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Agorism
01-11-2012, 01:55 AM
Intrade S.C. odds

We need anti-Gingrich and anti-Santorum ads since these are the two candidates who are set to get votes

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=90931


Mitt Romney to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
77.2%
CHANCE Predict

Rick Santorum to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
5.1%
CHANCE Predict

Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
15.9%
CHANCE Predict

Rick Perry to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
0.8%
CHANCE Predict

Ron Paul to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
5.0%
CHANCE Predict

Jon Huntsman to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary

Event: South Carolina Primary (Republican)
0.2%

Aratus
01-11-2012, 08:16 PM
he has an 8% chance at 2nd

Aratus
01-15-2012, 03:39 AM
The odds for a second place S.C showing for Dr. Ron Paul has
leaped up to almost 25% from 8% on the 11th of the month!!!

Karsten
01-15-2012, 04:22 AM
5% chance. Better odds than a straight up bet on Roulette, and for Ron Paul, I'll go all in.
I think these will only rise too after tomorrow.

Dsylexic
01-15-2012, 04:30 AM
this is too early in the game.i remember in NH,they had Huntsman at 50:50 for 2nd even as the elections was underway.we beat huntsman by a large margin.so these things reflect the media spin and not reality.
a)we have an important endorsement tomorow b)we have a debate.ron hopefully hits it out of the park.it is a fox debate.so we will get a fair amount of airtime,but the questions will be on foreign policy mainly.they will not attempt the newsletters here.morevoer if they bring it,paul stuns the rest of the stage into silence with the drug law issues
c)we are building momentum with the grassroots.in a high turnout primary,we can even win.

RonPaulFever
01-15-2012, 04:33 AM
Why do so many people quote Intrade like it's gospel?

Aratus
01-15-2012, 05:01 AM
right now they have over~valued mitt romney due to the gallup poll
and are ignoring how close to first place newt gingrich and ron paul
actually are if mitt romney says something very stupid in a few days.

king_nothing_
01-15-2012, 06:34 AM
Yeah Mitt looks waaaaay overvalued to me too.