Predict the June 5 Money Bomb Total

[Paul4Prez]

Just under a thousand bucks a minute so far... On pace for about 1.3 million. Hopefully we'll pick up the pace....

I'll predict:

$1,776,020.12

[libertybrewcity]

Since the campaign store is live I'll give it 1 million again

[Nate-ForLiberty]

$2,748,312.73

[pauladin]

400k

[Maximilian American]

1.8 Million, I think it'll pick up very well tomorrow afternoon as people wake up and log online.

[LisaNY]

I'm surprised this isn't mentioned on Ron's facebook page. I know the last 2 were.

[libertybrewcity]

who the genius who thought it was a good idea to start the moneybomb on a saturday night/sunday morning?

[Dorfsmith]

2 Million.

[low preference guy]

$1,000,000

[pacelli]

who the genius who thought it was a good idea to start the moneybomb on a saturday night/sunday morning?

We've been doing it this way since 2007. Moneybombs are 24-hour events.

I'll predict 1.4 million.

Maybe we'll get to 2 million if Ron Paul personally plugs the fundraiser during his CNN interview later today. They say:

"Also, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas discusses fiscal policy and his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0611/56236.html#ixzz1ONAfAoF9"


So Ron invited to talk about his campaign on the date of the campaign-endorsed moneybomb? Perfect timing. Go ron go!

[UtahApocalypse]

$895,995

Its a Sunday, Its Summer, there is no historical importance tied to the date.

Prove me wrong..... beat 1M

[afwjam]

3 million

[truthdivides]

$2M

[truthdivides]

I'm surprised this isn't mentioned on Ron's facebook page. I know the last 2 were.

It was just posted a few minutes ago.

[XTreat]

2,499.999

[pacelli]

I'm noticing folks already donating from the west coast, which is great. Hopefully that will keep the $1000 / minute going into the 3am-5am eastern time zone slump.

[PaulConventionWV]

People are being way too generous. The last moneybomb had about 7k participants on facebook. This one has about 2.2k. Being generous, I say 750k. Hopefully at least that. This moneybomb just wasn't planned very well.

[Nate-ForLiberty]

People are being way too generous. The last moneybomb had about 7k participants on facebook. This one has about 2.2k. Being generous, I say 750k. Hopefully at least that. This moneybomb just wasn't planned very well.

no it wasn't. However, the campaign has been all over it with emails. And I don't know for sure, but I thought I saw talk of Ron Paul calling in his big donors for this one.

[pacelli]

People are being way too generous. The last moneybomb had about 7k participants on facebook. This one has about 2.2k. Being generous, I say 750k. Hopefully at least that. This moneybomb just wasn't planned very well.

All of that changes if Ron plugs the fundraiser and his website during his CNN interview tomorrow. If he's in it to win, this is a no-brainer. The campaign is certainly aware that this thing is no longer an internet-only event.

[Dorfsmith]

Last time people were holding off because Ron Paul was not an official candidate. I think many of them will be donating this time around.

[truthdivides]

People are being way too generous. The last moneybomb had about 7k participants on facebook. This one has about 2.2k. Being generous, I say 750k. Hopefully at least that. This moneybomb just wasn't planned very well.

The official campaign store is up now also. I think that will bring in some unexpected money.

[Shane Harris]

hopefully 1 m

[Thomas]

hopefully 2 mil since that's what the meter is at

[anaconda]

How did the dynamic of Nov. 5th & Dec. 16th, 2007 differ from today? As I recall Nov. 7th didn't have a lot of lead time. So, what circumstances do we need to get 4.2 or 6.0 million? Also, why isn't everybody who donated on those two days doing it again? In fact, shouldn't it be many more people? I was kinda thinking this should be an 8 or 10 million dollar event. But the ticker seems a little slow (I would like to see the graphs from 11/5/07 and 12/16.07 to see what the pace was in hours 1-3).

[Ex Lux lucis]

How did the dynamic of Nov. 5th & Dec. 16th, 2007 differ from today? As I recall Nov. 7th didn't have a lot of lead time. So, what circumstances do we need to get 4.2 or 6.0 million? also, why isn't everybody who donated on those two days doing it again? In fact, shouldn't it be many more people? I was kinda thinking this should be an 8 or 10 million dollar event.

One can only hope.

[dejavu22]

Eh both of those bombs had good hooks and a better economy... I remember remember the fifth of November and the 234th anniversary of the Boston tea party.

[exvanex]

$3,231,119

[Restore-America-NOW]

I'll predict a low of $700,000 and a high of $1,100,000. We didn't properly hype this one the way we did with the Debate Day Moneybomb. There is also no importance tied to this date or theme. We need to make Ready, Ames, Fire HUGE if we're going to win this thing. Start promoting it TOMORROW.

But don't worry, I'm still donating as I will every time we have an event.

[Maximilian American]

Debates boost donations, like in 2007/8. Once the debates become more regular and Ron is heard more the Moneybombs will improve significantly. I still think this MB will pick up alot tomorrow afternoon when the sleepy heads wake up and log online.

[Ex Lux lucis]

52k and counting.

[tangent4ronpaul]

who the genius who thought it was a good idea to start the moneybomb on a saturday night/sunday morning?

I think you might change your mind, say between 2-5 am EST as the lubricated brains and wallets come staggering home from the clubs :D


Debates boost donations, like in 2007/8. Once the debates become more regular and Ron is heard more the Moneybombs will improve significantly. I still think this MB will pick up alot tomorrow afternoon when the sleepy heads wake up and log online.

Agree - why didn't we do this on the 13th?

My prediction is 1.5 million

-t

[ds21089]

We're at $NAN at the moment!!

http://img851.imageshack.us/img851/152/rpbomb.png

[ronpaulordietrying]

now at 67k as of 1:49AM EST

[RP4Pres2008]

now at 67k as of 1:49AM EST

Anyone remember what we were at on the Debate Day Money Bomb at 2:00EST?

[reduen]

Slowing down a bit...? What? You mean that not everybody likes to stay up at this hour and donate to the Ron Paul Campaign?!?!?

[low preference guy]

Anyone remember what we were at on the Debate Day Money Bomb at 2:00EST?

i couldn't find a thread of that moneybomb

[Ex Lux lucis]

70,533.00 as of 2:07:55 EST

[harikaried]

$70k at 2 hours. Estimating a high 5.6% total of $1.25m and low 10% $700k.

[low preference guy]

70,533.00 as of 2:07:55 EST

debate day money bomb or this moneybomb?

[KingRobbStark]

I'm going to donate sooooooo hard.

[Ex Lux lucis]

debate day money bomb or this moneybomb?

This one sir.

74,693.93 Now, as of 2:27:41 EST

[reduen]

Well, looks like it is going to be at least another 1million dollar day so I call it a success...! Going to bed soon...

[Ex Lux lucis]

78,197.90 as of 2:52:22 AM EST.

Must go to bed now...


Exammmmmsssss

[reduen]

As long as we hit 150k by around 9am - 10am Central, we should hit another 1 million day.....!

[reduen]

Here we go folks, looks like we are still on schedule for at least 1mill...! Good morning by the way. :)

[sailingaway]

People are being way too generous. The last moneybomb had about 7k participants on facebook. This one has about 2.2k. Being generous, I say 750k. Hopefully at least that. This moneybomb just wasn't planned very well.

There was some tripping over which money bombs etc at the start. Still, a lot of us don't pledge, we just donate.

And good morning!

I don't know what it will be but I would LIKE it to be closer to $2 million than one million. I'm thinking end of quarter totals.

[pauladin]

looks like the campaign is doing google ads for the money bomb. :)

[PaulConventionWV]

There was some tripping over which money bombs etc at the start. Still, a lot of us don't pledge, we just donate.

And good morning!

I don't know what it will be but I would LIKE it to be closer to $2 million than one million. I'm thinking end of quarter totals.

That's why we should put up a little thermometer for an end of the 2nd quarter goal after today.

[IndianaPolitico]

Looks like people are just starting to wake up and donate. As of 9:18 Eastern Time, we are now at 183,300.32 and climbing rapidly!

[sailingaway]

That's why we should put up a little thermometer for an end of the 2nd quarter goal after today.

sounds good to me; we'll know more tomorrow!

[reduen]

Yep..!!, Here is where it gets fun and we can really start to tell how much we will raise for sure..!!

Again, good morning to all and may The Creator Bless to those who will accept it!!! Either way, I love you guys/gals.... :)

[JackieDan]

I say $1.5 million, maybe $2 million if the rate is going as it is.

[Shane Harris]

800k def not over 1.5m

[matt0611]

800k def not over 1.5m

I think the money bomb when Ron wasn't even running was over 750k, so this is definitely gonna be bigger than that!

I'd say 1.2-1.5 million is totally doable.

[libertarian4321]

People on this site are always pretty overconfident- they set hugely unrealistic goals, then are disappointed when those goals aren't reached.

Remember, folks, it's early June. Most people are only vaguely aware that there is a campaign for President at this point.

The hard core supporters will donate, but a lot of them may have donated big on the first one (only about a month ago).

Just don't be surprised if these crazy predictions of 3 million and 2.5 million don't come true.

At this point in 2007, Ron was lucky to raise enough in a given day to buy a Happy Meal. Even late in the summer that year, he was surprised when he got $1 million over a 1 week period.

So it's not a bad thing if we only make a few hundred thousand- we're still light years ahead of last time. In other words, don't get all pissy and give up if we don't pull in $1 million+ on every money bomb.

[sailingaway]

People on this site are always pretty overconfident- they set hugely unrealistic goals, then are disappointed when those goals aren't reached.

Remember, folks, it's early June. Most people are only vaguely aware that there is a campaign for President at this point.

The hard core supporters will donate, but a lot of them may have donated big on the first one (only about a month ago).

Just don't be surprised if these crazy predictions of 3 million and 2.5 million don't come true.

At this point in 2007, Ron was lucky to raise enough in a given day to buy a Happy Meal. Even late in the summer that year, he was surprised when he got $1 million over a 1 week period.

So it's not a bad thing if we only make a few hundred thousand- we're still light years ahead of last time. In other words, don't get all pissy and give up if we don't pull in $1 million+ on every money bomb.

That's all very nice, but it is over $200,000 already, so I think a 'few hundred thousand' would be aiming a tad low.

[PaulConventionWV]

I think the money bomb when Ron wasn't even running was over 750k, so this is definitely gonna be bigger than that!

I'd say 1.2-1.5 million is totally doable.

No, you're overestimating the difference. The campaign still hasn't picked up. Not THAT many people waited for him to declare. It's still on pace for about 800k as it is.

[tpreitzel]

Based on current projections, the total should be around $2M and my projection is based on this moneybomb receiving ~ $3k/minute from 1500 EDT until 2400 EDT ...

[sailingaway]

No, you're overestimating the difference. The campaign still hasn't picked up. Not THAT many people waited for him to declare. It's still on pace for about 800k as it is.

It was definitely a calculated policy to have more frequent, smaller money bombs early on before people in general are focusing on campaigns. But now is when he needs seed money. It will be a good boost to his quarter totals, whatever it is.

there were graphs of historic donations on threads of the last money bomb, but I couldn't find them quickly when I searched. They all followed a similar pattern, and helped to predict....although this is a Sunday, and there might be a post church bump of a different shape.

[libertarian4321]

That's all very nice, but it is over $200,000 already, so I think a 'few hundred thousand' would be aiming a tad low.

Maybe.

But it's better to predict 500-750k and be happy when we hit 900k, than to predict 3 million, then, when we raise 900k, spend the next 2 weeks 1. crying and 2. looking to assign blame- the official campaign screwed up, or Ron Paul screwed up by not mentioning it on some media appearance, or the media screwed us, or it was a conspiracy, or whatever (it happens every time).

[Nate-ForLiberty]

so far we've raised enough to fund the first 6 projects for Iowa!!

I wonder if the campaign will leave the Iowa totals the same.

[PaulConventionWV]

Hey we're doing about $1,000 a minute right now! We might get over 1mil after all!

[Michigan11]

Keep pushing, early on in the campaign we need to do all we can to get the momentum up and over the hill, the it will all sail on afterwards. Just sent out texts to other donors I know, and I will be donating again today. Post comments on youtube as well.

[pacelli]

For those asking about specifics from previous moneybombs, the graphs are somewhere on this website:

http://ronpaulgraphs.com

I just tossed in $1000.

As far as progress, at 12:00pm eastern, Ron will be one of the people interviewed on CNN's state of the nation. He is expected to talk about the economy as well as his campaign for president. I put hitting the 2M goal in Ron's hands right now-- if he mentions the moneybomb on-air (which he can since this time his campaign is officially using that language), then they will get a major boost.

I agree about the overconfidence thing. If we hit 500k, it will be a success.

[cdc482]

2 milllion

[cjm]

We're at $NAN at the moment!!

http://img851.imageshack.us/img851/152/rpbomb.png

You have to read both "NaN"s using a descending minor third.

My guess is $1,215,020.12

[reduen]

I just love it when I see others from my state donate..... Already over 300,000!

[sailingaway]

Maybe.

But it's better to predict 500-750k and be happy when we hit 900k, than to predict 3 million, then, when we raise 900k, spend the next 2 weeks 1. crying and 2. looking to assign blame- the official campaign screwed up, or Ron Paul screwed up by not mentioning it on some media appearance, or the media screwed us, or it was a conspiracy, or whatever (it happens every time).

I agree, but few is 3-5 and several sounds more like the numbers you quote, but perhaps its a regional difference in definition.

[tpreitzel]

Yeah, baby ... I just saw the ticker jump a couple of thousand dollars a pop just seconds from each other .... shades of yesteryear when the ticker was increasing 10K/minute! ;)

Is the thrill back? :)

[LibertyEagle]

It's not too late to do a little work to promote this. If people don't know about it, they're not going to donate.

[mport1]

I don't like how they have been putting a $2 million goal on these. Makes it seem like a failure if we don't get there.

[sailingaway]

It's not too late to do a little work to promote this. If people don't know about it, they're not going to donate.

This, I was tweeting, but I'll go on some forums. I donated for the Nov 5 and Dec 16 ones in 2007 solely because people I 'knew' came on another forum and told us it was ongoing.

[sailingaway]

I don't like how they have been putting a $2 million goal on these. Makes it seem like a failure if we don't get there.

Or maybe that was what he needed and the last one didn't get there. In the end, the quarter total is what will matter, except for the media on the moneybomb itself.

[Ex Lux lucis]

$399,554.92 as of 12:47:47 pm EST

[matt0611]

$400,751.54
12:44 pm est

Woooo!

[Mani]

I'm expecting 700k-1.2mil.

Im hopeful we hit a million, everything after is gravy. We need to temper expectations, these early and often bombs have a different purpose then the nov 5th and Boston tea part bombs from the last cycle. Those bombs were protests to the MSM media bias among other things. These are about funding the campaign early enough to make a difference in Iowa and the other Early states.

[SilentBull]

Wow, looks like it's picking up!

[PatriotOne]

1.5 m

[cjm]

I just saw a "Walter Block, New Orleans, LA" flash up on the ticker.

[PaulConventionWV]

I change my prediction from 800k to $1,094,258.56.

Remember it.

[sailingaway]

I'm expecting 700k-1.2mil.

Im hopeful we hit a million, everything after is gravy. We need to temper expectations, these early and often bombs have a different purpose then the nov 5th and Boston tea part bombs from the last cycle. Those bombs were protests to the MSM media bias among other things. These are about funding the campaign early enough to make a difference in Iowa and the other Early states.


this is very true.

For every couple of posts here, see if you can find a place or two to post about the moneybomb under a Ron Paul article, or youtube or especially on another forum you frequent where people know you!

[Shane Harris]

the presidents day bomb only raised 450k. it was touted as 750k but the ticker included an initial 300k from the previous week.

[sailingaway]

the presidents day bomb only raised 450k. it was touted as 750k but the ticker included an initial 300k from the previous week.

Yeah, they seem to be backing the ticker to zero instead of keeping in the total quarterly funding for this one.

[Paul4Prez]

One million dollars?

Maybe we need a "time machine", so we can go back to 2007 and find our mojo.

[tnvoter]

right now it's looking like $912,000. But I was hoping for more like $2,000,000 at the least.

Can't edit for contest!

[fearthereaperx]

Anything over 750K is good imo.. considering the Economy and all.

[sailingaway]

One million dollars?

Maybe we need a "time machine", so we can go back to 2007 and find our mojo.

We're doing them before people really tune in to the election, though, and doing them pretty much each month, and will continue to do so. I agree, I didn't know what to expect and hoped for the sky, but it is reasonable when you think about it.

[truthdivides]

$1M is a very solid number, especially for June.

[KingRobbStark]

From an Austrian perspective, I predict alot of money. :D

[tpreitzel]

Since the current rate of donations is less than 1K/minute, I suspect the final tally will be about $1.25M. Although, I expect the rate to increase soon, it won't be enough to reach $2M.

[Ex Lux lucis]

$625,848.23 as of 4:09:5 pm EST

[Michigan11]

I dono but I love moneybombs.. Half my day is watching the ticker and watching for others donation reciepts posted. And of course I'm spreading the word and texting others too! and I'm drinking a bit, yes I am having a beer

[Dorfsmith]

CNN mentioned the 2 Million figure:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/05/ron-pauls-big-cash-goal/

[2young2vote]

Less than $1,000,000. There are several reasons the first of which is time. There wasn't enough time to get the hype up. The campaign basically gave a week and that isn't even close to enough. Money bombs should be something unique and special. If the campaign is just going to abuse them then they WILL fail, as proven by today. If $6,000,000 looked like a realistic goal for today i wouldn't be making this post, but it is very obvious that the money bomb today will be just a fraction of what they were in the past.

[pacelli]

We're doing them before people really tune in to the election, though, and doing them pretty much each month, and will continue to do so. I agree, I didn't know what to expect and hoped for the sky, but it is reasonable when you think about it.

The people who max out such as llepard, some others cannot continue to do so. I'm almost halfway to maxing out. Just can't afford anymore for this one.

[exvanex]

Less than $1,000,000. There are several reasons the first of which is time. There wasn't enough time to get the hype up. The campaign basically gave a week and that isn't even close to enough. Money bombs should be something unique and special. If the campaign is just going to abuse them then they WILL fail, as proven by today. If $6,000,000 looked like a realistic goal for today i wouldn't be making this post, but it is very obvious that the money bomb today will be just a fraction of what they were in the past.

I agree. They need to do much fewer moneybombs. That way people have time to hear about it and plan for that day- then when they give, they give a good chunk as opposed to giving less because they know they are planning on contributing to future ones.

[afwjam]

I don't think you guys get it. We cant wait for 4 million in two months, we need 1 million now. Its working.
We got 1 million on debate day
we will get 1 million today
we will get 1 million on july 4th
we will get way more then a million on ready ames fire
It adds up quick and it adds up early in the campaign.
This is not about headlines, though a million dollars raised is good for headlines.
This is about raising money NOW, early in the campaign.

[sailingaway]

CNN mentioned the 2 Million figure:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/06/05/ron-pauls-big-cash-goal/

Damn. I wish they wouldn't put that up in a sense, but the number has to end somewhere....

[Michigan11]

Hey it's all good people... the more damn fun we have with these, the more people will join in.

Let's not be a bunch of damn statists!

[Lovecraftian4Paul]

We gotta consistently grow our ranks too. This is the only way to get fresh donors. Those who are capable of maxing out are done several moneybombs in.

[pacelli]

I don't think you guys get it. We cant wait for 4 million in two months, we need 1 million now. Its working.

This is about raising money NOW, early in the campaign.

Precisely. + rep!

+ rep if others agree too!!

[PaulConventionWV]

Less than $1,000,000. There are several reasons the first of which is time. There wasn't enough time to get the hype up. The campaign basically gave a week and that isn't even close to enough. Money bombs should be something unique and special. If the campaign is just going to abuse them then they WILL fail, as proven by today. If $6,000,000 looked like a realistic goal for today i wouldn't be making this post, but it is very obvious that the money bomb today will be just a fraction of what they were in the past.

Perspective, young grasshopper. It's only June. Most people don't know about the election. Yes, we didn't plan this one well, but that's definitely not the campaign's fault. The grassroots is the organizer of the moneybombs. The next one will be better, I guarantee. Also, we will definitely raise over $1mil. Just watch, you'll see.

[eduardo89]

I think we'll net $1.25 million today.

Remember to donate to the Iowa Projects page! Those donations count towards the money bomb and are guaranteed to go to Iowa. (http://iowaforronpaul.com/projects.php)

[Paul4Prez]

On pace for $1.006 million, as of 7:20 PM EDT....

[eduardo89]

I don't think you guys get it. We cant wait for 4 million in two months, we need 1 million now. Its working.
We got 1 million on debate day
we will get 1 million today
we will get 1 million on july 4th
we will get way more then a million on ready ames fire
It adds up quick and it adds up early in the campaign.
This is not about headlines, though a million dollars raised is good for headlines.
This is about raising money NOW, early in the campaign.

+1

[Ex Lux lucis]

$845,202.45 as of 8:04:15 PM EST

[Paul4Prez]

On pace for $1.006 million, as of 7:20 PM EDT....

With 4 hours to go and $845,577.56 collected, we're now on track for $1.015 million.

[eduardo89]

Let's try and fill up the County Fairs bar on the Iowa Projects page!!! (http://iowaforronpaul.com/projects.php)

Remember, donations to the Iowa page COUNT TOWARDS THE MONEY BOMB

http://i.imgur.com/X8Wl5.jpg

[Ex Lux lucis]

$888,658.14 as of 9:00:20 PM EST. Almost at 900k, after that, 1 mil is only a stone's throw away! :D

[Carehn]

Nine Hundred Grand - As of now.

[Nate-ForLiberty]

$888,658.14 as of 9:00:20 PM EST. Almost at 900k, after that, 1 mil is only a stone's throw away! :D

people who throw stones, sink ships........ :p

[Carehn]

people who throw stones, sink ships........ :p

Bitch! I killed your cat!

[Michigan11]

We're getting the eye of the tiger back


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7CaiWxKYBo

[Carehn]

Ya, he's an ass but in his day he could have taken anyone. ANYONE!


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHnL7wqtQLs

[Ex Lux lucis]

$951,794.25 as of 10:09:30 PM EST



Almost there :cool:

[Ex Lux lucis]

Did anyone else see the total reset to zero???

[Ex Lux lucis]

Did anyone else see the total reset to zero???

Nevermind...

[FriedChicken]

Did anyone else see the total reset to zero???

I've seen it do that several times today actually.

[Liberty Rebellion]

Thank you!

Thank you for you generous donation!

Amount: $100.00
Transaction ID: 289203339
Transaction date/time: 2011-06-05 21:46:29

[Michael P]

We're getting the eye of the tiger back


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7CaiWxKYBo


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuKXjbhikeU&feature=channel_video_title

[brandon]

1,032,575

[Ex Lux lucis]

Here we go.

[pdavis]

1,107,400.32

[PaulConventionWV]

1,107,400.32

Mine was $1,094,258.56. We shall see.....

[Ex Lux lucis]

Mine was $1,094,258.56. We shall see.....

$1,034,402.31 as of 11:33:56 PM EST. I'm quite confused:confused:

[Paul4Prez]

What's the official tally?

[Ex Lux lucis]

What's the official tally?

As of now:

$1,090,223.12 as of 2:12:01 AM EST

[Paul4Prez]

I change my prediction from 800k to $1,094,258.56.

Remember it.

This looks like the winning prediction. libertybrewcity and low preference guy both predicted 1 million even earlier in the day, though.

I still haven't seen the official total, but I had it at $1.059M at 9 PM PDT, which was the 24-hour mark. Any word on offline donations?

[trey4sports]

Does anyone remember how many FB RSVP's there were for this moneybomb so we can compare it to R.A.F. and come up with a good prediction?