question about NH delegate allocation

[Badger for Paul]

My understanding is that NH has 12 delegates to be divided proportionately. That means that for every 8.3% of the vote, a candidate gets a delegate.
Does anyone know how these total vote percentages get rounded, ie does RP just need to get about 20.9% to get 3 delegates or does he have to get to 24.9%?

My thinking is that anything between 20.9% and 29% will get him 3 delegates. Is that correct?

Thanks.

[sailingaway]

My understanding is you don't get any unless you get 10% so the numbers are adjusted from there, but I'm afraid I don't have details.

[JohnCrabtree]

From http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/NH-R


"The information below has been updated to reflect the 50% penalty. The penalty reduces the delegate count to 12 and removes voting privileges from the party leader delegates.

Tuesday 10 January 2012: 12 New Hampshire's delegates to the Republican National Convention are bound to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's New Hampshire Primary.

12 National Convention delegates are to be bound proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide [RSA 659:93].
A 10% threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates.
Allocate delegates based on the 12 × candidate's vote ÷ statewide vote. Round any fractional allocation to the nearest whole number of delegates.
Any delegate positions that remain open (as a result of threshold or rounding) are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total."

[Badger for Paul]

It took awhile but I found this link: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/NH-R that describes the delegate allocation pretty well.
Essentially you need 10% to get any delegates, and you get your popular vote percentage x 12.
Any delegates not assigned this way (for the percentage of votes spent on people getting less than 10% of the vote or because of rounding) will go to the winner.

Looks like odds are good RP can pick up 3, but Romney will probably will pick up anywhere from 6-8 as he gets the unassigned delegates.

RP would need over 29% to pick up 4 delegates
RP needs 21% to pick up 3 delegates.

There are your goals guys, now let's hit pfh and get out the vote.

[Badger for Paul]

JohnCrabtree, looks like we were typing at the same time. I guess great minds think alike!!

[harikaried]

RP would need over 29% to pick up 4 delegates
RP needs 21% to pick up 3 delegates.Not quite. At least not the 21% or 29% people tend to think of.

They only count the popular vote of those who exceeded 10%.

So if the vote was Romney 30% Paul 20% and among 5 candidates 9.99% each..

Romney would get 30 / (30 + 20) * 12 = 7 delegates
Paul would get 20 / (30 + 20) * 12 = 5 delegates


A candidate must receive 10% or more of the popular vote to be eligible for delegates.
The number of delegates = 12 × (candidate's popular vote) ÷ (total popular vote of eligible candidates) rounded to the nearest whole number.
Assign the remaining delegates to the candidate receiving the most votes (Reference RSA 659:93).

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/NH-R

[JohnCrabtree]

So based on the above information, I would say your thinking is correct.

37.5% to 45.8% gets 5
29% to 37.4% gets 4
20.9% to 29% gets 3
12.5% to 20.9% gets 2
10% to 12.4% gets 1

Winner gets any remaining delegates

[Badger for Paul]

Nice pick up harikaried. So I guess you have to wait for the final numbers then since you can't predict what percentage of the votes will be for "eligible candidates" that meet the 10% threshhold.