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Agorism
07-13-2011, 08:10 PM
PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Mason-Dixon)


(ARG had Paul at 14% in Iowa yesterday so who knows)


PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Mason-Dixon)
Michele Bachmann 32%
Mitt Romney 29%
Tim Pawlenty 7%
Rick Santorum 6%
Ron Paul 3%
Newt Gingrich 2%
Herman Cain 1%
Jon Huntsman 0%
Gary Johnson 0%


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20110713/NEWS09/110713030/1056/

PaulConventionWV
07-13-2011, 09:26 PM
Makes absolutely no sense. One of these polls is dead wrong. I'm going to say it's way closer to the 14% we had in ARG. There's no way we lost that much support.

sailingaway
07-13-2011, 09:28 PM
No cross tabs, so we can't see who was polled. A bad one by Magellan which just came out had a clear reason -- they only polled Republicans, so missed Ron's support with independents, entirely.

Uriah
07-13-2011, 09:32 PM
Not every poll will be accurate. There will be statistical outliers. Knock off the extremes and take an average of reputable polls and you'll end up in the ball park.

sailingaway
07-13-2011, 09:35 PM
Not every poll will be accurate. There will be statistical outliers. Knock off the extremes and take an average of reputable polls and you'll end up in the ball park.

To be honest, I've never seen more across the spectrum polls than I have this election cycle.... It is as if polls had hit a sort of Bermuda Triangle for polls....

kah13176
07-13-2011, 09:36 PM
This poll is wrong, not only because of Paul, but there's no way Santorum/Pawlenty are that high, and there's no way Gingrich and Cain are that low.

RonPaulFanInGA
07-13-2011, 09:59 PM
Herman Cain at 1%? Either Bachmann has completely sapped his support, or this poll is garbage.

Dustancostine
07-13-2011, 10:04 PM
The last poll with Paul low was done by a Republican Establishment (as in Party guy). What I find interesting is that in all of the independent polling done, Pawlenty does really bad like 2%, but in these two polls he does well, so my conclusion would be that these are paid for by either Tpaw himself or someone trying to push him, because his numbers suck everywhere else, and no one really cares about him.

parocks
07-13-2011, 10:06 PM
U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 3 percent; former House Speaker Newt Gingrich had 2 percent; retired Georgia businessman Herman Cain had 1 percent, huntsman 0 Johnson 0

Did they only mention bachmann romney pawlenty and santorum by name, and the rest were volunteered?

There's no way that Paul, Gingrich, Cain and Huntsman would be all at their lowest. maybe 4 names and other, and if they pressed other, they'd get the other 5 names.