View Full Version : Ron Paul polling at 6%

11-09-2007, 02:26 PM

Friday, November 09, 2007

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mike Huckabee back in single digits and Ron Paul gaining another percentage point of support in the very unsettled race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Rudy Giuliani remains on top with 23% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 16% of the vote followed by John McCain at 13% and Mitt Romney at 11%. Mike Huckabee is now the top pick for 9% while Ron Paul’s support has inched up to 6%. No other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).

The muddled state of the GOP race may reflect growing frustration with the available choices. Rudy Giuliani is now viewed favorably by just 63% of GOP voters, matching his lowest rating of the year. Mitt Romney, who has a growing lead in New Hampshire, is viewed favorably by 54% of Republican voters nationwide, his lowest rating in several months. Fred Thompson is viewed favorably by 53%, his lowest total ever.

Bucking the trend is John McCain, now viewed favorably by 60% of GOP voters, near the high end of his measured support this year. McCain, however, also boasts very high unfavorable ratings among GOP voters--36%. Only Ron Paul, at 43% has higher unfavorable in the GOP field. Twenty-two percent (22%) of Republicans have a favorable opinion of the Congressman from Texas. Finally, Mike Huckabee’s numbers remained stable this week at 46% favorable, but 29% don’t know enough to offer any opinion at all (see history of favorable ratings for the candidates among all voters and among Republican voters.)

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Senator Hillary Clinton has bounced back. She is now supported by 44% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters, up from a recent low of 39%. Senator Barack Obama earns the vote from 19% while former Senator John Edwards remains at 15%. No other candidate tops the 3% level among Likely Democratic Primary Voters (see recent daily numbers).

The Democrats are more pleased with their candidates—73% offer a favorable opinion of Clinton while 67% say the same for both Obama and Edwards. Clinton’s numbers are down slightly from previous weeks, Obama is up slightly, while the numbers for Edwards are fairly stable (see history of favorable ratings for the candidates among all voters and among Democratic voters.

Clinton leads all Democrats in New Hampshire, but her lead is now smaller than in previous Granite State polls. She typically attracts 46% to 49% of the vote in general election match-ups against all Republican challengers. This is confirmed again today with new data showing the former First Lady with modest leads over both Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson. Her support stayed in the same range when matched recently against Mike Huckabee as well. Strange as it may seem, Hillary Clinton’s performance in the Iowa caucuses may have a significant impact on the Republican Primary in New Hampshire.

New data released today shows strong voter support for having police officers routinely check the immigration status of anyone pulled over for a traffic violation.

Finally, for the fourth straight month, Democrats continue to enjoy a double-digit advantage in the generic Congressional Ballot.

The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. The Presidential Tracking Poll will be updated seven days a week beginning Saturday, December 1, 2007. Daily results are based upon a four day rolling average and new results are posted each day by noon Eastern.

Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Rasmussen Reports provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.

Each Monday, full week results are released based upon a seven-day rolling average. While the daily tracking result are useful for measuring quick reaction to events in the news, the full week results provide an effective means for evaluating longer-term trends.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

11-09-2007, 02:48 PM
Not too long before he's in the same boat as Fred/McCain/Huck/Mitt in the national polls. :D

11-09-2007, 02:58 PM
A point a day keeps the doctor away... from the competition!

11-09-2007, 03:04 PM
Does anyone know when the next gallup poll will be released?

11-09-2007, 03:39 PM
Step by step
Inch by inch
TV exposure by TV exposure he's cathing on....

I'm telling ya.

11-09-2007, 03:42 PM
Already posted in the News forum............................................. ...

11-09-2007, 03:43 PM
0% 6 months ago.
3% 2 months ago.
6% now.
12% 1 month from now

By the time the elections roll around? It's anyone's guess.

11-09-2007, 04:12 PM
This is the first national 6% we've gotten. Only gonna keep getting higher!

11-09-2007, 04:18 PM
That's 2 pints a few days, that's 33% growth in three days, pretty good if I say so

11-09-2007, 04:20 PM
Talk about having to do A LOT of work in the final stretch. GO GO GO! :D

11-09-2007, 04:27 PM
The GOP soon will have to realize that WE are the GOP and the Neo Cons need to find there own party.

11-09-2007, 05:39 PM
The GOP soon will have to realize that WE are the GOP and the Neo Cons need to find there own party.

Yeah, can you imagine what happens if other republicans stay with their warmonger anti-liberty positions after Ron Paul wins the nomination?

Ron Paul will need to work with ~ 70% democrats in house and senate. :confused:

11-09-2007, 05:43 PM
He's catchin on, I'm tellin ya.

Goldwater Conservative
11-09-2007, 06:00 PM
His 43% unfavorable rating probably comes from the pro-war wing of the party. They think supporting the party leadership and occupying secular Islamic countries with few real terrorists are the only criteria for being a Republican nowadays.