2nd Place is Locked up in NH.

[ProBlue33]

http://i340.photobucket.com/albums/o350/Blue_Jay33/Intrade.jpg

South Carolina is a much different story it needs a lot of work, it's the firewall for everybody.
I see anybody not in the top four having issues.

[samsung1]

nothing is ever locked up until you see it officially announced

[Drex]

Nothing is for certain.

[bbartlog]

72% is not 'locked up' even if we accept Intrade numbers as an apodictic statement on real probabilities.

[Jtorsella]

We were at 60% for Iowa win at one point.

[anewvoice]

3 days is a long time! Let's get through these 2 debates and see where we land. Ron Paul is going to be THE main target tonight and tomorrow, the fireworks should be great! And of course the drama on these forums should be high and "the end is nigh" as usual.

[asurfaholic]

He only has a 72% chance of coming in 2nd because there is also a 28% chance he comes in first

(I reserve the right to be optimistic)

[Eric21ND]

Don't get cocky.

[Jack Bauer]

Doesn't matter what Romney gets or if we come in 2nd.

We need 25+ % of the votes, preferably 30+%.

[Badger for Paul]

We were confident about NH in 2007 as well. Look what happened. We need to sprint through the finish line. and make the GOTV calls on election day (assuming the campaign has fixed the pfh problems).

[bluesc]

People said the same thing about winning Iowa. Nothing is locked up.

[rocky]

2nd place is the first loser!

It seems as though we never even wanted to win NH. Why?....McCain beat Romney in "his home state" 4 years ago, so why couldn't we?

Forget Santorum. If we dont start attacking Romney soon, we'll just be dismissed as a spoiler.

[anewvoice]

2nd place is the first loser!

It seems as though we never even wanted to win NH. Why?....McCain beat Romney in "his home state" 4 years ago, so why couldn't we?

Forget Santorum. If we dont start attacking Romney soon, we'll just be dismissed as a spoiler.

McCain won New Hampshire, that should be the clue. Live Free or Die my ass.

[Liberty74]

Things can change in 24 hours.

Who predicted the CNN fake poll which created the template to say Santorum was surging for an entire week?

My point exactly.

A lot of people might not recall but right after the last Republican convention, McCain/Palin took the lead in all polls - up by 10 in USA Today likely voters. What happened later that week? The market crashed and those numbers flipped back.

You cannot predict the future but you can control to an extend how it's played out in the media. Paul needs to start using press releases immediately on the media BS and lies. Release one about the Huntsman ad now. Disavow. Hint that maybe "Huntsman did it but that it did not come from the Paul campaign. The whole story is very shady. And hit back by saying they're sorry that Huntsman is still a very low tier candidate." The media repeats it and you just controlled the news story. Take charge.

[pacelli]

We were confident about NH in 2007 as well. Look what happened. We need to spring through the finish line. and make the GOTV calls on election day (assuming the campaign has fixed the pfh problems).

That is very true. Good memory.

[Student Of Paulism]

2nd place is the first loser!

It seems as though we never even wanted to win NH. Why?....McCain beat Romney in "his home state" 4 years ago, so why couldn't we?

Forget Santorum. If we dont start attacking Romney soon, we'll just be dismissed as a spoiler.

Um, why would you think we are 'not wanting to win NH' :rolleyes: Ron and the grassroots strive to place as high as possible. Also, do you not understand that Romney pretty much lives there, and that southern NH is pretty much 'North Mass' when it comes down to it? Since he like, used to be governor there, it is only natural he is going to have more support than most other candidates and be way out in front. You are also forgetting that McCain wasn't Ron Paul. McCain was, and will always be an establishment and treasonous piece of shit, who shills for the globalists, and who pretends to be some war hero, when he really isnt and actually ran the other way and let his buddies go down for him, but thats another story.

So yea, taking second there isn't for 'losers' especially when you are Ron, and placing second to the one that the GOP will eventually coalesce behind and scaring them even more. They don't want Ron taking second because it challenges Romney too much, they want him taking 3rd or beyond to keep him out of the picture.

[Maverick]

2nd place is the first loser!

It seems as though we never even wanted to win NH. Why?....McCain beat Romney in "his home state" 4 years ago, so why couldn't we?

Forget Santorum. If we dont start attacking Romney soon, we'll just be dismissed as a spoiler.

McCain had massive media support in the week leading up to NH. His rise was manufactured, much like the "Santorum surge" (ew) in Iowa. Paul is not gonna take NH from Romney unless you believe that the media will launch an all-out 24-hour blitz of positive coverage for Ron Paul in the final days leading up to the primary. And if you believe that....lol, then you haven't been paying attention.