Ron Paul the Second Choice of 19% of Huntsman's Supporters in South Carolina

[RonPaulFanInGA]

https://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/status/158735768867708928


2nd choice of Huntsman supporters in South Carolina: Romney 38, Paul 19, Perry/Gingrich 8

[Varin]

Yeah but he was polling at 1%, less than Colbert.

[mavtek]

That's not surprising to me, but I just wish they'd realize that he's dead in the water. The good news there is that he's taking from Romney at a higher clip, the problem is how many of them will go to the polls and switch to Mittens when it's time to vote.

[kylejack]

Yeah but he was polling at 1%, less than Colbert.
5%

[wgadget]

Huntsman is quitting the race, thus the post.

[mstrmac1]

Thats like... 27 votes ! Yippeeeeeeeee!

[wgadget]

Every little bit helps!!! : )

[nowwearefree]

i think its good news for us, people that vote for Hunstman either vote for Romney or us, and im fine with Mitt winning first and us coming second
so all in all, very good news

I kind of like Huntsman, meaning i dun hate him, although i am not sure where he stands on most issues
but he seems like a normal guy if u compare him with herman cain, rick santorum , rick perry, bachman etc

[low preference guy]

so we'll improve 0.19%?

[GraspingForPeace]

so we'll improve 0.19%?

Theoretically, we could get a bump of about 1% if 19% of Huntsman voters go to Paul.

[P3ter_Griffin]

20% of 5% should give us a pretty 1%.

[kylejack]

5% * 19% = 0.95, so we gain roughly one percent in the PPP South Carolina polls.

New numbers: Romney ~30.5% Gingrich 24.4% Paul 16% Santorum 14% Perry 6.4% Roemer 1%

[PauliticsPolitics]

Yea.
We might go +1% in SC from the Huntsman drop.
Romney might get +2% out of it.
These sort of changes are negligible.
It won't be noticeable given margin of error, and more importantly, the fluidity of the race.
In the end, Huntsman and his numbers are truly negligible.

Bye Jon.

[economics102]

Yeah but he was polling at 1%, less than Colbert.

Yes but another poll showed Huntsman was the second choice of 40% of Colbert supporters. So it's more like 7% in total once Colbert inevitably drops out and belatedly endorses Huntsman.

[economics102]

We don't need to beat Romney in SC, we just need to finish 2nd. So the fact that more of Huntsman's non-Romney support goes to us than any other candidate is very good news even if this is ultimately a drop in the bucket -- it's still a good drop in the bucket.

[jersdream]

We just lost another point on Mittens. I'm sick to my stomach.

[Warrior_of_Freedom]

So what is that, 15 votes?

[lucent]

Yes but another poll showed Huntsman was the second choice of 40% of Colbert supporters. So it's more like 7% in total once Colbert inevitably drops out and belatedly endorses Huntsman.

Colbert was never in it to begin with.

[seawolf]

We need a Welcoming Thread for the Huntsman Supporters who will be looking for a new home, especially those in South Carolina and Florida.

[Feelgood]

5%

5% in SC, 1% nationally. So it would be of 1%

[thoughtomator]

19% = 1 in 5 which means it's a wash with 5 candidates left unless one of the others gains them disproportionately

[kylejack]

5% in SC, 1% nationally. So it would be of 1%
No, the OP of the thread is about the PPP SC poll, not a national poll, which is irrelevant anyway.

[Mithridates]

1% can make a big difference in a primary. In New Hampshire for example we had:

Santorum 23,362
Gingrich 23,291

Difference -- 71 votes, or about 3% of a single percentage point.

And then there was first place in Iowa too between Romney and Santorum. Paul hasn't had any nailbitingly close results but there could easily be one in SC or another upcoming state.

[economics102]

Colbert was never in it to begin with.

Colbert is dry-running a national campaign, his SC supporters are very active.

[Mickeys]

Considering ther are really only 5 other choices, wouldn't 20% be the AVERAGE...so anything under that is bad news? Actually..I am not asking, i am telling. All that means that is Romney will get helped out much more than Paul, and that is pretty bad news seeing as Romney is already the clear front runer right now.

[orenbus]

You guys are forgetting that the difference in votes in Iowa was pretty slim, and it's not just the votes it's the social influence that comes with them. There will be many smaller states where a 1% or 2% will make a major difference, why diminish any number of votes when we can use them all? Come on guys, think about this, seriously.

[jersdream]

He was at 6% in the Insider Advantage poll released today....

[kylejack]

Considering ther are really only 5 other choices, wouldn't 20% be the AVERAGE...so anything under that is bad news? Actually..I am not asking, i am telling. All that means that is Romney will get helped out much more than Paul, and that is pretty bad news seeing as Romney is already the clear front runer right now.
Yes, Romney is helped more than us, but other candidates are helped far less than us. And remember, our strategy is to wipe them out and then go for the King.

[WIwarrior]

lets worry about what we can control. Seriously, people are going to drop out.

[tennman]

And then there were 5. I wonder when Perry will drop out.

[Duckman]

This is good news... we will get a 1% bump in SC right away, plus the bump from the Davis endorsement and the next debate (where we will have more time because Huntsman is gone).

[Duckman]

And then there were 5. I wonder when Perry will drop out.

Right after SC.

[european]

Romney gains most out of this well timed dropping out: Exactly the day that Ron Paul gets his Tom Davis endorsement, so you know what the headlines will say today and tomorrow and what will be mentioned only at the sideline.

Or am I saying something strange?

[misterx]

So that makes what, about three more votes for Paul?

[ghengis86]

Romney gains most out of this well timed dropping out: Exactly the day that Ron Paul gets his Tom Davis endorsement, so you know what the headlines will say today and tomorrow and what will be mentioned only at the sideline.

Or am I saying something strange?

No, it's par for the course. Romney and his power brokers have plenty of cards in their hand to counter our campaigns moves. It's going to be a long fight and the politics will be brutal and cerebra on both sides. Obviously I think the RP camp has the only real strategy at knocking Mitt off, but it's not like Mitt will fall asleep like the hare to our tortoise.
He knows we are very dangerous so the pressure will be immense.

We'll still get our broadsides in...we just have to weather the same.

[ghengis86]

Right after SC.

If Perry can't crack the top three, maybe even win it, he's packing it in. SC was supposed to be his stronghold. Looks like it will be his final resting place.

[Dsylexic]

what are the numbers for Perry supporters' second choice being Paul?

[axlr]

I'm just really bothered by him endorsing Romney. He just slammed Romney in that last debate, and now he goes out and endorses him? This is like Bachmann, or Gingrich, or Perry endorsing Paul.