Intrade Iowa Caucus: Ron Paul 49% to Win, Romney 31%

[cdc482]

:D

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=90932

[Brett85]

Unfortunately, Ron has gone down a little bit today. I expect the intrade numbers to get closer between Ron and Romney in the coming days. But I'm still holding on to Ron's Iowa shares.

[RickyJ]

Wow! That is great news! Ron Paul winning Iowa is going to be big, really big since many people like him but just don't think he can win the Republican nomination. Iowa has like how many people? About 3 million or so? That is one percent of the nation right there. Now we have to get the other 99% on board!

[Fermli]

Paul needs to be 70%+

keep calling!

[RickyJ]

Paul needs to be 70%+

keep calling!
If you call right now you are going to piss people off.

[tsai3904]

Paul and Romney are tied on the Iowa Electronic Markets:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/355.html

The contracts there are for 1st or 2nd place though.

[cdc482]

Unfortunately, Ron has gone down a little bit today. I expect the intrade numbers to get closer between Ron and Romney in the coming days. But I'm still holding on to Ron's Iowa shares.

Still, with an 18 point gap, even a little drop is no big. I think intraders are factoring in our enthusiasm for the good doctor :)

[cdc482]

Paul and Romney are tied on the Iowa Electronic Markets:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/355.html

The contracts there are for 1st or 2nd place though.
Paul's actually slightly above Romney. :)