Paul close to 2nd in NV Entrance poll

[rp2012win]

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/nv

It's close though. Could still get 2nd. Other metrics besides age and sex show a tie and some have ron slightly ahead. He trails going by the age and sex metrics though.

[PaleoPaul]

He was first in an entrance poll in Iowa...;)

[Johncjackson]

Santorum in single digits, Ha. WTF was up with those polls showing that dude beating Ron?

[pauliticalfan]

Where are you seeing him in third? Among whites, yes, but I think we can make up that 1% among the 10% that are non-white.

[UtahApocalypse]

I knew 3 days ago when they started pumping Paul would be 2nd that we would be third. They wanted to set up a failure.

[Havax]

Edit:

Men= 53%
Women= 47%

Ron

(14)(.47) + (23)(.53)= 18.77

Newt

(21)(.47) + (18)(.53)= 19.41

Difference= .64%


For an entrance poll, thats statistically insignificant

[pauliticalfan]

It's gonna be close though.

[CTRattlesnake]

Yeah i did the math

Paul is trailing Gingrich by about .6%


BUT these are ENTRANCE polls, not EXIT polls, which are notoriously less reliable

[JJ2]

Gingrich 21% women 18% men
Paul 14% women 23% men

averaged =

Gingrich 19.5%
Paul 18.5%

1% difference

A bit closer than that. More men voted.

[CTRattlesnake]

Gingrich 21% women 18% men
Paul 14% women 23% men

averaged =

Gingrich 19.5%
Paul 18.5%

1% difference

Not how the math works, more men than women

Men= 53%
WOmen= 47%

Ron

(14)(.47) + (23)(.53)= 18.77

Newt

(21)(.47) + (18)(.53)= 19.41

Difference= .64%


For an entrance poll, thats statistically insignificant

[Havax]

Good news about entrance polls this time around: Paul campaigned and had organization in Nevada
Bad news about entrance polls: Paul was overpolled in Iowa because undecideds went to Santorum last minute...but that's because the media was pumping him.

[Liberty74]

He was first in an entrance poll in Iowa...;)

Wrong, they were dead on the money. The first entrance poll numbers didn't have a big enough sample. Once they did, dead on.

[Johncjackson]

Well, aren't these caucuses supposed to have the advantage of the activists speaking on behalf of their preferred candidate before voting takes place? Isn't the "entrance" prior to the speeches/voting? If so, wouldn't the speeches presumably have at least >0% influence on the actual voting? If not, I guess there is no point publicly speaking on behalf of candidates.

[JJ2]

Wrong, they were dead on the money. The first entrance poll numbers didn't have a big enough sample. Once they did, dead on.

No, once the results come in, they weight the numbers to reflect the results.

[bluesc]

Found the "Were the Campaign Ads Important to Your Vote?" interesting. Ron outspent Romney in Nevada overall since Jan 1st yet Romney leads that category by a huge, huge margin. He only outspent Ron in NV since last Friday. Maybe the campaign is airing ads too early.

[rp2012win]

What is shocking about the entrance poll is that for the first time, after 5 states, gingrich is doing better with women than men. Like paul, gingrich has always done best win men, and paul leads men by 5. In a turn of events, it's now the women that are bringing gingrich up. Wow we have back luck lol

[SCOTUSman]

Young people didn't show up, wtf.

[jasonxe]

women......i don't get it. A female needs to explain this to me.

[bluesc]

Young people didn't show up, wtf.

They never do, it's stupid to rely on them.

[JJ2]

Young people never show up. 10% max.

[UtahApocalypse]

Young people didn't show up, wtf.


They never do, it's stupid to rely on them.

which could be why we won't win.

[Johncjackson]

women......i don't get it. A female needs to explain this to me.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/04/mitt-romney-and-ron-paul-_n_1183530.html

"female athletes who came to the event with the intent of hearing Ron Paul speak -- but when they spotted the Romney boys onstage, they instantly forgot about Paul. Katie, a softball player, said the boys were "yummyyy," while another professed that 31-year-old Craig Romney was the hottest. And they weren't just checking out the Romney sons -- one girl interviewed was also quite taken with Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum, who she claimed was "kind of hot."

Personally, I know very few females ( at least younger than my grandmother) who aren't teenagers at heart. They may develop faster/better than males in a lot of ways, but making a reasoned/informed decision about politics is not one of them, IMHO. See Also from article- money/status/fame instantly make ugly men "hot" to women, while men have more reliable judgments of things. If you want someone to honestly tell you how something/someone looks or who a trustworthy man is, ask a man.

[unknown]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/04/mitt-romney-and-ron-paul-_n_1183530.html

"female athletes who came to the event with the intent of hearing Ron Paul speak -- but when they spotted the Romney boys onstage, they instantly forgot about Paul. Katie, a softball player, said the boys were "yummyyy," while another professed that 31-year-old Craig Romney was the hottest. And they weren't just checking out the Romney sons -- one girl interviewed was also quite taken with Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum, who she claimed was "kind of hot."

Personally, I know very few females ( at least younger than my grandmother) who aren't teenagers at heart. They may develop faster/better than males in a lot of ways, but making a reasoned/informed decision about politics is not one of them, IMHO. See Also from article- money/status/fame instantly make ugly men "hot" to women, while men have more reliable judgments of things. If you want someone to honestly tell you how something/someone looks or who a trustworthy man is, ask a man.

Ok so hows that explain women's support for Newt? Hes a fat fvck.

Id like to see the "sexies" who think that Newt is a looker.

[F3d]

Ok so hows that explain women's support for Newt? Hes a fat fvck.


Women like the biggest jerks. XD