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CaptUSA
01-10-2012, 08:32 AM
That's what it is going to take to give Paul 25%...

Use the Phone From Home today! I can't get to it til after work... we have a lot of calling to do!

If we can beat this number, great, but let's make sure we hit it.

Chester Copperpot
01-10-2012, 08:37 AM
If there are 250,000 votes cast then it is only 62,500 votes needed for 25%

tsetsefly
01-10-2012, 08:40 AM
If there are 250,000 votes cast then it is only 62,500 votes needed for 25%

310 are expected to vote...

01-10-2012, 08:43 AM
But some of that 310k are Democrats...Hmm. I could handle Democrats voting for Paul, though.

newbitech
01-10-2012, 09:03 AM
gah, 82,000? NO. Please, do a little self research instead of simply relying on headlines and regurgitating MSM information without even digging in to the facts.

Facts

2008 N.H. Rep Primary http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Hampshire_Republican_primary,_2008
234,851 people voted.

2008 Iowa Turnout http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_Republican_caucuses,_2008
119,188
2012 Iowa Turnout http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_Republican_caucuses,_2012
122,255

Turnout in Iowa UP by (122,255-119,188)/119,188 ~ 2.6%

Assumption based on facts

N.H. 2012 Turnout (234,851 * 1.026) ~ 240,957

Conclusion based on facts & fact based assumptions

25% of 2008 turnout in N.H. = 58,713
25% of 2012 turnout in N.H. = 60,240

Want to know the increase in Iowa for Ron Paul from 2008 - 2012?

Want to know if he has the same % gain in Iowa from 2008 - 2012 in N.H. will give him 25% of the vote in N.H.?

Want to know the difference between the two?

Get the facts, and stop looking at the MSM headlines without going in to the details!

Hate to use this thread as an example, but I am seeing ALOT of that going on the last few weeks here. It reminds me of 2007, and it's not really a good thing. It won't change the outcome, but I can guarantee that you will feel much better when it's over because your expectations will not be over inflated or deflated.