New PPP presidential poll!

[Agorism]

Raleigh, N.C. – After placing fourth in PPP’s previous poll of Republican voters
nationwide, Mike Huckabee has surged into a solid lead in the presidential sweepstakes,
and for the first time, someone other than Ron Paul leads the bottom tier, although barely.
Huckabee has 24% to Sarah Palin’s and Mitt Romney’s 14%, Newt Gingrich’s 11%, Tim
Pawlenty’s 8%, Paul’s 7%, Mitch Daniels’ 4%, and John Thune’s 1%. In November,
Huckabee was back at 16% behind Palin’s 21%, Gingrich’s 19%, and Romney’s 18%,
and Pawlenty was tied with Paul at 5%, followed by Thune’s 3% and Daniels’ 2%. The
movement for Pawlenty is within the margin of error, but he is usually in the low single
digits in any national or state-level polls, interchangeable with Thune and Daniels.



http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_0121.pdf

[RonPaulFanInGA]

7% but sixth place with potential to fall to seventh if Mitch Daniels continues his recent rise. :(




****Note is says Paul took only 4% on their main site blog, but if you click their actual raw data, he has 7%. I think it's just a typo on their blog****


You need to read it again. They have Paul at 7% on their blog. It's Daniels at 4%.



For the first time in PPP's national polling for the 2012 Republican nomination there's a clear leader: Mike Huckabee. Huckabee's at 24% to 14% for Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney, 11% for Newt Gingrich, 8% for Tim Pawlenty, 7% for Ron Paul, 4% for Mitch Daniels, and 1% for John Thune.

[Agorism]

Or 1% more to defeat T-Paw...

[TonySutton]

Wow, Gingrich dropped 8%, Palin dropped 7% and Romney dropped 4%. I think that is a big story right there. Meanwhile Ron Paul Gained 2%.

Also if you go back 2 more months and look at the September poll you will see Huck was 21%. Honestly it appears the numbers for the top 4 are all over the place. Not sure what that means.

[erowe1]

7% but sixth place with potential to fall to seventh if Mitch Daniels continues his recent rise. :(


If Daniels keeps going up, it will only be at the expense of people other than RP (mainly Romney I'd guess). It may drop RP down to 7th, but it would also put all of those 7 candidates within a smaller spread. The more crowded the field with people who don't eat into RP's vote the better.

[sailingaway]

Their twitter during the poll said if Sarah drops out or doesn't run, more of her supporters go to Ron than to Romney, yet Ron only has 7% as a second choice, so without Sarah that is a maximum of 14% per this poll.

That is discouraging.

[TheTyke]

I find it encouraging. We're in a better position than we've ever been before, and that means closer to having a truly constitutional president than we've ever had in my lifetime. :) It will no doubt be tough, but if there is even a chance, it's worth more effort that we've expended before.

Winning polls like CPAC will continue to get us media coverage and provide small boosts. Then a well-funded, organized campaign hitting with mailers, campaign events, professional ads, endorsements, press releases will continue to boost us.

Remember that Rand was down 11% vs. Grayson when first polled, then ended up winning by 24%?? Effective grassroots and campaign activity made a 35% difference.

Edit: And Gurley L. Martin didn't even have to drop out of the race for us to get it. :P

[Cowlesy]

Do you remember polls back in August of 2007?

Ron Paul 1%/1%/0%/2% - amongst polls.

[driller80545]

Huckabee is all over the tv campaigning hard. He is one dangerous cookie in a lot of different ways.

[FSP-Rebel]

Regarding Pawlenty, he's been advertising his new book (and thus his name) all over talk radio recently. The ad has ran on Hannity and Levin (possibly Rush) every show since at least the start of the new year, likely even before. Those shows have major conservative audiences and he's being seen as an alternate to the usual suspects.

[qh4dotcom]

Poll numbers will most likely change when Donald Trump announces his run.