View Full Version : Electability issue dead: ANY Republican beats Obama, 47% to 41%

10-06-2011, 06:05 AM

Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot
Election 2012: Generic Republican 47%, Obama 41%

Tuesday, October 04, 2011

A generic Republican now holds a six-point advantage over President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 match-up for the week ending Sunday, October 2.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the generic Republican earning 47% support, while the president picks up 41% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Last week, the generic Republican and the president were essentially tied. Since weekly tracking began in early May, the Republican has earned 43% to 49% support, while the president has picked up 40% to 45% of the vote.

Rasmussen Reports will provide new data on this generic matchup each week until the field of prospective Republican nominees narrows to a few serious contenders.

President Obama leads most of the current GOP hopefuls aside from New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, who is not running, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, who heís essentially tied with. For a complete listing of all the most current matchups, click here.

The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted September 26-October 2, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

So far this year, the presidentís overall job approval, measured in the Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, has ranged from a low of 42% to a high of 51%. If the election were held today, a presidentís approval rating is a good indicator of how much support he would receive. Any incumbent earning under 50% of the vote is considered politically vulnerable.

10-06-2011, 06:15 AM
It would only get better if Ron was the Republican candidate.

He would likely pick up many of the 3rd party voters, independents, and Dems that don't trust Obama.

It would be a Reagan landslide.