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hugolp
11-17-2010, 04:13 AM
http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2010/11/finished-goods-prices-up-43-over-last.html


The Richard "I Am Not a Crook" Nixon inspired creation, "core inflation" number, that eliminates food and energy costs from inflation calculations, fell 0.6 percent for the month of October, according to the BLS—the biggest drop since July 2006. The news media is blasting out the number far and wide to anyone who justs reads headlines.

Meanwhile back in the real world, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 0.4 percent in October, seasonally adjusted. This advance followed a 0.4 percent rise in both September and August. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 1.2 percent in October, and the crude goods index increased 4.3 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods advanced 4.3 percent for the 12 months ended October 2010.

In October, the increase in the index for finished goods can be traced to prices for finished energy goods, which moved up 3.7 percent. Over ninety percent of the October rise in energy prices can be attributed to the index for gasoline, which moved up 9.8 percent.

Looking down the road, a huge spike in food prices is headed down the highway. The index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs increased 4.2 percent in October. For the 3 months ended in October, prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs climbed 13.3%.

In a further manipulation, hiding climbing prices, Michael Berger emails me to point out that new car prices dropped 3 percent in October, according to the BLS. It was the biggest decline since July 2006. Prices of light trucks decreased 4.3 percent, the most since October 2006. But get a load of this:

Today's report included the Labor Department's valuation of quality changes in 2011 model vehicles. This means the vehicle declines are totally bogus. Prices didn't go down anywhere except on a statisticians desk at the BLS.

The decline in vehicle prices for October, according to the BLS, was completely a determination by the BLS that new vehicles were outfitted with better equipment or more options, while manufacturers kept price adjustments to a minimum. In other words, vehicle prices didn't decline. In other words, this is the month the BLS does hocus pocus "quality change adjustments".

Take out the cost of food and gasoline, play hocus pocus with auto prices (that really aren't down) and viola, inflation is deflation.

Bossobass
11-17-2010, 08:36 AM
I distinctly remember Greenspan, in the 90s, explaining to Congress (whose typical blank stares and nodding heads gave proof that they never had any clue what Greenspan was saying) that there would be a new metric for determining the rate of inflation.

He went on about houses, for example, having thermal windows, dual HVAC systems, far better electrical systems to supply modern appliance demands, etc., etc., than in the past, which is some of the cause for the higher price.

He went on describing how modern automobiles had air bags, leather vs vinyl, antilock brakes, upgraded sound systems, etc., which is some of the cause for the higher price.

I did a double take because, for the first time in my lifetime, there was an official representative of the Fed telling the truth; very basically, that the increased price of a widget is not necessarily inflation because that widget may be vastly improved vs the old widget, among other reasons for the price increase.

Alas, it was simply what the CIA calls a "Limited Hangout", in which you include a nugget or two of actual truth to sell a big lie.

Of course, the big lie was that "they" were changing the way they calculate inflation, while their chief baloney spewer (AG) sold the change by telling a partial truth. The cited articles reference to the automobile sector prices is exactly what Greenspan was announcing... a way to hide real inflation behind BS.

Enter the Tech Bubble, followed by the Housing Bubble, during which time the Fed "had inflation under control".

Nice find, and thanks for the post, Hugo.

Bosso

newbitech
11-17-2010, 08:48 AM
6 bucks for a gallon of milk, 8 bucks for a checker burger, large fries and coke.

hugolp
11-17-2010, 10:33 AM
I distinctly remember Greenspan, in the 90s, explaining to Congress (whose typical blank stares and nodding heads gave proof that they never had any clue what Greenspan was saying) that there would be a new metric for determining the rate of inflation.

He went on about houses, for example, having thermal windows, dual HVAC systems, far better electrical systems to supply modern appliance demands, etc., etc., than in the past, which is some of the cause for the higher price.

He went on describing how modern automobiles had air bags, leather vs vinyl, antilock brakes, upgraded sound systems, etc., which is some of the cause for the higher price.

I did a double take because, for the first time in my lifetime, there was an official representative of the Fed telling the truth; very basically, that the increased price of a widget is not necessarily inflation because that widget may be vastly improved vs the old widget, among other reasons for the price increase.

Alas, it was simply what the CIA calls a "Limited Hangout", in which you include a nugget or two of actual truth to sell a big lie.

Of course, the big lie was that "they" were changing the way they calculate inflation, while their chief baloney spewer (AG) sold the change by telling a partial truth. The cited articles reference to the automobile sector prices is exactly what Greenspan was announcing... a way to hide real inflation behind BS.

Enter the Tech Bubble, followed by the Housing Bubble, during which time the Fed "had inflation under control".

Nice find, and thanks for the post, Hugo.

Bosso

Yeah, but all this tricks on the CPI started under Nixon, but got serious under Reagan and since then.

Original_Intent
11-17-2010, 11:00 AM
6 bucks for a gallon of milk, 8 bucks for a checker burger, large fries and coke.

But the milk is GMO enhanced. Every sesame seed on that bun was lovingly placed and the burger now has a twelve month shelf life! :D

HOLLYWOOD
11-17-2010, 11:28 AM
There's another way the Empire of Lies mischievously hides inflation when they count, so... here's a couple of quick examples how Fascists/Corporatists do it.

quantity: One Family Bag of Lay's Potato Chips

32oz bag 30 years ago
24oz bag 20 years ago
16oz bag 10 years ago

TODAY: 11.5oz Bag of Lay's Potato Chips

BLS.Gov still counts it as one family bag of Potato Chips

Another : Package Hebrew National Low Fat Hot Dogs

8 Hot Dogs/16oz package 10 years ago
8 Hot Dogs/14oz package 5 years ago

TODAY: 7 Hot Dogs/11oz package

dannno
11-17-2010, 11:39 AM
Every sesame seed on that bun was lovingly placed

There must be some sort of sesame seed glue! Or maybe they are adhesive..