Official prediction 11-5 thread

[hummtide]

Good god, this seems like me predicting my college football scores.. LOL!

Im saying $4,234,865.09

[kylejack]

600k

[ItsTime]

100 billion

[terlinguatx]

...

[Travis]

3,333,333

[terlinguatx]

...

[ItsTime]

what do we win?

'
Some rules:
1) Total amount donated will be determined based on data from ronpaulgraphs.com
2) One vote per person
3) Any edited posts will be disqualified

[tfelice]

$994,070

[hummtide]

what do we win?

'



Respect! :D

[Green Mountain Boy]

$2,234,731.12

[kylejack]

Some rules:
1) Total amount donated will be determined based on data from ronpaulgraphs.com
2) One vote per person
3) Any edited posts will be disqualified

edit : 4) Predictions made past Midnight PST will not count

Midnight EST.

[itsnobody]

$2,563,593

I want it to be around $7 million though

[dj191]

$2,605,235

[MEGAMERICAN]

$2,666,192.05

[Lyn]

$2,685,273.37

[FluffyUnbound]

1,209,900

[terlinguatx]

...

[garrettwombat]

what was the last price?

oh ok...

1,209,901

[benhaskins]

6 million :)

[kylejack]

MST - compromise

No predictions should be permitted after money is already rolling in. That doesn't make sense. Money starts rolling in at midnight EST.

[Benaiah]

2 mill 789k

[terlinguatx]

...

[Dustancostine]

1,689,000.76

[ChrisM]

Are we going by Price is Right rules?

If so:

$1

[kylejack]

Are we going by Price is Right rules?

If so:

$1

"$1, Bob." is the correct terminology, I believe.

[reduen]

Respect! :D

Sorry, this can't be won, it must be earned...

1,750,000.00

[hummtide]

Are we going by Price is Right rules?

If so:

$1



Well if thats the case then....


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rF8P-5h5mcg

[mtbaird5687]

1,615,000

[ACJohn]

4,251,000

[philipsantamaria]

$800,000

[MGreen]

Crap, I was gonna go with 800k too.

[James R]

$1,016,235.50 is my official estimate

EDIT:
I can imagine as low as $650,000 and as high as about 3 million

[Original_Intent]

$1,800, 687.95

[justinc.1089]

I'm going with....

$2,004,060

[NewEnd]

$1,764,026, Bob!

[dt_]

who knows but hopefully it'll be a lot! :)

[jake]

$1,447,450

triple my prediction!

[evadmurd]

$1,785,675.23

[Buzz]

$999,999.99

[Marceline88]

Seriously $3,000,000.00

[aspiringconstitutionalist]

2,999,999, Drew!

[LBennett76]

4,328,192
*crosses fingers that it's closer to 10 mil*

[Naraku]

I like the sound of $2.2 million, that's a good strong easy number.

[justinc.1089]

4,328,192
*crosses fingers that it's closer to 10 mil*

Haha amen to that!

And for the person that said 3 million, thats my high end estimate. I'm thinking we'll see between 1-3 million.

But I hope for at least above Kerry's 3 sooooo much, and for 10 even more!:D

[MO4RonPaul]

3,512,780.00

[Edward]

100 billionNice Dr. Evil reference.

$1,116,133.20

[scbissler]

$2,417,763

[justinc.1089]

I hope these estimates are generally right, because they're all real high! :D

[curiousobserver]

~ 1.23 million

[Paul4Prez]

$3,057,250

[James R]

I calculated the average of the 39 guesses so far at 2.2 million. Thats about twice what I think but hopefully I'll be proven wrong!

[aspiringconstitutionalist]

I calculated the average of the 39 guesses so far at 2.2 million. Thats about twice what I think but hopefully I'll be proven wrong!

Get the ketchup ready. Prepare to EAT your prediction!

[atariman486]

1.2 million

[Leslie Webb]

$2.8 million, but I hope we break $3 million.

[majinkoola]

It's 11:58 pm, so I can still guess.

$1,340,000

[sergeant_x]

$3,102,324.99

[peacemonger]

17762008.00

Maybe its a bit ambitious

[ClayTrainor]

im thinking at least 2 mil now that im witnessing the power first hand.

[Devil_rules_in_extremes]

Ill go with 1.5million, but thats my conservative guess...

[Paul4Prez]

My prediction was just over $3M (see earlier post).

After the first two hours, we're on pace for $2.75M.

[Gimme Some Truth]

I predict in and around 1.2 - 1.5 mill being raised off the net . Add the 300k from offline = 1.5 - 1.8mill

That should do nicely :)

[kylejack]

600k
You guys are making me look terrible! Keep it up!

I'd like to thank you guys for proving me wrong. I'd like to thank the haters for steeling our resolve and for donating on other days! I'd like to thank Trevor for putting up the site. I'd like to thank whoever came up with the original idea. GO TEAM GO

[MozoVote]

I was ready to say 1.8 mil last night.... but didn't post. I think there will be another "spike on the spike" when people come home from work, and perhaps a final blowoff approaching midnight.

I say at least 2.2 mil now. And 2.5 is quite plausible.

[mannycp]

2.5 mil!!

[TheEvilDetector]

3 million easily guys. You have no idea what has been unleashed, its exponential right now although it will slow down somewhat later.

[terlinguatx]

...

[kimosabi]

Currently Dr Paul is getting

$108,054/hour

-or-

$1,800/minute

-or-

$30.02/second

So I'm around $2.6 Million

[Abyss19562]

Over 3 million. We've already raised over 2 million in like 8 hours. I checked right before I went to bed and right when I got up and to my calculations we raised over 2 million in about 8 or 9 hours. By the time today is over I say we raise the whole 6 million. Because in another 8 or 9 hours it will be atleast 2 more million which would put us right at our goal of 6 million.

[TheEvilDetector]

I have upgraded my previous minimum estimate, I now believe the minimum raised will be $4,000,000 for the day.

Check out http://paulcash.slact.net/

$400,000 every two hours.

There is at least 6-7 such 2 hour blocks left and add that to the already 1.2MIL raised.

Final day tally will be just under $7 Million.

Earlier I claimed it will slow down, but think about this for a second, for every state entering a quiet part of the day there will be another entering an active part.

More to the point, take the case of people waking up in the morning, first eastern, then central, then mountain, then pacific, and so it goes for all active and quiet parts of the days, meaning overall the pace stays white hot.

When the media reports that Ron Paul raised $4M+ in one day, they are going to have to concede his front runner status, because my friends, $4M+ in one day is 1/3 of what the fascist raised in the entire last quarter with all his rich evil friends donating.

[justinc.1089]

I'm going with....

$2,004,060

Well that was my prediction, but I think I was wrong now!:D

I know this prediction doesn't count now, but I think now its going to be like at least 2.6 million.:eek::)

[TheEvilDetector]

Well that was my prediction, but I think I was wrong now!:D

I know this prediction doesn't count now, but I think now its going to be like at least 2.6 million.:eek::)

You are being way too consrevative my friend. Check out http://paulcash.slact.net/

$4M+, mark my words

[jake]

I wonder if we will see coverage on the ABC,CBS or NBC nightly news programs tonight?

[justinc.1089]

Well I said at least, thats my bottom estimate. My high estimate is $5 million.

But thats WAY better than a $1-3 million estimate!:eek:

Instead of $1-3 its $3-5 million now for me!:D

I just hope we set the biggest fundraising record ever mainly.

[justinc.1089]

I wonder if we will see coverage on the ABC,CBS or NBC nightly news programs tonight?

I would doubt tonight, probably tomorrow is what I would think, unless this really gets their attention quickly and strongly. (And it will get it strongly, especially Hannity and O'reilly lol!!!!! Oh I would die to see them today when they hear about this! hehe)

[Edward]

$1,116,133.20I am happy to report that someone else's prediction is going to win.

[misconstrued]

You are being way too consrevative my friend. Check out http://paulcash.slact.net/

$4M+, mark my words

PaulCash won't load for me :(

[RJB]

I'll give my accurate prediction at 11:59pm tonight ;)

[justinc.1089]

Well then for it to be accurate I demand you have a margin of error within one dollar!:p

[TheEvilDetector]

PaulCash won't load for me :(

Yeah, it just stopped responding for me a few minutes ago. Hopefully it will be back up soon, it has nice graphs of its own and things you wont see on ronpaulgraphs.com

There is a nice graph for 11-5 on ronpaulgraphs.com though
http://ronpaulgraphs.com/nov_5_extended_total.html

[justinc.1089]

Well that was my prediction, but I think I was wrong now!:D

I know this prediction doesn't count now, but I think now its going to be like at least 2.6 million.:eek::)

Lol although I decided to predict very conservatively this last time I was wrong again! :eek: Not only has my first prediction been passed, but now my second is about to be passed as well!

This time I am going to say $4.0 million!

I really see this getting another million and a half which will be getting around 4 million I think. Hopefully I will be wrong again lol!:D:D:D

[sedele]

http://arbyte.us/blog_archive/2005/11/drevil_million_dollars.jpg
6 Million Dollars!

[Edward]

http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/e/e5/Sixmilliondollar4.jpg

[justinc.1089]

So who won the prediction so far? I know I didn't thankfully lol! Its great that we're so far above my prediction!:eek::):D

[NewEnd]

contenders
I say, if you underbid, you are out for being pessimistic... :P

underbids

X- Marceline - 3,000,000.00
X- Paul4Prez - 3,057,250
X- sergeant_x - 3,102,324.99

current overbids

Travis - 3,333,333
MO4ronpaul - 3,512,780.00
hummtide - 4,234,865.09
ACJohn - 4,251,000
LBennett76 - 4,328,192

Loks like to me, it will be MO4RonPaul - LBennet

GO LBENNET!! :P

[misconstrued]

I'm quite sure we'll be over $4 million for the day.

[Suzu]

I'm quite sure we'll be over $4 million for the day.

And I'm quite sure that at least one of the other candidates is currently taking a warm bath :D

[yaz]

5.15 million

[justinc.1089]

I think humtide is going to be the closest out of us all. And the people that are close but under count too because we didn't say if you're under it doesn't count. The winner is just whoever comes the closest.

Wouldn't it be great though if we manage to pull out $5 million? I think 4 is a sure thing.:D

[Marceline88]

Dammit...I wanted to say 3.5...dammit!!!

[Marceline88]

Ohh wait, I'd still be under...hahah dammit...I mean YAAAAY!!!!

[justinc.1089]

But being under does not matter since we didn't say that was a rule, so whoever is just closest wins truthfully. I mean I can't win anyway, I've lost lol, so it doesn't matter to me but I'm just saying thats not fair to the person that comes closest if they happen to be under not over since we didn't make that a rule...

[Edward]

And the closest three are...


Good god, this seems like me predicting my college football scores.. LOL!

Im saying $4,234,865.09


4,251,000


4,328,192
*crosses fingers that it's closer to 10 mil*

$4,332,612.51 is the unofficial tally. Let's see what they say tomorrow morning.

[Roxi]

$130,000 - final answer

[NewEnd]

But being under does not matter since we didn't say that was a rule, so whoever is just closest wins truthfully. I mean I can't win anyway, I've lost lol, so it doesn't matter to me but I'm just saying thats not fair to the person that comes closest if they happen to be under not over since we didn't make that a rule...


it doesn't matter. closest, whatever, well see.. but the official numbers are kind of hazy, counting mail in and phone donations.... I think it may be 4.5M

[LBennett76]

WOW! I was only $4,500 away?! Damn.
I think someone needs to take me to Vegas! lol

[NewEnd]

the winners were hummtide or AC john. HQ says 4.2 million was raised. but it doesn't get any more specific.

[hummtide]

Scoorrrreeee!

[Paul4Prez]

I think the $4.3 million included the $300K in offline donations that were added in right after midnight. Wasn't the starting point (after adding those) at $3.11 million? Didn't the daily total end at around $7.11 million?