Who is the most popular candidate in the combined voting pools of Iowa and New Hampshire?

[Galileo Galilei]

Who is the most popular GOP candidate in the combined voting pools of Iowa and New Hampshire?

1. Romney +38.5% (60.5% favorable, 22% unfavorable)
2. Ron Paul +35% (54% favorable, 19% unfavorable)
3. Rudy Ghouliani +31.5%
4. Huckabee +30.5% (58% favorable, 27.5% unfavorable)
5. Pawlenty +26% (37.5% favorable, 11.5% unfavorable)
6. Bachmann +28%
7. Palin +20.5%
8. Newt + 15%
9. Santorum +14.5%
10. Barbour +8%
11. Daniels +4.5%
12. Cain +1%
13. Trump -0.5%
14. Huntsman -4%

Basically, for Ron Paul to win the GOP nomination, he simply needs to win the Iowa straw poll; then convert about half the people who already like him into votes; while picking up 5% to 10% more from undecideds, independents, and cross-overs.

Polling data here:

http://www.rightspeak.net/2011/04/ppp-polling-huckabee-1st-romney-2nd-in.html

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_0405513.pdf

[KramerDSP]

Bump!

[doodle]

It makes sense. Except for #3, that is weird.

Utilmately Romney and Paul seem to be the two strongest candidates in the GOP field today, in few weeks Trump, Huck, Palin should phase out.

[Galileo Galilei]

It makes sense. Except for #3, that is weird.

Utilmately Romney and Paul seem to be the two strongest candidates in the GOP field today, in few weeks Trump, Huck, Palin should phase out.

Also interesting, Ron and Romney are the top two money raising candidates as well, far exceeding the rest.

[KramerDSP]

Also interesting, Ron and Romney are the top two money raising candidates as well, far exceeding the rest.

Not if you consider that Romney used a lot of his own money back in 2007.

[Shane Harris]

politico claims huck is moving in most likely unfortunately. they think he will absorb barbours team and replace him as the southern conservative