Ron Paul SUPERBOWL Commercial!!!

[ValidusCustodiae]

How much do super bowl commercials cost? Hehe. If Ron does well on Feb 5th, a well made super bowl commercial could give him serious advantage in the Feb 12th states. Just thinking ahead, because if it's affordable (3-4 mil or less) it could be a great way for people who are maxed out but have a lot of extra dough to throw down with everybody else to make yet another American Presidential milestone :D

[hopeforamerica]

Been there, discussed that ;) Way, way. way too much money.

[ValidusCustodiae]

thats what I get for pipedreaming =)

[Danny Molina]

It would cost alot of money to make it and it would take $3mil to air it.

[Matt Collins]

Yes, search this topic.

Essentially it's NOT worth the money.

[nayjevin]

http://futurewire.blogspot.com/2005/02/tivo-releases-super-bowl-viewer-stats.html


Speaking of traditional ratings, Fox reported that the ratings for Super Bowl XXXIX were off from last year. Last Sunday, 86 million viewers tuned in, versus 88 million for last year's game, making it the lowest-rated Super Bowl in six years. Nonetheless, the Super Bowl remains the highest-rated TV event of the year.

If this is accurate, lets say 60% of that 88 million is watching the television at the time our ad airs, and actually see it.

That's 88,000,000 x .6 = 52,800,000 viewers.

by that time, let's estimate 3% of the population is already sure they will vote for him (that'd be a lot higher % of voters).

That leaves 52,800,000 x .97 = 51,216,000 viewers who are potential converts.

Let's assume a standard 1% interest rate (would need to be an excellent commercial):

51,216,000 x .01 = 512,160 interested viewers - i would consider this level of interest a 'likelihood of voting for'. I will define it @ 70%.

512,160 x .7 = 358,512 new general election voters (7,100 per state avg), (who may convince others).

of those 358k, we should get a much higher donation level than any other candidate could, because our online network is streamlined toward the places to donate, and everyone is encouraged to contribute. I will assume 7.5% of the 358k will eventually donate to the campaign, and that they will each donate an average of $225.

358,000 x .075 = 26,850 eventual donors

26,850 x $225 = $6,041,250 total income from ad

am i missing something, or is my figuring wrong?

this doesn't take into account the extra views the commercial receives online or if any other shows on T.V. replay it later.

Thoughts?

[DrNoZone]

Not worth it.

[Paulitician]

Probably not worth it (too costly and risky of a transaction), but man would it be awesome...

[jgmaynard]

Nutty thought I had when we were duscussing this before, but I never mentioned...

What about the football playoffs pre-superbowl? I think it would likely be far less expensive, and still be watched by tens of millions. Thoughts?

JM

[Roxi]

I think spending 3 million to raise a potential 6 million would be worth it.... and who knows how many people would sign on to the grassroots causes as well... that potential dollar amount is HUGE!!

could we raise that in a fund on our own or in coordination with the campaign before hand? if so i think its a good investment

[JMann]

Frequency is the key to advertising not the size of the population that you are trying to reach. In other words you would rather hit 10 people 10 times than 100 people once.

Obviously Super Bowl provides a unique opportunity and for companies that can drop 3 million for 30 seconds it is a great audience but this is just one part of massive advertising budgets for the companies you see advertising in the Super Bowl.

If Paul had the foresight (and cash) we could of had the Ron Paul Bowl this December.

[francisco]

How about FREE advertising at the Super Bowl; via fans displaying signs?

[Ncturnal]

Plus the advertisers go all out for SuperBowl commercials. It's a safe bet that they spend a lot more making the commercial than they do on the airtime. It wouldn't be a 3 million dollar venture. It's safe to say it would be at least double that, in which case it wouldn't come close to being worth it.



How about FREE advertising at the Super Bowl; via fans displaying signs?

That's certainly possible.

[JMann]

Maybe drop turkeys onto the field from a halicopter in a promotional free turkey give-a-way.


"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly!!!"
-- Arthur Carlson, WKRP in Cincinnati

[Question_Authority]

How much do super bowl commercials cost? Hehe. If Ron does well on Feb 5th, a well made super bowl commercial could give him serious advantage in the Feb 12th states. Just thinking ahead, because if it's affordable (3-4 mil or less) it could be a great way for people who are maxed out but have a lot of extra dough to throw down with everybody else to make yet another American Presidential milestone :D

but we would probably have to commit to and pay up front for this commercial, well in advance. Too risky and too expensive.

[Ncturnal]

Truthfully it's probably too late to get on board anyway.

[freelance]

Is tailgating allowed at the Superbowl? Might be a good roadtrip for Granny if tailgating is allowed, which I doubt it is--terra, terra, terra...

[Brad Zink]

Someone in the crowd could unfurl a Ron Paul Banner behind the goal posts during field goals and extra points.

http://urbanlife.net/ronpaul/banner.jpg

[syborius]

Not worth it.



I am not so certain. I think because of the sheer volume it may just be worth it. If the message is end the war NOW, repeal the 16th, and repeal the patriot act. Restore the constitution, I think you would get a ground swell of interest. I say GO FOR IT. I like the idea.