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Mahkato
11-23-2010, 11:26 AM
What do you all think about this?




My Reservations About the Market Economy (http://weeklysift.blogspot.com/2010/11/blessings-and-privileges.html#11222010third)

How restaurants take reservations may not seem like typical topic for the Sift, but bear with me on this. A recent article about this particular niche of the economy says something interesting about how the economy as a whole works.

OpenTable.com (http://www.opentable.com/info/aboutus.aspx) is a service that allows you to make restaurant reservations online. It claims to handle 15,000 restaurants, and though it seems concentrated on upscale restaurants in the major cities, its reach extends all the way up here to Nashua, NH. It provides reservation-tracking software to restaurants. Its web site lets prospective diners check which of their favorite restaurants have tables open, and helps travelers find restaurants in unfamiliar neighborhoods.

Diners pay nothing, and in fact get loyalty points (exchangeable for free meals) for booking with Open Table. They also get to rate restaurants and see the ratings and comments of other diners. Restaurants pay installation costs, monthly membership fees, and a fee for each reservation. The business model seems to work. Open Table went public in 2009 and (at Friday's closing price of $67.83 (http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=OPEN)) has a market capitalization of $1.6 billion. (That's a little over $100,000 per restaurant. Hmmm.)

Services like this benefit from what is called a "network effect". In other words, each user makes it more valuable for all the other users. (The standard example of a network effect is a phone system. If you're the only person on a phone network, there's nobody you can call. You want to be on the network that everybody else is on.) A small table-reservation service is quirky and has patchy coverage. But a big one has lots of restaurants, lots of ratings, lots of comments, and the resources to put all the latest bells and whistles on its web site. The more you use it, the better it gets at recommending restaurants you'll like and tailoring promotions to your tastes.

Left to their own devices, markets with a strong network effect tend toward monopoly -- one network to rule them all. As this happens, the power relationship changes: Rather than simply connecting diners to restaurants, Open Table is becoming a gatekeeper. It controls the relationship with the customer. It decides which restaurants succeed or fail.

Restauranteurs are starting to see the writing on the wall. In a post that gives a fascinating glimpse into the restaurants' side of this relationship, San Francisco restauranteur Mark Pastore asks (http://incanto.biz/2010/10/22/is-opentable-worth-it/):
Have the ascent of OpenTable and its astronomical market value resulted from delivering $1.5 [now $1.6] billion in value to its paying clients, or by cunningly diverting that value from them? What does the hegemony of OpenTable mean both for restaurants and for the dining public in the long run?

He asked a dozen of his fellow restauranteurs in SF and New York about Open Table, and found only one who was happy. The others report feeling "trapped" and one says that his payments to Open Table amount to more than he makes from his 80 hours a week spent running the restaurant.

You see, once a service approaches monopoly, the dark side of the network effect appears: When only a few restaurants had Open Table, they might imagine that it was delivering new customers to them. But if all the restaurants have it, it's just shuffling customers around. Checking Open Table might cause you to book with Amelio's rather than Antonio's, but you were going out to eat somewhere anyway, and you probably would have spent just as much money. At that point, Open Table's fees are just siphoned out of the restaurant system without providing any systemic value.

Pastore concludes:
by permitting a third party to own and control access to the customer database, restaurants have unwittingly paid while giving away one of the crown jewels of their business, their customers.And customers, by taking advantage of the short-term freebies Open Table provides, may ultimately wind up with fewer choices: If restaurants are less profitable, more will close. It's already a tough business, and anything that makes it tougher is bound to push marginally profitable restaurants over the edge.
When people defend our skewed distribution of wealth or argue that the rich should pay lower taxes, their rhetoric usually implies that the free market rewards the "productive" members of society. But when you look into markets more deeply, that's obviously false.

Think about the best restaurant meal you've ever eaten. Who should you thank for producing that experience? The master chef who perfected the recipe, the production chef who prepared your meal, the waiter/waitress who took care of you, the farmers who raised the ingredients, and even (though you probably never think about this) the cleaning staff. You might also thank the owner, who in a small restaurant was probably one or more of the people I've already listed.

But none of those people -- probably not even the owner, the "small businessman" that conservative rhetoric idolizes -- is making much money. None of them approach the wealth of Open Table's founders, or even of the investment banker who managed Open Table's IPO, or the speculators who have run up its stock price.

You see, our market economy doesn't reward producers, it rewards gatekeepers. You don't make money by building roads. You make money by finding (or creating) bottlenecks and setting up toll booths.More comments on this on Reddit. (http://www.reddit.com/r/Economics/comments/eajrd/the_open_table_service_a_simple_example/)

eugenekop
11-23-2010, 11:39 AM
But OpenTable provides a service! They let people order a table, and they probably provide a lot of interesting information about the restaurants, the menus, etc...
This is an important service, otherwise people wouldn't have used it. Also, if restaurants don't like it they can give their database to other online services that will compete with OpenTable.
Just as there are a lot of product comparison sites, there can be a lot of table reservation sites. This industry is just at the beginning. Large profits for OpenTable will definitely drive other networks to join.


Having said that, we do see for example how strong is the effect of Google on businesses. If you are not in Google search results, you don't exist. Once Google actually removed a competing company from its search results. Now this can be called monopoly, and perhaps the government should be involved to stop it. But I wouldn't jump too fast on OpenTable, unlike Google, I do think there will be competitors to OpenTable. It just takes time.

Acala
11-23-2010, 11:39 AM
The only bottlenecks that are not quickly bypassed by the market are those erected by government.

squarepusher
11-23-2010, 11:48 AM
interesting aricle thanks for the read

Seraphim
11-23-2010, 12:29 PM
Having "reservations" about a market economy is liken to saying you have reservations about air...you know...all those gases...

Every economy is a market economy. Whether it is free or state controlled is the question.

Ditto to what Acala said. Obstacles in the free market are quicker to be solved than problems created by govt intervention.

hugolp
11-23-2010, 12:30 PM
What a bunch of crap.


Left to their own devices, markets with a strong network effect tend toward monopoly -- one network to rule them all.

Just because he says it. No prove, no nothing. Just because he writes we are suppose to believe it.

Until he justifies how this happens or can happen this piece is just propaganda. Anyone can say a lot of shit as well.It does not mean its true.

StilesBC
11-23-2010, 04:59 PM
Markets do not tend toward monopoly.

As soon as a monopoly nears, managers of capital lose the ability to calculate economically. Without competition there are no market prices. So they will quickly make poor investments based on imperfect price signals. This allows for more innovative managers to exploit the inefficiencies.

Monopoly is impossible, therefore, for the same reasons that socialism is impossible (state ownership of the means of production). The only condition under which it can be maintained is through the coercive assistance of the State - either through subsidies to the monopolist or barriers to competition.

StilesBC
11-23-2010, 05:15 PM
But none of those people -- probably not even the owner, the "small businessman" that conservative rhetoric idolizes -- is making much money. None of them approach the wealth of Open Table's founders, or even of the investment banker who managed Open Table's IPO, or the speculators who have run up its stock price.

And here, the author displays a basic misunderstanding in the calculation of human action: risk.

The founders risked millions in capital, the investment banker risked a failed IPO, the speculators risked (and still do risk) substantial loss. Yet the chef, the cook, or the waitress do not risk anything.

Anti-market hacks always do this. They look at the successful businesses and cry bloody murder when their employees don't make as much as the founders. Yet they remain silent when founders fail and must pay employees regardless - until the day they are forced to close their doors.

Most people who successfully start companies have suffered numerous losses prior to. And their higher compensation is reflective of that.

I would likely agree with the author on one point, though. That is that risk should not be borne by the government or central bank to "encourage" risky activity. The investment bank should actually have to risk failure if enough of their IPOs fail. Today, they'll just get a bailout. The speculators should do the same without the knowledge that asset prices are being pumped up by the central bank and legislation.

It is the bias toward inflation that creates the excess wealth-gap - not "market economies".

TheHumblePhysicist
11-23-2010, 05:45 PM
The free market DOES have some failings, but this is not one of them. If the "monopolistic" OpenTable is losing the restaurant so much money, then why do they still sign up with them? If it is bad for the customer then why do the customers use it? To get the jump on each other? Why don't customers just go to a restaurant without OpenTable if they are worried about that?

If OpenTable were smart they would segment their markets into categories: Seafood, steakhouse, etc. Or they could sort by expense. This way there would be some diversity and competition, and their company might hold on to its patron restaurants more easily.

legion
11-24-2010, 07:18 AM
What do I think?

OpenTable's stock is obviously way overvalued.

Additionally, San Fransisco is about the only city I can think of that would actually use something like this. Maybe Dallas, too.

The rest of us, you know, actually just go to the restaurant and don't really have too many problems?

Travlyr
11-24-2010, 01:29 PM
The free market DOES have some failings
Saying it doesn't make it true. Give an example of the failing of laissez-faire free-markets.

StilesBC
11-25-2010, 06:41 PM
Saying it doesn't make it true. Give an example of the failing of laissez-faire free-markets.

Individuals and groups of individuals fail. The market doesn't. Their failure is part of the market working! Most can't seem to figure this out. Saying that, "if the market is so good, then why did these people go bankrupt?"

People start with a utopian vision of how things "are supposed to work" - nothing changes. There are no profits, no losses. Nobody goes without anything. If anything deviates from this "equilibrium" or utopia, then it is flawed.

Obviously ridiculous. But this kind of thinking is at the centre of all interventionism.