PPP Poll - Missouri GOP Presidential Primary

[tsai3904]

Missouri (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/09/missouri-republicans-favor-steelman-perry-someone-other-than-kinder.html)
9/9 - 9/12
400 usual Republican primary voters
+/-4.9%

Perry 31%
Romney 15%
Cain 10%
Gingrich 10%
Bachmann 9%
Paul 8%
Huntsman 2%
Santorum 1%

Ron Paul Crosstabs:

18 to 29 - 25%
30 to 45 - 12%
46 to 65 - 4%
Older than 65 - 5%


Man 10%
Woman 6%


Results from last Missouri poll:

Missouri (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/05/akin-steelman-basically-tied.html)
4/28 - 5/1
400
+/-4.9%

Huckabee 28%
Romney 13%
Trump 12%
Gingrich 10%
Bachmann 9%
Palin 8%
Paul 6%
Pawlenty 5%

Ron Paul Crosstabs:

18 to 29 - 6%
30 to 45 - 5%
46 to 65 - 7%
Older than 65 - 6%


Man 8%
Woman 4%

[SilentBull]

We desperately need an ad targeted to seniors.

[D.A.S.]

Not terrible. Some work to do, but having lived in MO, I think we have a better chance in MO than in SC for sure.

[specsaregood]

Tied for 1st with that youngster age group. Which was the lowest polled group.
% polled by age group
18 to 29................................................ ........... 6%
30 to 45................................................ ........... 28%
46 to 65................................................ ........... 42%
Older than 65................................................ .. 24%

We really need to come up with a way to make it "cool" event to go and vote for dr. paul.

[kahless]

Anyone on the ground in Missouri that has insight into this poll?

[RonPaul101.com]

Tied for 1st with that youngster age group. Which was the lowest polled group.
% polled by age group
18 to 29................................................ ........... 6%
30 to 45................................................ ........... 28%
46 to 65................................................ ........... 42%
Older than 65................................................ .. 24%

We really need to come up with a way to make it "cool" event to go and vote for dr. paul.

Add to that our porrest performing demographic is the highest percentage of people polled. So its possible we could actually be running 2nd here among actual voters. However, being well behind Perry in the south is going to be the biggest issue at hand from now until the nomination. We need to hope/wait for Perry to implode while we are still steadily gaining nationally and catching up to Romney, so that he doesn't inherit the Perry votes.

[michaelkellenger]

No, the 18-29% range is lowest polled because....well that is how they vote. THis is usually about the spread by age group on election date.

[IndianaPolitico]

I really think, that if we can increase our polling numbers with seniors, we can win!

[trey4sports]

better than i thought.

[specsaregood]

No, the 18-29% range is lowest polled because....well that is how they vote. THis is usually about the spread by age group on election date.

Yes indeed, "usually". Now I wouldn't suggest that we go "all in" in getting the youth vote, BUT that trend has been reversing:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27525497/ns/politics-decision_08/t/youth-vote-may-have-been-key-obamas-win/

excerpts:


Early reports are indicating that the youngest members of the country's electorate voted Tuesday in higher numbers than in the last presidential election — and they voted more Democratic. Youth turnout appears to be exceeding 2004 levels, which was itself a year with a big surge in voters ages 18 to 29.

“We expected record turnout, and that is what we’re seeing right now,” says Heather Smith, a spokeswoman for Rock the Vote, an organization that works to encourage young people to register and vote in every election.

Political analysts have long been forecasting a high number of young voters in this presidential election — but there’s always that niggling fear that young people will do what young people are known for: flaking out, slacking off and failing to show up when it counts.

But this time, young people turned out to vote in droves. An estimated 22 to 24 million young people voted in this election, an increase in youth turnout by at least 2.2 million over 2004, according to CIRCLE.

In 2004, 20.1 million 18- to 29-year-olds voted — a 4.3 million increase from 2000, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The turnout increase among younger voters was more than double that of the overall electorate. And in this year’s primary elections, at least 50 percent more young people voted than they did in the 2004 primary in every state except New York, which stayed flat. In some states, voter turnout among 18- to 29-year-olds doubled or tripled.


I'm just saying, if we made a big effort to make it "cool" to vote in the republican primary for Dr. Paul it could make a difference. Especially in the GOP primary where youth are generally even more underrepresented.

[parocks]

Tied for 1st with that youngster age group. Which was the lowest polled group.
% polled by age group
18 to 29................................................ ........... 6%
30 to 45................................................ ........... 28%
46 to 65................................................ ........... 42%
Older than 65................................................ .. 24%

We really need to come up with a way to make it "cool" event to go and vote for dr. paul.

Yes. That is one of the main things that the grassroots should be doing.

Meetup groups. Working at Universities. Making sure that everyone at the Universities is registered. Youth for Ron Paul. Many think Ron Paul is cool already, and we do want everyone to think he's cool, but we also have to make sure that they all are registered, they all vote, and that requires some organization.

[Billay]

Paul has doubled his numbers in Missouri from last time around.