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View Full Version : Official: Iowa Caucus will be on January 3, 2012




tsai3904
10-17-2011, 06:33 PM
Chairman of the Iowa GOP, Matt Strawn:

http://twitter.com/#!/mattstrawn/status/126092733742977024


It's official: The Iowa Caucuses will be Tuesday, January 3, 2012, at 7pm.

mit26chell
10-17-2011, 06:34 PM
shit

bluesc
10-17-2011, 06:37 PM
Time to get organized. I don't like this news at all.

eok321
10-17-2011, 06:40 PM
All the more reason to flood the campaign with early $$$ so they can buy earlier TV time.

bolidew
10-17-2011, 06:56 PM
I don't like this news at all.

Why? Didn't we start early and have better ground game than others?

FreedomProsperityPeace
10-17-2011, 06:57 PM
Wow. :eek: 11 short weeks.

cero
10-17-2011, 07:01 PM
http://minnesotaindependent.com/90076/bachmann-drops-to-last-place-in-iowa-2012-presidential-power-rankings
good article

if THE IOWA CAUCUS WERE HELD TODAY RON PAUL WOULD WIN

I nearly fell of my chair when I read that

Esoteric
10-17-2011, 07:04 PM
Go all out for Iowa. It's Iowa or bust.

bluesc
10-17-2011, 07:05 PM
Why? Didn't we start early and have better ground game than others?

College is out of session. Much tougher to get them all out to vote.

eleganz
10-17-2011, 07:08 PM
We also need to build enough steam in NH for when they see a Ron Paul Iowa win, they will jump on the train too! Ron Paul HAS to be favorable to Rommey voters.

eleganz
10-17-2011, 07:08 PM
We need to start up LETTERS FOR IOWA again.

bolidew
10-17-2011, 07:16 PM
College is out of session. Much tougher to get them all out to vote.

You are right that's a problem.

eleganz
10-17-2011, 07:18 PM
But, in this 15th edition of our rankings, our panelists now see a social conservative base so fractured in the Hawkeye State as to allow Paul’s seemingly limited base — that is, a base that doesn’t appear to be drawing vast numbers of new supporters — to exit Iowa with a victory.

“Paul has been back in the state, and he is drawing good crowds. But, from what I’ve seen, these are the same people who have been showing up at Paul’s events for ages. There’s not much new blood here, which made a difference in 2008, but may not really matter in 2012.”


They do make a good point here too, we need NEW people, NEW voters.

Endthefednow
10-17-2011, 07:21 PM
not good at all :(

r3volution
10-17-2011, 07:23 PM
i guarantee NH will be moved up now .

NeoconTea
10-17-2011, 07:23 PM
Everyone needs to get out with their parents and force their parents to vote for Ron!!

Karsten
10-17-2011, 07:26 PM
We need ADS in Iowa immediately! All the more reason to donate three times as much as you planned to on to Black THIS out!

itsnobody
10-17-2011, 07:29 PM
Right now based on my calculations we should get at least 20,000 votes in the Iowa Caucus (around 3rd place) but we need to win so to ensure a win we need around 50,000 votes

With this date change the registration deadline for Iowa should be around December 24th, 2011

We have to get all the Ron Paul supporters in Iowa to register Republican if they haven't already - http://www.sos.state.ia.us/pdfs/elections/voteapp.pdf

Brett85
10-17-2011, 07:29 PM
Everyone needs to get out with their parents and force their parents to vote for Ron!!

My dad would never vote for Ron in a million years. He's a Republican, but he's nowhere close to being any kind of a libertarian.

tsai3904
10-17-2011, 07:36 PM
College is out of session. Much tougher to get them all out to vote.

It will also be hard, if not impossible, to contact the Iowa students who go to school out of state and will be back home in Iowa for winter break. There's no way to find out who they are, which prevents us from keeping them informed.

Akus
10-17-2011, 07:39 PM
My dad would never vote for Ron in a million years. He's a Republican, but he's nowhere close to being any kind of a libertarian.tell your dad that if he votes for anyone other then RP, he'll have another four years of change and hope. He needs to understand that RP and RP alone stands a chance like his views or not

tsai3904
10-17-2011, 07:40 PM
Iowa's caucus date is set in stone.

http://twitter.com/#!/JenniferJJacobs/status/126107014022705152


IA GOP central committee's Steve Scheffler: The date is in stone, period. There is no chance we will reconvene to change the date.

IF New Hampshire decides to go in December, New Hampshire will be first and Iowa second. This doesn't help since we need Iowa to go first.

Akus
10-17-2011, 07:40 PM
It will also be hard, if not impossible, to contact the Iowa students who go to school out of state and will be back home in Iowa for winter break. There's no way to find out who they are, which prevents us from keeping them informed.
do you think they did it this way on purpose?

tsai3904
10-17-2011, 07:42 PM
do you think they did it this way on purpose?

It's hard to say because 5 of the 21 Iowa State Central Committee Members (the ones who voted on the date) have endorsed Ron Paul and a couple are on Ron Paul's campaign. From what I've read, the ones that have endorsed Ron Paul were FOR the January 3 date. Hopefully they know something we don't in terms of this helping the campaign.

Uriah
10-17-2011, 07:46 PM
Just got done with some calling tonight. There is support out there. We just need to find it.

I have a big white board that says: 78 DAYS 'til CAUCUS

parocks
10-17-2011, 07:59 PM
Why? Didn't we start early and have better ground game than others?

kids aint on campus

rich34
10-17-2011, 08:06 PM
It will also be hard, if not impossible, to contact the Iowa students who go to school out of state and will be back home in Iowa for winter break. There's no way to find out who they are, which prevents us from keeping them informed.

Would it be possible for the campaign to create a database of all the supporters we have on the college campus' and get their contact info? This sucks but it might be the best we can do other than winning over the more traditional voters. You never know if we can recruit enough college age kids before break maybe they can bring friends from their hometowns to bolster the numbers.

orenbus
10-17-2011, 08:11 PM
Reposting this here, we are 65% funded and targets Iowa grassroots supporters to call to action, this is a great grassroots project that needs some funding help, please pitch in $5 or $10, thanks.

CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

This is a great project that needs grassroots support to purchase critical ads and generate a Call to Action of Ron Paul supporters in the early states.

Some of you guys may remember the Iowa State article from Barry Snell in the Iowa State Daily where Barry had a chance to sit down with Dr. Paul on his ride to the airport and give us a glimpse of Ron Paul in a casual setting. This is one of the papers being initially targeted for this effort of doing a Call to Action to join and help grassroots activist support in Iowa. Grassroots and volunteer activities is going to be a huge part of whether we succeed or fail in the early states, which determine Ron Paul's candidacy for the rest of the election. I strongly encourage everyone to support this chipin, this is the type of project that can generate a lot of buzz and bring about both activism in Ron Paul supporters and encourage those that are already activists to recruit others to help with critical Canvassing and Get Out the Vote efforts in an early state like Iowa.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?323238-The-Iowa-College-Ad-Project-and-Grassroots-Web-Portal-Chip-in-Included


CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

We are implementing a project that will reach the critical demographic in Iowa. We are very popular with the college kids, but organizing them and getting out the vote is a challenge because traditionally they haven't turned out in very large numbers. To deal with this challenge, we urgently need money to roll out this project in a timely manner.

Iowa has three very large public schools: Iowa State University (~18,000 Iowa residents in student body), the University of Iowa in Iowa City (~15,000 Iowa residents in student body), and the University of Northern Iowa (~ 12,000 Iowa residents in student body). Each school has a professional college newspaper that reach a lot of students each run: Iowa State Daily (Iowa State U) and the Daily Iowan (U of Iowa) reach around 12,000 - 14,000 people per run, and the Northern Iowan (U of Northern Iowa) reaches around 8,000 people per run.

TO COMBAT THE SKEPTICS WHO SAY COLLEGE KIDS DON'T READ NEWSPAPERS: We are not targeting college kids in just some newspaper -- we are targeting them through their official COLLEGE newspapers. That is a very big difference that must be understood. Anyone who at some point was a student at a large school that publishes a good campus newspaper will tell you -- college kids love their school newspapers and read them religiously.

Here is the example ad for Iowa State University that will run both IN PRINT and at the newspaper's online site (I credit Justin Page Wood for the design suggestions on which this ad is based):

http://i.imgur.com/dkK7x.jpg THE WEBSITE IN THE AD IS NOT AN ACTUAL WEBSITE.

Keep in mind that this "Call To Action" is not meant to convince young people to choose Ron Paul - young people are internet-savvy, and we already have very strong constituency in them everywhere, as the polls show. What we DO need is for that group to get out the vote, to know the Caucus date, to register to vote, and to turn up for Caucuses.

As you may guess from the ad, a vital part of this project is the development and the hosting of a DEDICATED WEB PORTAL (the name of the website in the ad is just a placeholder for now - not an actual website name!).

Our web portal, already in development by RPF user orenbus, will make this happen because we will have the ability to sign people up and group our registrants by location, map their approximate locations via cities/zipcodes/counties, and send them mass emails about grassroots efforts in their local area (such as meet-ups, sign bombs, voter registration, caucus date/place). The website itself will have far greater capabilities than that: the eventual goal is to have data from 2008 primaries as well as current polls to gauge how Ron Paul is doing in various places around the country, so we know where to throw our support (in terms of other ad campaigns in local newspapers I proposed before, geared to different demographics) and link up to the local grassroots in those areas.

For now, the focus is on 3 Iowa colleges. Eventually, we hope to expand this initiative to New Hampshire and South Carolina - other key states where we need the young people to turn out in record numbers for the primaries.

(1) Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa

Iowa State will be targeted via Iowa State Daily (daily printed circulation ~12,500). Online version of the paper is here (http://www.iowastatedaily.com/).

A black-and-white PRINT ad sized roughly 3" X 3" costs approximately $480 for 15 consecutive days (newspaper is printed monday - friday). This is a seriously discounted rate.

The online ad package includes two versions of the same ad: one medium rectangle (a 300 pixel x 250 pixel) ad and a half page ad (300 pixel x 600 pixel). We are allowed 500 hits per day on these ads, and they are rotated through the entire newspaper website (iowastatedaily.com). The package costs $70 per week, and we want to run it for 3 weeks, to match the time in print edition.

Total ad costs for 3 weeks (online + print): $690.

The website for Iowa State Daily apparently gets a LOT of hits, and currently there is an increased traffic of Ron Paul supporters there because Barry Snell is in the process of publishing a serious of interviews with Ron Paul, which are excellent articles.

(2) University of Iowa in Iowa City, Iowa

The University of Iowa will be targeted via The Daily Iowan (daily printed circulation ~14,500). Online version of the paper is here (http://www.dailyiowan.com/).

A black-and-white PRINT ad, which is roughly 3" X 3", costs approximately $340 for 5 consecutive days (newspaper is printed monday - friday). This is a discounted 5-day rate, and we want to run this ad for 10 business days days total, which is the duration of 2 weeks.

Every day the ad appears in the print edition, it will also appear on their website at no extra charge except $5/day to link the ad directly to our website, which is very worthwhile.

Total ad costs for 2 weeks (online + print): $740.

(3) University of Northern Iowa in Cedar Falls, Iowa

The University of Northern Iowa will be targeted via The Northern Iowan (daily printed circulation ~8,000). Online version of the paper is here (http://www.northern-iowan.org/).

A black-and-white PRINT ad, which is roughly 4" X 3", costs approximately $175 for 4 runs. The newspaper is printed twice a week, Tues and Fri, so this essentially gives us a 2-week advertising period.

With the print ad buy, the online ad costs $50/week, and we want to run that for 2 weeks.

Total ad costs for 2 weeks (online + print): $275.

Summary

In total, we need to raise $2,000 for this Iowa College Ad Project, and we need this money now to get things rolling. November is when we should already be running the advertising, so the web portal needs money to be set up as soon as possible.

Aside from direct costs of advertising, there are development and hosting expenses for the website orenbus is currently developing - they are included in this chip-in. I haven't listed any possible taxes from the ad purchases, as well as Paypal fees from collecting donations, so we are keeping the costs down as much as possible and volunteering a mountain of our personal time to make this initiative happen.

This is where we as the grassroots will be much more nimble than the official campaign because we are essentially an open project, and we are very focused on one very specific task to get it done as quickly and as effectively as possible. We are also picking up the area that the RevPAC is not likely to address. Neither the campaign nor the RevPAC indicated any plans for doing newspaper advertisements in the same capacity as we are planning. Specifically, we will take tangible returns from this project by actually widening the grassroots base and streamlining communications between people in the online communities and events on the ground.

Please support this initiative to help reach out to the college kids in Iowa, enroll them in the grassroots network, and get the vote out for Ron Paul.

CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

Help us do outreach in Iowa today!


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=odAsVu4NwSw

CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

parocks
10-17-2011, 08:20 PM
It's very possible that people on the ground have assessed the situation there on the ground. It's very possible that they aren't thinking about dorms, but are thinking about the traditional ground game that they have in place. And they're probably pretty confident that they have a strong ground game with boots on the ground and the ability to call more boots if they want them. They probably recognize that Cain doesn't have much of a ground game. They might recognize they have more money than Cain. Any number of factors. Having no kids on campus just means that grassroots wouldn't be able to accomplish something amazing on campus. The official campaign is probably not expecting, factoring in, any crazy massive turnout in Ames, Iowa City, or Cedar Falls.

parocks
10-17-2011, 08:23 PM
The problem with this project, now, is that on January 3. NO Colleges or Universities, ZIP, NADA, are in session in Iowa. The kids like us, but when they're not in school, they become just unlikely voters who are extremely hard to reach.

What are some early caucus states that are having their caucuses when colleges are in session?



Reposting this here, we are 65% funded and targets Iowa grassroots supporters to call to action, this is a great grassroots project that needs some funding help, please pitch in $5 or $10, thanks.

CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

This is a great project that needs grassroots support to purchase critical ads and generate a Call to Action of Ron Paul supporters in the early states.

Some of you guys may remember the Iowa State article from Barry Snell in the Iowa State Daily where Barry had a chance to sit down with Dr. Paul on his ride to the airport and give us a glimpse of Ron Paul in a casual setting. This is one of the papers being initially targeted for this effort of doing a Call to Action to join and help grassroots activist support in Iowa. Grassroots and volunteer activities is going to be a huge part of whether we succeed or fail in the early states, which determine Ron Paul's candidacy for the rest of the election. I strongly encourage everyone to support this chipin, this is the type of project that can generate a lot of buzz and bring about both activism in Ron Paul supporters and encourage those that are already activists to recruit others to help with critical Canvassing and Get Out the Vote efforts in an early state like Iowa.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?323238-The-Iowa-College-Ad-Project-and-Grassroots-Web-Portal-Chip-in-Included



Help us do outreach in Iowa today!


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=odAsVu4NwSw

CHIP IN FOR THE PROJECT: http://iowacolleges4rp.chipin.com/iowa-college-ad-project

KramerDSP
10-17-2011, 08:24 PM
I have a buddy who will vote Ron Paul. He's situated in Florida, and is moving to Iowa during the Christmas holiday. He will definently be there when the caucuses roll around but has never voted in his life and is not registered. What does he need to do in order to be able to vote in the Iowa caucuses while situated in Florida until late-December?

Arklatex
10-17-2011, 08:33 PM
It may be an advantage because a lot of kids are registered in their home county and not the county they relocate to school!

Plus free time to go vote! I view it as a positive.

tsai3904
10-17-2011, 08:41 PM
I have a buddy who will vote Ron Paul. He's situated in Florida, and is moving to Iowa during the Christmas holiday. He will definently be there when the caucuses roll around but has never voted in his life and is not registered. What does he need to do in order to be able to vote in the Iowa caucuses while situated in Florida until late-December?

The deadline to register to vote is December 24. If he can't register by that date, he will have to register at the caucus on January 3. Have him contact you after he moves to get more detailed instructions since it's too early for him to register to vote right now.

tsai3904
10-17-2011, 08:43 PM
It may be an advantage because a lot of kids are registered in their home county and not the county they relocate to school!

Iowa lets you register to vote and register Republican at the caucus. Basically, anyone can show up at any caucus and participate, regardless of where they are registered because they can update their registration at the caucus.

Esoteric
10-17-2011, 09:07 PM
do you think they did it this way on purpose?

bingo!

Esoteric
10-17-2011, 09:08 PM
I have a buddy who will vote Ron Paul. He's situated in Florida, and is moving to Iowa during the Christmas holiday. He will definently be there when the caucuses roll around but has never voted in his life and is not registered. What does he need to do in order to be able to vote in the Iowa caucuses while situated in Florida until late-December?

He needs to make sure he registers as an Iowa resident ASAP.. then registers Rep. ASAP.

jax
10-17-2011, 09:23 PM
College is out of session. Much tougher to get them all out to vote.

Id be willing to be that there isn't many out-of-state students attending college in iowa. There might be a few athletes but they aren't going to be voting in anything anyway.

Bruno
10-17-2011, 09:25 PM
It can be a net positive if a strategy is built around in-state students encouraging family members in their precincts to caucus for Ron Paul.

parocks
10-17-2011, 09:28 PM
Kids need to be told to register in their hometown where their parents live. A complicated procedure could be developed to keep track of all of these people we register, basically, men, and personally GOTV these people. Much more time consuming than just getting everyone in a dorm to register and pulling everyone out of a dorm and into a caucus on campus.

In Iowa, I'd say the best bet is to involve yourself in the official campaign. I can hope they're on top of it.

The ideas would work on other campuses, ones where there are caucuses and where the students are on campus.

In Iowa, it seems like a waste. You do a bunch of things to get students to really like Ron Paul, and then they spread out all over the state and the country and sit at home for 2 weeks. Then, they need to find out where to go caucus, and stand around with a bunch of old people for 2 hours. Just not that many mostly apathetic, but with a favorable opinion about Ron Paul college students are going to do that.

You could target like a laser certain individuals at colleges.

You identify what precincts or caucuses their parents live.

So, where are Iowa State Students going to be on Jan 3?

Is it pretty safe to assume that the biggest cities have the most kids home on break?

Target those major cities right before the Caucus with rock concerts "Rock the R3volution tour.

How about Ron Paul's New Years Eve Party?

The 5 biggest cities in Iowa will all have a Ron Paul's New Years Eve Party?

ZanZibar
10-17-2011, 09:30 PM
Expect a Ron Paul Winter Vacation heh!

parocks
10-17-2011, 09:36 PM
It may be an advantage because a lot of kids are registered in their home county and not the county they relocate to school!

Plus free time to go vote! I view it as a positive.

All we really need is the

home address (where their parents live)
email
phone number

of as many cyclones, hawkeyes etc whose parents live in Iowa.

parocks
10-17-2011, 11:06 PM
All we really need is the

home address (where their parents live)
email
phone number

of as many cyclones, hawkeyes etc whose parents live in Iowa.

We really aren't targeting like a laser all Iowans, but Iowans who live in the cities that we've targeted.

We're trying to move bodies to the caucuses. Warm bodies that are Iowa residents. They don't have to be registered.

I'm liking the idea of a signficant concert on NYE in Des Moines. If we had money to pay quality acts to just perform a show
that will provide us access to thousands of warm bodies of Iowa residents in the demo that we're looking for and we get their
data and tell them that we're going to be contacting them about getting you a ride to the Iowa Caucus in 3 days, we're in good shape.
We don't need political speeches or liberty bands. We need popular bands that will draw people, who will be paid, and who will say
"Go to the caucus on Tuesday and vote for Ron Paul. You will be contacted with instructions."

The reason we gathered the data from the kids at the colleges is that we hit them with this. We want the kids to go to this show.
We hand out maps, with precinct lines drawn on them. And other instructions. And Free Champagne at Midnight if it's NYE.
The show goes well, the kids spread out, tell their friends about it. Some mechanism where the people there get their friends data to us.

michaelkellenger
10-17-2011, 11:23 PM
Blizzard....blizzard...blizzard

WD-NY
10-17-2011, 11:32 PM
It will also be hard, if not impossible, to contact the Iowa students who go to school out of state and will be back home in Iowa for winter break. There's no way to find out who they are, which prevents us from keeping them informed.

Sure there is... Facebook ads.
Age: 18-25
Hometown: list all iowa zip codes
College: In College

etc.

Here's all the different ways you can target people on facebook. Probably 99% of college-age Iowans are on it.
http://www.facebook.com/help/?page=863

Now, will the campaign take advantage of facebook's targeting capability? I have no idea.

eleganz
10-17-2011, 11:54 PM
we've got to find a way to dig deep and reach the rebellious nature of the youth in Iowa, and the rest of America for that matter. Make sure they understand that a vote for Ron Paul is a vote to change the course of global history.

parocks
10-18-2011, 07:09 AM
Sure there is... Facebook ads.
Age: 18-25
Hometown: list all iowa zip codes
College: In College

etc.

Here's all the different ways you can target people on facebook. Probably 99% of college-age Iowans are on it.
http://www.facebook.com/help/?page=863

Now, will the campaign take advantage of facebook's targeting capability? I have no idea.

This sounds like a grassroots project, rather than an official campaign project.

morely webb
10-18-2011, 07:53 AM
We need to start up LETTERS FOR IOWA again.

I agree. I live overseas, but I would like to send letters to potential Iowa and/or NH voters. I think other expatriate supporters of Ron Paul would also like to help the campaign by sending letters to voters.

ScrambleLight
10-18-2011, 08:11 AM
Colleges post books with home addresses in them for student... Yal chapters could flip though and find Iowa residents.