_Paul]

Uh-oh. Now they're saying the Clark vote will take all night -

http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/0cb9d4274bd443e58fc0481aabb5dda2/NV--Nevada-Up-All-Night/

What in ****'s name were they doing all afternoon and evening?

[Ohio4Paul]

What in ****'s name were they doing all afternoon and evening?
Worrying...

[Libertea Party]

Nate Silver of NYT's "538" blog weighs in:

"Based on actual results so far + Clark County exit poll, final NV results would be Mitt 53, Newt 20, Paul 18, Santorum 9." https://twitter.com/#!/fivethirtyeight/status/166029348955095040

[sunsense]

OK - I'm going to bed then. Its 1AM EST time.

[1836]

Good to hear, thanks.

We need to keep in mind that normally, once 43% is reported, the results don't really change much but that's because the remaining votes aren't all coming from one county. Normally the remaining votes are more evenly distributed across the state where the 43% already came from, so the trend doesn't change.

This is truly a unique situation, so I'm not giving up hope yet.

I just made a thread and did the math on this very issue because I'm a political guy and I'm bored.

If turnout is around 35000 total, meaning 18000 or so outstanding votes to be counted, and we get over 23% and Newt gets below 17% of those remaining Clark votes, we essentially catch him and win 2nd in Nevada.

[KramerDSP]

Looks like a sunrise reveal.

[carterm]

I just made a thread and did the math on this very issue because I'm a political guy and I'm bored.

If turnout is around 35000 total, meaning 18000 or so outstanding votes to be counted, and we get over 23% and Newt gets below 17% of those remaining Clark votes, we essentially catch him and win 2nd in Nevada.

what if clark is at 22,000 votes?

[splint]

Non-Scientific Clark County Prediction
RP 80 votes with 2.8% reporting - so 80 x the remaining 97.2% = 7776 votes
NG 57 votes with 2.8% reporting - so 57 x the remaining 97.2% = 5540

RP > NG in Clark County by 2236 votes

100% reporting and adding Clark County votes
NG 4228 + 5540 = 9768
RP 2966 + 7776 = 10742

Ron Paul squeaks by Newt Gingrich by 974 votes to finish 2nd in Nevada :D

[1836]

The lower the percent he needs to beat newt if there are more votes.

[The Binghamton Patriot]

We never have lived in a Democracy. This is a Republic, there is a difference.

Personally, these BS losses are starting to grate on me. I was really expecting a solid second place win, and we arent even going to break 20% with a third place win. Its really starting to become too much. Granted it is only a caucus, but still its not much of a momentum builder when you are losing to the Grinch like this. Its ridiculous!

Word police-relax.