realtonygoodwin
05-16-2011, 06:59 PM
Ron Paul. Mr. Paul’s eccentric but enthusiastic base of supporters seems to be fairly constant from state to state — somewhere around 10 percent of the electorate both in the polls and at the ballot booth. They’re also the sorts of voters who might not vote at all in a Republican primary unless they vote for Mr. Paul. If Mr. Paul were, hypothetically, to garner anything like 20 percent of the vote in Iowa, we’d be in an alternate universe where virtually anything could happen.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/16/sizing-up-iowa-without-huckabee/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/16/sizing-up-iowa-without-huckabee/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter