How much will be raised December 16th (Vote!!!!)

[nyrgoal99]

Vote

I will updated the average every day or so. Keep bumping this one up folks

Goal=1000 people vote in this by Dec 16th.

DATE Average
11-Nov 45 votes 7.7M
12-Nov 169 votes 7.4M
14-Nov 263 votes 7.7M

[nyrgoal99]

bump

[Flash]

I say 10 million.

[nyrgoal99]

bump

[nyrgoal99]

lets go people


vote

[American]

I hope 10 million and I wish he would start spending that money RP already has!

[nyrgoal99]

I hope 10 million and I wish he would start spending that money RP already has!

We do not want to waste it, however it should be used.

[Ron Paul Fan]

I picked 10 million+ Might as well shoot for the moon. The sky is the limit on December 16th.

[Mandrik]

I voted 10+ million, but I'd be happy to double Nov 5th.

BTW, remember when $12 million for the 4th quarter seemed like a lot? Me either. ;)

[Win_Witka]

I say 6 million but I'm hoping that I'm wrong and is more. Just trying to be reasonable. I believe that 11/5 will be the best for this year. People make me wrong.

[constitutional]

dang, we are all excited FOR LIBERTY!!! Just look at how many people voted 10 mil +. I'm thinking we will hit 8.7 mil.

[DXDoug]

6 million if not more !

[Triton]

I wish for $10MM+, but Christmas is a-comming. I voted $2MM. I hope I am wrong!

[Travis]

$11.218 Mil.

We WILL win this thing!

[asdf]

I say 2 million, just enough to bump us past 10 million total.

[justinc.1089]

I say 6 million but I'm hoping that I'm wrong and is more. Just trying to be reasonable. I believe that 11/5 will be the best for this year. People make me wrong.

What? The 16th will certainly be bigger than the 5th. We have an entire month to promote it, we have a huge number of people from the 5th to start with, we picked up a big number of people on the 5th wanting to donate, and we will gain a huge number of people between now and the 16th. With all of that, how could we be lower than the 5th lol?

I voted for $6 million. I think we will do about 6.8 probably, maybe over 7 idk.

But I can't believe how many people think we will do over 10,000,000!!!! And it turned out the people that were guessing high on the 5th turned out right too...

[John of Des Moines]

Doubling November is a great goal to shoot for.

FWTW: If by some spambot action the Tea Party donations top $25 million I say We the People should demand Paul be made Speaker of the House immediately then have the Congress impeach and convict Bush and Cheney - bingo President Paul and eligible for two full terms as well as finishing out Bush's term. That's nine years of Paul! Just the way the founders would want it. :cool:

[VRP08]

i say around 7 mil

[justinc.1089]

Doubling November is a great goal to shoot for.

FWTW: If by some spambot action the Tea Party donations top $25 million I say We the People should demand Paul be made Speaker of the House immediately then have the Congress impeach and convict Bush and Cheney - bingo President Paul and eligible for two full terms as well as finishing out Bush's term. That's nine years of Paul! Just the way the founders would want it. :cool:

Haha great plan!;) lol

[F3d]

....

[amakris]

I don't want a traditional Christmas gift. All gifts can be directed to ronpaul2008.com/donate

If we top 10 million, we could very well gain the title of "#1 GOP Fundraising Candidate this Quarter". Yes, that's right. We could beat Giuliani and Romney in fundraising for an entire quarter.

Let's make it happen!

[AggieforPaul]

I'm think he can get 8-9. For me, anything over 10 will a huge pleasurable shock. Anything under 5 will be a minor disappointment (in context anyway; he's still going to win Q4 fundraising in a runaway)

[Chester Copperpot]

anything beating november 5th will be excellent.. hell the media wont know how to explain it.. other than MAYBE HE IS POPULAR!

[son of liberty]

6 million...........It should be noted I thought we'd get about 1 mil on the 5th. Boy was I wrong!

[brumans]

I think in the end, if Ron Paul is not doing very well in the polls, they will credit his fundraising numbers to this new kind of fundraising scheme/"money bomb", instead of the message/Ron Paul himself.

[ClayTrainor]

im actually pretty confident we'll go over 10..

[AggieforPaul]

Yeah, agreed. Beating Nov. 11 will be huge. The optimist in me though is hoping everyone who donated on the 5th will match their contribution, and the recent publicity he's gotten as well as the Boston tea party's superiority over Guy fawkes day as a recognizable protest will attract new donors.

The pessimist in me is afraid 12/16 is too close to Christmas, and too many people will be tapped out.

[davidhperry]

I hope we beat the Nov. 5th amount and get another million or two on top of that.

[xcalybur]

It is hard to say, but I think between 6 and 12.8 million. If we keep on the current track of 1650 people signed up per day at teaparty07.com and we have two times as many people donate as signed up like on Nov 5th and the average of $104 holds up then that is over $12,800,800.00.

These are just the statistical averages. We will see however. I think realistically it will probably be about $8,500,000. This assumes that we will hit 10,000 people signed up in 7 days and that after that we will drop down to an average of 1000 per day just like Nov 5th and twice as many actually donate at an average of $104 a piece.

The only factor is that there were a LOT of naysayers out there and Ron Paul has gotten a TON of publicity from his money bomb. I think a lot more people will actually donate than the 2:1 signup ratio and they will spread it to a lot more people because they now know that it works and everyone wants to see results.

[jmunjr]

Well RP supporters are the most optimistic bunch ever.. I don't see Nov. 5th getting beat any time soon but perhaps a lot of new supporters have cropped up as a result of the recent press.

Of course I will donate again but *if* most of RP's supporters are young ones how much money can they have???

[Bodhi]

As long as we beat November 5th I am happy. If we go over 5 million that would be great and I think we can do it. I know I will be donating more than I did on the 5th and I hope that those than can do so as well.

[Mitt Romneys sideburns]

As someone who thought Nov 5th would only raise about 200K, my guess might not mean much this time around either.

Im gonna say between 5-7 million

Ill be happy if we can at least match the 4.2 on the 5th.

[son of liberty]

got to keep pushing those TeaParty videos, 5 stars and favorite, Leave a Comment and link it from another site.

[Shaun]

Guys, it's a mathmatical certainity that we will smash 10m.
Just do your part and make sure you push the site in any way you can.
That's all.
To say we will only raise 5m is not really understanding what has changed after the 5th. Our man is now a media star.
10M will be done in the first 18 hours and then it will be a hunt for the rest. Oh, yeah this quarter our man raises 25m+

Yeah, that's right...**** YOU FRANK and Yeah, **** YOU AS WELL HANNITY..

[Jordan]

I'm thinking anywhere from $8-10 million on this one day.

We've already got 6600 pledges, and tons of time to get more. Plus, I think a number of the recruits from November 5th will be hopping on this.

I'm looking for nothing less than $8million. I think we could make this a $18Million quarter.

[LibertyOfOne]

10 Million would be nice, but we would have to promote the hell out of it. Start promoting as if the event was only a day away. It would be so cool to see 100,000 sign ups for the event.

[Second_Tier_My_Ass]

I think most people here vastly underestimated our haul on November 5th. me included. so keep that in mind this time around. i'm thinking 8-9 million might be conservative.

Some of the media began reporting the nov. 5 money bomb while it was ongoing. That helped a lot in terms of gaining new donors. Would they do it again on dec. 16? It was a big deal last time because nobody had ever done anything like that before on such a large scale. Would it be newsworthy to report it while it was going on?

[d'anconia]

Who on Earth votes for anything less than $4 mil? Do we have some trolls around?

[bp2519]

I dont think this poll is crosses the spectrum enough. I think it will be 12 million.

[nyrgoal99]

bump

[Goldwater Conservative]

My predictions for results at the end of these days:

Nov. 30 - $8.75 million total
Dec. 15 - $9.25 million total
Dec. 16 - $15.5 million total, $6.25 million one-day
Dec. 31 - $16.0 million total

So $6.25 million for the Tea Party, enough to beat all other one-day fundraising records. I rounded it up to $7 million for the purposes of this poll.

[nyrgoal99]

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[nyrgoal99]

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[nyrgoal99]

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[nyrgoal99]

up

[WeBeGood]

To me, The Boston Tea Party is about getting more unique donors. Just get people to donate the smallest amount possible, it's the first step to get them to vote for Ron Paul. Instead of $10 million, it's about getting 10 million unique donors.

Any money spent on buying commercials on some media channels, will be matched with ten times the bad press called the "news". It's really important to work on voters, not buying time on "negative" media. Keep it positive.

[dfalken]

Ron Paul was quite an obscure candidate before the 5th of November...he now has gotten national attention and several times the amount of people will donate on the 16th compared to the 5th. I have zero doubt it will be over 10 million, what I am trying to do is to temper my expectations as I could easily see it go over 20 million, or depending on how the media picks up on this we could truly see numbers that blow our minds, like 30 or 40 million. I am cautiously optimistic that we'll get 200k unique donors at least. I expect the counter on the teaparty site to be well over 100k by the 16th. Heck there are 60k+ meetup members alone.

My biggest concern is not the total amount or blowing away Kerry's record, I am concerned that the Ron Paul site won't be able to handle the traffic. I hope they are keeping track of the teaparty counter and are preparing for the massive traffic they will get on the 16th.

[Fig]

We already have 10,000 pledges. thats one million dollars. Its more than a month away still! My god! The pledges for this ... jesus thats one millino dollars in about 3 days if it were right now. hahah! and we thought 1 million in a week was a milestone..

this is amazing..

i voted 8 million. its enough to beat all of the legit and non legit (hillary) one day fundraising totals and I think thats about how much momentum we have. its gonna be one hell of a party... i wish i could be in boston!

[Goldwater Conservative]

Goal=1000 people vote in this by Dec 16th.

That would make our margin of error smaller than those of media polls. :D

[weatherbill]

people want to give for tax write off reasons. I think it will be 8+ million

[slavix]

just look at this graph
http://ronpaulgraphs.com/teaparty_vs_nov5_members.html

http://ronpaulgraphs.com/teaparty_vs_nov5_members.html
And we still have over a month to go.
Spread this graph to MSM. It will produce a news buzz early and increase the total results.

[Visual]

I'm expecting 1 million (so I don't wallow in sadness if we don't make much) but I'm hoping for 6.2 mil... so we beat the hillster.

[Man from La Mancha]

Another thread posted that shows the biggest thing we have to overcome. Limited thinking. That poll should read 1 mil, 10mil,20mil,30mil.40mil,50mil,60mil,70mil,80mil,90 mil+.

Copy and paste evry where, dirct link to teaparty07.com....... http://img406.imageshack.us/img406/2926/brighton5mj7.gif (teaparty07.com)


.

[Voice]

20 miiiiiilion dollars! (left pinky to mouth)

[bp2519]

Who are these crazy people voting for 1 mil???

[therealjjj77]

A lot of people were sandbagging on Nov. 5th. There were many who were holding back. That means there are many who haven't reached their maximum donation limit for this year and they more then likely will max it out on Dec. 16th. Also, there are a ton more catching on to the Revolution now as it keeps growing. This translates into an enormous sum of money that will be raised on Dec. 16th. I believe it is truly difficult to determine what that amount will be this early on but I know it will make Nov. 5th old, old news. It will also, almost certainly, beat any other fundraising amount that has ever been raised in a day. I believe we are in for a surprise. Also, it is worth noting that Ron Paul meetup groups in France and all around the world are planning events for Ron Paul on Dec. 16th. It will be a very colorful day for news broadcasting.

I was thinking that a great video for Dec. 16th would tie in something like this:

"The best Christmas present you can give your kids this year is hope for their future."

I think it would certainly be appropriate.

[Knightskye]

I would've guessed around $11.2 million before this whole e-mail mess, but I'm gonna say around $7.5 million now. Ridiculous.

[CelestialRender]

Looks like the grassroots managed some damage control. Most of the polls imply that we're still on track.

I'm at the point where I think RP needs to just fire his staff, between that ludicrous email, and those first monstrosities they called TV/radio ads.

[mfoley1]

I would've guessed around $11.2 million before this whole e-mail mess, but I'm gonna say around $7.5 million now. Ridiculous.

lol, I dont think 7.5 mil in ONE day is ridiculous, that is still almost double from Nov 5th.

If the campaign email from yesterday has got your blood boiling, then why not use that energy to promote the teaparty even more rather than coming here to criticize.

The tea party is going to be historic no matter what, but we still have work to do.

[1town]

Looks like the grassroots managed some damage control. Most of the polls imply that we're still on track.

I'm at the point where I think RP needs to just fire his staff, between that ludicrous email, and those first monstrosities they called TV/radio ads.

Yes, cause you know best. They should hire you as campaign manager, cause you would prolly do so much better.

How dare they ask for money for advertising! No, they shall only have the few segments the MSM will devote to the record of dec16th.

[fireinme]

What about the fact that teaparty07.com is not working? We could all donate a little to get a real website. The website has been down for 2+ days

[donnay]

I, personally think, it will surpass $10 mil.

[LiveFreeorDie]

last updated: 11/30/07 10:53 PM EST

total raised today: $514,727
total raised Q4: $10,335,701
average daily total: $169,438
projected Q4 total: $16,578,443
total donors today: 6,523
average daily donors: 1,966
total donors Q4: 119,897
days to end of quarter: 31

http://ronpaulgraphs.com/index.html

[NerveShocker]

I think we can do 10 mil, if people do everything they can to spread the word about this event. Help spread links to www.teaparty07.com and spread the word off line as well. Don't forget we should have a blimp shortly. ;) I'm confident in our abilities.

[mmink15]

I voted 5 mil, but I hope it's three times that

[fireinme]

I voted six but I would change my vote to ten now

[Phoenix Revolution]

I say 6.771 MILLION

ba ba BOO YAH

so I voted for 6.

[nyrgoal99]

up

[fireinme]

If you base your estimate on past experience it will be 8 million because Ron Paul revolution is growing exponentially.

[McLane2007]

A lot of the people that made 4.3 million happen donated the full $2300 they won't be able to donate again. Will probably be between 2 to 4 I'm guessing though I would love to see 8+. Then again I did guess 1 million on November 5th so we will see.

[dvictr]

is anyone making sure the servers are capable of handling the traffic?

[jjesusfreak01]

A lot of the people that made 4.3 million happen donated the full $2300 they won't be able to donate again. Will probably be between 2 to 4 I'm guessing though I would love to see 8+. Then again I did guess 1 million on November 5th so we will see.

The upside being that if they donated the full 2300 before, they arent included on the list of pledgers, meaning alot of the pledges we have could be from new people.

[Horea72x]

As I understand it, about 37,000 people donated on November 5, this means that they did not each donate $2,300. On average they donated about $113. I believe there are many people from the November 5th event that will be able to donate a little bit more. Remember, we have a chance to make history.

[Sir Stangle]

im gonna go with 7.8 MILLION DOLLARS
Just to explain my answer,
not that anybody cares:

first, lets extend that trendline and push it up to around 38,000.

Add in the 20,000 donors who do not like to pledge online

We now have 58,000 Donors

another 6,000 New Donors and we have 64,000.

At an astonishing 123$ per donor average, we get:

7.8 Million!

[Sir Stangle]

im gonna go with 7.8 MILLION DOLLARS
Just to explain my answer,
not that anybody cares:

first, lets extend that trendline and push it up to around 38,000.

Add in the 20,000 donors who do not like to pledge online

We now have 58,000 Donors

another 6,000 New Donors and we have 64,000.

At an astonishing 123$ per donor average, we get:

7.8 Million!

[CelestialRender]

People actually voted for 1 million??

[fireinme]

They are probably not one of us. ;)

[Theriot]

I am a new Ron Paul supporter. Could someone tell me how much hype went on before the 4.3 million-day-campaign compared to this one.
Thanks.

[fortilite]

As long as it's over $6 million I'm happy. I voted $7 mil but it's so hard to tell. I'm going with the $250 x subscribers theory.

It will be an all time American record though, so let's see the media bury that.

[fireinme]

You might be right about hype there was less. I would describe it partly as anticipation.

[Cowlesy]

Man I hope some of you guys have saved up some dry powder to put a dent in these big predictions.

[bluto20]

Your poll is broken. I can't vote for 360k :(

[stylesbjj]

I want to raise at least 6.5 million, so we can break Hillary Clinton's record of 6.2 million.

[tamor]

bump

[voytechs]

Wow, a 1/3rd think we'll be over $10Mil and a 1/5th at $6mil. Big discrepancy.

My guess will be $7mil - $8mil.

[krackato]

It's going to be +$10 million. You'll see. The whole world will see.

Donate more.

[nlke182]

$7,100,000

[mdf1960]

$8,600,000, putting Ron over $20 million for the quarter

[Quantumystic]

I want to raise at least 6.5 million, so we can break Hillary Clinton's record of 6.2 million.

Not surprisingly, that Hillary figure turned out to be a fake. It was 2 and a half days of collective fundraisers in NY and Miami over a weekend... that was tallied and submitted on one day. If memory serves I believe the largest SINGLE day amount she got in that weekend was $2.6-8 million, according to FEC filings.

Likewise, the urban myth of Kerry's $5.7 million. Again, FEC filings reveal it was actually $2.7 million.

I've been saying I anticipate $8 million for the day. But a little review math has got me thinking it might be significantly more.

The 5th of November event had 18,000 commitments and generated about $4.2 million online. But the number of hits the site had was nothing like what we're seeing for the TeaParty. Almost 211,000 hits in 5 weeks, or 40,000 hits a week.

And while we don't expect ALL of those people to donate something, I believe most will. So if we end up 32,000 people committed who wind up averaging $175 each, that's $5.6 million. Then add another 125,000 who average $40 each, that's another $5 million.

That could make for a $10.6 million dollar day.

PS- Such a day would have the bonus of raising more in one day than ANY of the GOP candidates raised in all of 3rdQ. :D

[Thrice]

Minimum six mil. A buddy of mine who supports Obama but is sympathetic to Paul (I'm working on it) believes we'll hit ten milliion. My optimism has been put to shame by another.

[dvictr]

i think people are underestimating the market for the message of liberty. money will come out of nowhere and everywhere and a herding effect will occur later on in the day and the donations will snowball unitll it gets silly.. my main concern is that these funds are in the hands of smart people who can make use of a substantial capital reserve.

[Goldwater Conservative]

The 5th of November event had 18,000 commitments and generated about $4.2 million online. But the number of hits the site had was nothing like what we're seeing for the TeaParty. Almost 211,000 hits in 5 weeks, or 40,000 hits a week.

Unfortunately, This Nov. 5 still had more hits (240K) than Tea Party '07 has. I'm hoping that all the extra media coverage and YouTube videos mean many people didn't go to the website but still plan on donating.

[JoeyA]

I held off voting until today because I wanted to be sure of what I believe the potential to be.I voted 10 Mill plus.

[Nefertiti]

Judging by the number who have pledged compared to last time and the number of people I have seen saying they will max out I have voted 9 million. I think it could go higher but with 9 million we will surpass 20 million for the quarter, which will be newsworthy in and of itself.

[Eric23]

3.3 million

[JT1]

I voted $6 Million because I feel that's where the pledges point me to and I want to see Hillary's one day record beat.

But I'm hoping for EXACTLY $10,002,008 ;-)

Maybe add an 08 in your donation somewhere as a symbolic gesture. :P

[Alex Libman]

10 million +


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

:D

[Oliver]

5 Million at the current gradual growth...