PDA

View Full Version : Interesting new poll has RP in 2nd




parocks
07-21-2011, 07:03 AM
well, if D's and I's are asked

http://cdn.yougov.com/downloads/releases/econ/20110716_econTabReport.pdf

detailed crosstabs on Obama vs Paul also of note

see question 38

TheState
07-21-2011, 07:21 AM
What a weird poll.

They only show the results for Obama vs Gingrich and Obama vs Paul? Why?

Thanks for the info! RP crushed Obama with men, and actually leads the GOP field with men too.

parocks
07-21-2011, 07:27 AM
http://today.yougov.com/economist-poll-archive/

they do 2 head to heads a week.

Paul is down by 6 with leaners, perry down by 10, cain down by 11


What a weird poll.

They only show the results for Obama vs Gingrich and Obama vs Paul? Why?

Thanks for the info! RP crushed Obama with men, and actually leads the GOP field with men too.



********************************
http://cdn.yougov.com/downloads/releases/econ/20110716_econTabReport.pdf
********************************
Obama vs

with leaners
Paul - 8 6
Gingrich 19 18

*************
http://cdn.yougov.com/downloads/releases/econ/20110709_econTabReport.pdf

Cain - 11 11
perry 10 10

*********************

bachmann 12 12
palin 20 20

**********************

huntsmann 14 14
romney 5 3 wih leaners

****************

Bachmann is trending down with Republicans
9% - JULY 17
12% - july 9
18% - july 2
9% - june 25
12% - june 18

Ron Paul is trending up with Independents
15% - july 16
19% - july 9
18% - july 2
13% - june 25
10% - june 18



http://today.yougov.com/economist-poll-archive/

In the midwest - Obama 51 Perry 29
Obama 45 Paul 34

Zarn Solen
07-21-2011, 07:41 AM
According to this, Paul's strong regions are the Midwest (12% 1st), Northeast (10% 3rd), and West (9% tied 3rd). He is very weak in the South (5% 6th discounting other).

He is strongest with Independents (15% 1st). He is not well received by rank-and-file GOPers (5% 5th) or Dems (6% Tied 4th).

He does 2nd best in whites (Romney) and Hispanics (Ironically Bachmann). He is tied for 5th among blacks.

The problem is getting people to switch to GOP and getting people already GOP outside of the South (save perhaps TX and LA) to vote for Paul. Paul needs to be strong in three regions. The South just won't be it. At least, that is what I take from one poll. Other polls may say otherwise. I think we need to take a close look at where the support is.

TheState
07-21-2011, 07:56 AM
http://today.yougov.com/economist-poll-archive/

they do 2 head to heads a week.

Ah, makes sense, thanks!

Aratus
07-21-2011, 02:37 PM
if huckabee and demint back ron paul,
could that help with good ole dixie???

sailingaway
07-21-2011, 03:00 PM
July 16-19, 2011
Target population U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.
Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s PollingPoint panel using sample
matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and
region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter
registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and
non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current
Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the
PollingPoint panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender,
race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an
ideology scale. The weights range from 0.5 to 5.3, with a mean of one and a
standard deviation of 0.79.
Number of respondents 1000
Margin of error 4% (adjusted for weighting)
Survey mode Web-based interviews
Questions not reported 23 questions not reported.

so respondents were chosen from their panel. How do people get onto their panel becomes the next question? I'm wondering if this is kind of like those Zogby polls, with a self selected respondent group.

parocks
07-21-2011, 08:08 PM
Yeah, that could be it. I've never heard of this poll before today. It's interesting for trends. Bachmann has lost 9% in 2 weeks. That's interesting.



July 16-19, 2011
Target population U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.
Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s PollingPoint panel using sample
matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and
region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter
registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and
non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current
Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the
PollingPoint panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender,
race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an
ideology scale. The weights range from 0.5 to 5.3, with a mean of one and a
standard deviation of 0.79.
Number of respondents 1000
Margin of error 4% (adjusted for weighting)
Survey mode Web-based interviews
Questions not reported 23 questions not reported.

so respondents were chosen from their panel. How do people get onto their panel becomes the next question? I'm wondering if this is kind of like those Zogby polls, with a self selected respondent group.

ord33
07-21-2011, 08:58 PM
well, if D's and I's are asked

http://cdn.yougov.com/downloads/releases/econ/20110716_econTabReport.pdf

detailed crosstabs on Obama vs Paul also of note

see question 38

That entire poll is fascinating! It was very interesting reading about the debt ceiling questions. A lot of information to be gathered there for sure!