PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Survey - Good stuff

[TexMac]

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Survey (http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2011/09/ppp-d-texas-2012-presidential-survey.html)


Rick Perry 51% [45%] (45%)
Barack Obama 44% [47%] (45%)



Mitt Romney 47% [50%] (49%)
Barack Obama 41% [42%] (42%)



Ron Paul 43% [45%]
Barack Obama 42% [40%]




Barack Obama 46% (43%)
Newt Gingrich 45% (48%)



Barack Obama 45% [44%]
Michele Bachmann 43% [47%]


Note: In 2008, John McCain received 55% of the vote in Texas. In 2004, George W. Bush received 61% of the vote in TX.

Among Independents


Ron Paul 45% [38%]
Barack Obama 44% [45%]



Barack Obama 43% [47%] (43%)
Mitt Romney 42% [33%] (41%)



Barack Obama 52% [59%] (50%)
Rick Perry 41% [27%] (31%)



Barack Obama 49% [54%]
Michele Bachmann 36% [28%]



Barack Obama 52% (48%)
Newt Gingrich 37% (34%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 62% of the Independent vote in Texas (33% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 67% of the Independent vote in TX (24% of the electorate).
Among Men


Rick Perry 52% [53%] (47%)
Barack Obama 43% [40%] (45%)



Mitt Romney 48% [54%] (50%)
Barack Obama 41% [37%] (42%)



Ron Paul 47% [51%]
Barack Obama 41% [33%]



Newt Gingrich 47% (48%)
Barack Obama 45% (44%)



Michele Bachmann 45% [53%]
Barack Obama 44% [40%]


Note: In 2008, John McCain received 59% of the Male vote in Texas (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in TX (45% of the electorate).
Among Women


Rick Perry 51% [39%] (43%)
Barack Obama 44% [52%] (45%)



Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (48%)
Barack Obama 40% [45%] (43%)



Barack Obama 46% (43%)
Newt Gingrich 44% (48%)



Barack Obama 45% [47%]
Michele Bachmann 41% [42%]



Barack Obama 43% [47%]
Ron Paul 39% [39%]

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 52% of the Female vote in Texas (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 63% of the Female vote in TX (55% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}


Mitt Romney 32% [37%] (40%) / 49% [43%] (37%) {-17%}
Ron Paul 29% [30%] / 54% [46%] {-25%}
Newt Gingrich 29% (38%) / 56% (44%) {-27%}
Michele Bachmann 27% [39%] / 55% [36%] {-28%}

Among Republicans


Newt Gingrich 48% (63%) / 36% (20%) {+12%}
Mitt Romney 38% [53%] (53%) / 43% [29%] (24%) {-5%}
Michele Bachmann 35% [51%] / 46% [23%] {-11%}
Ron Paul 30% [33%] / 54% [43%] {-24%}

Among Independents


Mitt Romney 39% [29%] (35%) / 43% [51%] (37%) {-4%}
Ron Paul 40% [39%] / 47% [41%] {-7%}
Michele Bachmann 28% [32%] / 55% [41%] {-27%}
Newt Gingrich 26% (26%) / 58% (58%) {-32%}

Among Moderates


Mitt Romney 32% [24%] (32%) / 44% [54%] (38%) {-12%}
Ron Paul 30% [29%] / 52% [43%] {-22%}
Michele Bachmann 17% [25%] / 64% [55%] {-47%}
Newt Gingrich 18% (24%) / 67% (55%) {-49%}

Among Men


Ron Paul 34% [36%] / 53% [46%] {-19%}
Newt Gingrich 35% (42%) / 56% (48%) {-21%}
Michele Bachmann 32% [43%] / 53% [41%] {-21%}
Mitt Romney 29% [41%] (46%) / 58% [45%] (40%) {-29%}

Among Women


Mitt Romney 35% [34%] (34%) / 41% [42%] (34%) {-6%}
Michele Bachmann 23% [36%] / 58% [32%] {-35%}
Newt Gingrich 24% (35%) / 56% (40%) {-32%}
Ron Paul 23% [24%] / 55% [46%] {-32%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?


Approve 40% [42%] (42%)
Disapprove 55% [55%] (55%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?


Approve 45% [43%]
Disapprove 48% [52%]

Among Republicans


Approve 78%
Disapprove 14%


Among Independents


Approve 32%
Disapprove 61%

Among Moderates


Approve 22%
Disapprove 73%

Among Men



Approve 48%
Disapprove 47%

Among Women


Approve 44%
Disapprove 49%


Survey of 569 Texas voters was conducted September 15-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% [44%] (42%) Republican; 36% [35%] (31%) Democrat; 20% [21%] (27%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% [29%] Moderate; 26% [26%] Somewhat conservative; 23% [26%] Very conservative; 14% [13%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [6%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 (http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2011/06/poll-watch-ppp-d-texas-2012.html) are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 (http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2011/01/poll-watch-ppp-d-texas-2012.html) are in parentheses.
-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal (http://argojournal.blogspot.com/).

[TexMac]

Top tier in Texas! I thought we were getting a poll forum? I couldn't find it.

ETA: Look who Texas independents think can beat Obama.

[sailingaway]

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?317045-PPP-Poll-Texas-Presidential-General-Election-Paul-Beats-Obama

[D.A.S.]

Oh boy... So Men like us, and Independents like us... Women don't like us, and Republicans don't like us.

[sailingaway]

Oh boy... So Men like us, and Independents like us... Women don't like us, and Republicans don't like us.

Republicans in TEXAS where Perry is the head of the party, and it is open primary so you aren't penalized for not being in Perry's party, don't like us. But no one likes Perry, either.

[pauliticalfan]

Rick Perry with a negative job approval rating in Texas ha.

[D.A.S.]

I still haven't figured out why there is so much support for Perry from the people. Maybe this early in the race, people are just voting with name recognition and whatever soundbytes they heard or read about.

[RonPaul101.com]

I think the campaign should try to court hispanic voters in Texas; either run a couple of ads on the spanish speaking networks, or take a trip to Puerto Rico and give some speeches (Ron could use a vacation too). I know forum goer's will be lining up to beat me up over this post, but hispanics want the American dream too. They want a responsible government, they are a very large and growing demographic and Texas is an open, proportional, early primary; so it would translate to votes in the primary. In an open and proportional primary, you can't turn your back on anyone.

Remember a year ago, Obama took a quick trip to PR and hispanics by and large felt that he actually cared about their interest. Of course Obama's a fraud, but that doesn't detract from it being a good campaign move. Ron Paul actually does care about preserving the American Dream and that will display well with folks.