12/27/07 RCP Average was 5.5%, Got 9.9% in Caucus

[nyrgoal99]

looking good

Ron Paul as at 5.5% and got 9.9%

2nd place Romney was at 26% and got 25.2%

1st place-Huckabee was 29% and got 34.3%


Leader will get a boost based on people wanting to vote for the winner

[Austin]

And that's with our terrible GOTV mishap from 08.. That alone probably cost us 2-5%.

We'll have even more volunteers in Iowa from the Christmas vacation this time, and there won't be any data mishaps either. This is exciting.

[Canderson]

We weren't getting hammered like this go round. I don't expect we'll be to much ahead of the polls.

[pauladin]

I might get some flack for sounding idealistic, but I actually think that we are going to break 30% on caucus night.

[Jeremy]

Polling 4 years ago has nothing to do with polling today.

[camp_steveo]

What is the margin of error on RCP's poll of polls?