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View Full Version : Nate Silver: Paul Moves Into Lead in Iowa Forecast




RonPaulFanInGA
12-19-2011, 12:57 PM
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/19/paul-moves-into-lead-in-iowa-forecast/

V3n
12-19-2011, 01:32 PM
very interesting... is this what actual reporting looks like?

PauliticsPolitics
12-19-2011, 04:28 PM
Nice.
He's going with a 52% chance for victory in IA (compared to Romney's 28%).
This is a good read.

randomname
12-19-2011, 04:44 PM
Paul 1st in Iowa and 2nd in NH sounds fair enough but after that the race will be wide open and anything could happen really, and I bet the numbers for SC and FL won't be anything like they are projecting... For future record, it reads:

South Carolina
Newt Gingrich 36.8%
Mitt Romney 23.0
Michele Bachmann 10.6

Florida
Newt Gingrich 48.4%
Mitt Romney 26.4
Ron Paul 7.0