Insider Advantage SC Poll 1/11

[Tyler_Durden]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_SC_0111.pdf

Change is since 12/18 poll:

Romney - 23 (+5)
Gingrich - 21 (-10)
Santorum- 14 (+10) how???
Paul - 13 (+6)


Paul leads with Democrat and Independent voters

[freejack]

Gingrich with 31% of the 18-29 vote? What's with that?

Good news is, Paul is pretty much tied with Santorum for third.

Paul: 13.3
Santorum: 13.5

We should be able to secure third place nicely.

[trey4sports]

was posted yesterday i believe, but 13% is not bad at all. Much more than i was anticipating. Field is very, very crowded. If we could get to 25% (doubt it) we have an outside (very outside!) chance of pulling something like this off.

[Hoax]

This is great news. 1st in SC is a pipe-dream. With any luck Romney falls a bit and Gingrich takes first, and Paul places a respectable 3rd. Would be better if he managed to get 2nd and beat Romney, but lets not get too crazy.

[Pennsylvania]

I am actually really happy with those numbers, I don't see second place as being out of reach

[Tyler_Durden]

Gingrich with 31% of the 18-29 vote? What's with that?


We should be able to secure third place nicely.

Gingrich also leads with the black vote. How???

[Feeding the Abscess]

We've tripled our support since last time around.

Perhaps we'll see a small boost from our finish in NH on top of what we have here.

[V3n]

Gingrich with 31% of the 18-29 vote? What's with that?

Too young to remember the 90's.

[Johnnybags]

Get to the campuses and near the military bases ASAP. The bluehairs are only interested in status quo.

[Eleutheros]

Too young to either remember or care about the political climate of the 90's.

Fixed

[BLS]

We would need to be polling in the 20% range with GOP only voters to win SC. Dems and Independents would put Ron Paul over the top and we would officially become a 2 man race. Santorum and Gingrich and Perry would be forced to drop out; if not after SC, then after Florida.

Ron NEEDS MONEY PEOPLE!!! 10's of millions of dollars.
We need to throw him a MONEY NUKE!

[tremendoustie]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_SC_0111.pdf

Change is since 12/18 poll:

Romney - 23 (+5)
Gingrich - 21 (-10)
Santorum- 14 (+10) how???
Paul - 13 (+6)


Paul leads with Democrat and Independent voters

Why did they only include 4% democrats? It's an open primary, with no D nomination battle. I couldn't find the stats for '96, but i'd expect much larger D turnout.

[Diurdi]

Man SC is going to be incredibly thight!!! Everyone within 10 points.

[Liberty74]

By this poll, SC is anyone's game. Stuff to watch is how the Newton Leroy ad plays out against Mitt and of course the debate Monday. I still see SC as an uphill battle to snag second or first for Paul.

[musicmax]

Santorum- 14 (+10) how???
Paul - 13 (+6)

I live in a North Carolina county that borders SC. A former county GOP chair told me that Santorum has the most complete county-by-county organization in SC, ahead of Mitt and Ron. He doesn't understand why RP hasn't come anywhere near the Rock Hill/Fort Mill area in order to get a media bump from the Charlotte papers and TV stations.

[WD-NY]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_SC_0111.pdf

Change is since 12/18 poll:

Romney - 23 (+5)
Gingrich - 21 (-10)
Santorum- 14 (+10) how???
Paul - 13 (+6)


Paul leads with Democrat and Independent voters

Huntsman needs to QUIT! We need every single independent & dem vote we can get.

[Feeding the Abscess]

I live in a North Carolina county that borders SC. A former county GOP chair told me that Santorum has the most complete county-by-county organization in SC, ahead of Mitt and Ron. He doesn't understand why RP hasn't come anywhere near the Rock Hill/Fort Mill area in order to get a media bump from the Charlotte papers and TV stations.

PM user Zanzibar