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Agorism
12-17-2011, 07:24 PM
Iowa caucus
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=749792

Mitt Romney to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
38.0%
CHANCE Predict

Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
21.9%
CHANCE Predict

Ron Paul to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
29.9%
CHANCE Predict

Rick Perry to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
6.3%

RDM
12-17-2011, 07:26 PM
Romney getting a bump in Iowa electronic market also. Paul still leading..for now.

Epic
12-17-2011, 07:27 PM
Newt's been crashing though.

Agorism
12-17-2011, 07:27 PM
Iowa electronic market is a bet for finishing 1st or 2nd, which alters the odds and predictions.

Intrade makes more sense for predicting first since that's what they are actually betting on.

sailingaway
12-17-2011, 07:35 PM
snort. They give the paper too much credit. They endorsed McCain last time, right? he was what, fourth?