JasonM
12-25-2011, 10:33 AM
Until the real polls tell us otherwise, treat them as a barometer of where we are. Don't get sucked into thinking that the polling method is flawed and that we're doing better than they say we are because of whatever reason (not calling cell phones, older people being over polled, etc).
There is a reason why these polls tend to give a margin of error of +/- 2-4%, and this is one of them.
If you like, you can let these abnormal factors give you confidence that Ron Paul folks are not being over polled, but don't think that we're being vastly under-polled either.
If any surprises happen (good or bad), it's not because we were vastly under-polled, it's because people who were on the fence voted for a particular candidate or changed their minds since the poll was conducted.
What does this mean for us? Get off your butt, don't hope he wins, do something to make it happen!! And motivate your pro-Ron Paul buddies to do the same while you are at it!!
There is a reason why these polls tend to give a margin of error of +/- 2-4%, and this is one of them.
If you like, you can let these abnormal factors give you confidence that Ron Paul folks are not being over polled, but don't think that we're being vastly under-polled either.
If any surprises happen (good or bad), it's not because we were vastly under-polled, it's because people who were on the fence voted for a particular candidate or changed their minds since the poll was conducted.
What does this mean for us? Get off your butt, don't hope he wins, do something to make it happen!! And motivate your pro-Ron Paul buddies to do the same while you are at it!!