realtonygoodwin
08-14-2011, 07:29 PM
I think Romney will continue to lead, and Bachmann and Perry will be at each other's throats. Bachmann has mostly been vetted by now. Perry is being attacked on all sides, by everyone from the Democrats, to Tom Tancredo and Mike Huckabee. He will do the same thing that Trump, Cain, and Bachmann have done, and fade out within a couple months.
Bachmann will go after him and Paul, since we are her two biggest threats. Romney will continue to rise above everyone else. Like I said months ago, we need to make this a two person race, between Romney and Paul.
Bachmann will get a little boost from the Straw Poll, but will also faced increased attacks and pressure. I worry about her health. She was missing from the stage during parts of the previous debate, and she has been giving very brief speeches.
I think Paul's floor is in the 10-12% range currently, and will be unlikely to dip much below that. Depending on how the economy does, he could go well above that.
Pawlenty's supporters will spread out to Perry, a few to Romney, and some to Santorum. Santorum should see a small rise in his poll numbers for the immediate future, but won't be able to raise the funds to stay competitive.
Cain is going to stay where he is, not moving up or down in the polls. As long as he is in the race, he pulls a few votes from Romney, a few from Perry, a few from Paul, and a few from Bachmann. Unless something major happens, he may stay in until the South Carolina primaries.
Bachmann will go after him and Paul, since we are her two biggest threats. Romney will continue to rise above everyone else. Like I said months ago, we need to make this a two person race, between Romney and Paul.
Bachmann will get a little boost from the Straw Poll, but will also faced increased attacks and pressure. I worry about her health. She was missing from the stage during parts of the previous debate, and she has been giving very brief speeches.
I think Paul's floor is in the 10-12% range currently, and will be unlikely to dip much below that. Depending on how the economy does, he could go well above that.
Pawlenty's supporters will spread out to Perry, a few to Romney, and some to Santorum. Santorum should see a small rise in his poll numbers for the immediate future, but won't be able to raise the funds to stay competitive.
Cain is going to stay where he is, not moving up or down in the polls. As long as he is in the race, he pulls a few votes from Romney, a few from Perry, a few from Paul, and a few from Bachmann. Unless something major happens, he may stay in until the South Carolina primaries.