PPP Poll - Kentucky GOP Presidential Primary

[tsai3904]

Kentucky (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/09/perry-leads-in-kentucky.html)
8/25 - 8/28
326 usual Republican primary voters
+/-5.4%

With Palin:

Perry 34%
Romney 14%
Palin 12%
Paul 8%
Gingrich 7%
Bachmann 6%
Cain 3%
Huntsman 3%
Santorum 2%


Without Palin:

Perry 39%
Romney 15%
Paul 11%
Bachmann 10%
Gingrich 8%
Cain 3%
Huntsman 1%
Santorum 1%


Ron Paul Crosstabs With Palin (Without Palin):

18 to 29 - 20% (20%)
30 to 45 - 7% (14%)
46 to 65 - 10% (11%)
Older than 65 - 4% (6%)


Man 6% (9%)
Woman 11% (13%)


Results from last Kentucky poll:

Kentucky (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/11/rest-of-2012-polls.html)
10/28 - 10/30/10
320
+/-5.5%

Huckabee 26%
Palin 19%
Gingrich 17%
Romney 13%
Daniels 4%
Pence 2%
Pawlenty 1%
Thune 0%

[rp08orbust]

Not bad at all for a semi-Southern state. (I wasn't expecting any trickle-up benefit from Rand btw.)

[teacherone]

pretty terrible given that his son is a senator down there.

[rp08orbust]

pretty terrible given that his son is a senator down there.

That small benefit may be reflected in these numbers matching the national average instead of the regional average. 4% wouldn't have surprised me at all.

[sailingaway]

Didn't PPP cross their heart and hope to die pledge to leave Palin out of its polls unless she announced a run by Labor Day?

[sailingaway]

pretty terrible given that his son is a senator down there.

They aren't remotely the same. Ron Paul was tied for first as a Senate prospect in early polls in Texas -- without ever suggesting he wanted to run... but he isn't first in the presidential primary polls there, either. It is a very different thing to pick the one favorite in the entire nation, then the best of two in a state.

Still, I think Rand will stand Ron well.

[Morerockin]

It's Kentucky . . . who cares? Kentucky isn't an early primary state and they generally follow in line with who's winning

[TonySutton]

Didn't PPP cross their heart and hope to die pledge to leave Palin out of its polls unless she announced a run by Labor Day?

These numbers are from a pre Labor Day poll

[rp08orbust]

Didn't PPP cross their heart and hope to die pledge to leave Palin out of its polls unless she announced a run by Labor Day?

Isn't PPP renown for moving the goal posts?

[sailingaway]

I just tweeted:



usernamenuse sailing
@
@ppppolls weren't you going to drop her from the polls if she didn't announce by Labor Day?

and they tweeted:


ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
@
@usernamenuse Last weekend was her last one being included.

so I tweeted:


usernamenuse sailing
@
@ppppolls thanks.

so they kept her in just long enough to keep Ron from being in head to head polling against Obama, in KY, unfortunately. But I hope that will change, going forward.

[turbobrain9]

yet again Ron Paul is polling in low single digits with persons that are 65 and older. From what I understand of primary politics and elections as long as a candidate remains there, that candidate will be crushed in the primaries...

65+: read the newspapers and watch standard TV...which all ignore or smear Ron...

18yo-29 bracket: all use the internet and he is (I assume) leading with that demographic...

That's Ron's biggest obstacle and unless and until he starts polling at 10% or higher in that bracket, he's cooked, done, gone....

The main way to reach them is to do direct mail pieces..has anyone seen them??? An offical campaign direct mail piece?

[michaelkellenger]

We really need to talk to the old/ignorant people. Old people also are worried about their Social Security, Medicare, etc. I think we must stress that Ron does not ever suggest taking this away from them.

[sailingaway]

yet again Ron Paul is polling in low single digits with persons that are 65 and older. From what I understand of primary politics and elections as long as a candidate remains there, that candidate will be crushed in the primaries...

65+: read the newspapers and watch standard TV...which all ignore or smear Ron...

18yo-29 bracket: all use the internet and he is (I assume) leading with that demographic...

That's Ron's biggest obstacle and unless and until he starts polling at 10% or higher in that bracket, he's cooked, done, gone....

The main way to reach them is to do direct mail pieces..has anyone seen them??? An offical campaign direct mail piece?

they did some in Iowa.

[JamesButabi]

3rd Place again :). This can only be viewed as good news.

[Jeremy Tyler]

It's cool to have a poll for Ky since I live here....but they are right, our primary is very late and just follow whoever is already winning.

[libertybrewcity]

11% is great. We need to break this 6-14% barrier.

[RonPaul101.com]

Surprisingly much higher among women...

[Kregisen]

He's polling 11% with women and only 6% with men???? that's the exact opposite from every poll I've seen