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sailingaway
08-22-2011, 11:27 PM
nothing specifically on Ron but Obama leading GOP with '2008 type numbers' except Romney says to me this declared Dem pollster has a house effect. Not that I think PPP even polled Ron against Obama....



ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Obama leading Perry by 24 with independents on our national poll...Dems can only hope...
8 hours ago Favorite Retweet Reply

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Our monthly national poll finds different story from Gallup: Obama tied with Romney but up by 2008 like margins v. rest of GOP field
8 hours ago

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Huge divide in the Iowa GOP base. Among Tea Partiers Perry leads Romney 32-6. Among non-Tea Partiers Romney leads Perry 30-16.
11 hours ago

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Huntsman fav with Iowa GOPers is 13/40! But he has 6 supporters there now, up from 1 when we last polled the state in June,
11 hours ago

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Bachmann fav with Iowa GOP voters in June: 53/16. Now: 47/35. Looks like she may have already peaked and started back on down the hill.
11 hours ago

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
35% of Iowa Republicans believe in evolution, 21% in global warming. Perry knows what he's doing.
11 hours ago

ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Romney leads in Iowa among voters who believe in evolution, global warming, and Barack Obama's birth in the US. So Rick Perry leads overall
11 hours ago Favorite Retweet Reply

CaptainAmerica
08-22-2011, 11:33 PM
My first question is : Who makes the Gallup Poll and the Rasmussen Poll?
second question is: Who determines what data to release publicly?

sailingaway
08-22-2011, 11:39 PM
My understanding is Rasmussen and Gallup are independent although people think Rasmussen is conservative and Gallup is more liberal.

PPP releases what they want, they do most of these for free as advertising and to keep themselves in the conversation. They now do Daly Kos's polling. But they are an identified Dem polling company, and they do have a preference. They are all fairly accurate 'in the window' of two weeks before an election, but they can play with polling populations within boundaries, between those times, and many think they do. Not so much gallup, maybe, but Gallup always seems to skew liberal.

trey4sports
08-22-2011, 11:42 PM
those PPP smirks are quiet immature....

CaptainAmerica
08-22-2011, 11:42 PM
My understanding is Rasmussen and Gallup are independent although people think Rasmussen is conservative and Gallup is more liberal.

PPP releases what they want, they do most of these for free as advertising and to keep themselves in the conversation. They now do Daly Kos's polling. But they are an identified Dem polling company, and they do have a preference. They are all fairly accurate 'in the window' of two weeks before an election, but they can play with polling populations within boundaries, between those times, and many think they do. Not so much gallup, maybe, but Gallup always seems to skew liberal.

It is not the mis-information that I fear in a poll, but the missing information in every poll. "Other" lol is always commonly in a poll that has no Ron paul selection.

ronpaulitician
08-23-2011, 12:55 AM
Rasmussen tied for first in the "accuracy" ranking in this 2008 election data (http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%2 0election.pdf).

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)