harikaried
11-15-2011, 12:19 PM
http://decoded.nationaljournal.com/2011/11/romneys-iowa-ceiling.php
But 58 percent of Iowa voters said they would rule out voting for a candidate if he had favored a mandate to buy health insurance. That's higher than the percentage of Iowa Republicans who would rule out voting for a candidate who's been married three times and has had extramarital affairs (48 percent), or a candidate who has supported the DREAM Act (42 percent) or someone who has worked for the Obama administration (40 percent).
That puts a pretty hard ceiling on the level of support Romney can achieve. In fact, his ceiling probably tops out around 30 percent, based on available evidence -- he hasn't broken 30 in any reliable poll of Iowa voters this year, and he won just 25 percent of the vote when he finished second in 2008.
The media keeps saying Ron Paul has a ceiling.. yet he falls into none of those "rule out" categories.
But 58 percent of Iowa voters said they would rule out voting for a candidate if he had favored a mandate to buy health insurance. That's higher than the percentage of Iowa Republicans who would rule out voting for a candidate who's been married three times and has had extramarital affairs (48 percent), or a candidate who has supported the DREAM Act (42 percent) or someone who has worked for the Obama administration (40 percent).
That puts a pretty hard ceiling on the level of support Romney can achieve. In fact, his ceiling probably tops out around 30 percent, based on available evidence -- he hasn't broken 30 in any reliable poll of Iowa voters this year, and he won just 25 percent of the vote when he finished second in 2008.
The media keeps saying Ron Paul has a ceiling.. yet he falls into none of those "rule out" categories.