Joe Miller- Alaskan Senate seat (Waiting on results...)

[thehighwaymanq]

http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AK

Polls just closed. This one might go on for weeks with all the write in candidates and controversy. But we'll track it nevertheless!

Scenes from Election Day: Alaska (http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154103)

Currently: 0% reporting

http://community.adn.com/sites/community.adn.com/files/images/miller%20vote.preview.jpg


As the Polls Close In Alaska, Joe Miller Simultaneously Attacks / Bear Hugs the Media (http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-cohn/78887/the-polls-close-in-alaska-joe-miller-simultaneously-attacks-bear-hugs-the-m)

[LibertyBrews]

Fingers crossed, we need Miller to win this one, Rand need allies in the Senate.

[thehighwaymanq]

28% reporting???

Miller-34.2%
Write-in-39.4%
McAdams- 25.3$

[Fox McCloud]

write in is winning...lol...

[trey4sports]

Fox news released (on air) about 25% counted and 39% write in to 34% Miller


Still bullish on a Miller win, and I just don't see Write-in campaign going all the way

[Fox McCloud]

who's the write-in candidate anyway?

[Monarchist]

who's the write-in candidate anyway?

Murkowski. However this count is for all write-in candidates.

[Philhelm]

who's the write-in candidate anyway?

Isn't it Murkowski, or something like that?

[thehighwaymanq]

Murkowski. However this count is for all write-in candidates.

There was a lot of controversy with this because a Alaskan radio station told people with names close to hers to be write in candidates.

Supposedly theres a bunch of write-in candidates, hopefully Murkowski is only about 50-75% of those votes.

[Philhelm]

Murkowski. However this count is for all write-in candidates.

Let's hope not too many of those write-ins are for Murkowski.

[Monarchist]

Misa Lurkowski for Senate!!!!!

[Fox McCloud]

why is a MIller victory considered important?

[AuH20]

why is a MIller victory considered important?

You haven't heard him speak? ;)

[Fox McCloud]

You haven't heard him speak? ;)

Nope; I've only really kept up, partially, with local politics.

[Fozz]

Stop the wishful thinking, I think it is safe to assume that 95-99% of all write ins are for Murkowski.

[aGameOfThrones]

Dems:25%

Reps:34%

(All)Write-ins:40%

CNN reports...

[malkusm]

Nope; I've only really kept up, partially, with local politics.

Joe Miller is in favor of term limits, a balanced budget amendment, repeal of the 17th Amendment, and has been skeptical of American foreign policy. He defeated incumbent Senator Lisa Murkowski (R), who decided to run a write-in campaign rather than concede her seat to Miller.

[HOLLYWOOD]

Remember every write-in has to be filled out correctly.

so... there will be an audit

[Fox McCloud]

Remember every write-in has to be filled out correctly.

so... there will be an audit

will be interesting then; if the current total holds and "write-in" wins with 40%, it'd require a massive 90-91% of the write-ins to actually be for his opponent to get it.

[Esor]

Remember every write-in has to be filled out correctly.


No, they said that they will accept any name resembling Murkowski as a write-in for her. If it is close enough to figure out what they meant, it will be counted.

[Fr3shjive]

Wasnt Miller ahead in the polls leading up to the election?

[low preference guy]

Wasnt Miller ahead in the polls leading up to the election?

this is a rare and, according to same, hard to poll election.

[trey4sports]

yes, i saw the latest poll released earlier today that had him up 1 point (i believe)

[HOLLYWOOD]

No, they said that they will accept any name resembling Murkowski as a write-in for her. If it is close enough to figure out what they meant, it will be counted.

No, we already covered this under Alaska election laws... it was in detail.

If the circle is colored/filled in, it counts
If the circle is "X" it does NOT count
If the circle is "checked" it does NOT count

If the writing of the candidate is not their complete first and last name it does NOT count

If the Candidate's spelling of their name is wrong, it does NOT count.

there's a thread on this write-in stuff somewhere... I'm too tire and sick to look for it now

[FrankRep]

Write In. - 39% - 50,655
Joe Miller - 35% - 44,502

:eek:

[low preference guy]

Write In. - 39% - 50,655
Joe Miller - 35% - 44,502

:eek:

Do rural areas tend to report late? Is Miller strong there?

[Kregisen]

No, we already covered this under Alaska election laws... it was in detail.

If the circle is colored/filled in, it counts
If the circle is "X" it does NOT count
If the circle is "checked" it does NOT count

If the writing of the candidate is not their complete first and last name it does NOT count

If the Candidate's spelling of their name is wrong, it does NOT count.

there's a thread on this write-in stuff somewhere... I'm too tire and sick to look for it now

If this is true, then I think Miller is safe. If right-ins are only 4% above Miller, then virtually all of those have to be Murkowski and they have to be spelt right.....and there's no way that many people know how to spell. We're talking about Americans here.

[low preference guy]

If this is true, then I think Miller is safe. If right-ins are only 4% above Miller, then virtually all of those have to be Murkowski and they have to be spelt right.....and there's no way that many people know how to spell. We're talking about Americans here.

i think whether minor misspellings count (murcowsky?) will be decided in court

[low preference guy]

Update from HotAir (http://hotair.com/archives/2010/11/03/12-a-m-alaska-and-hawaii/):



Update: A slight narrowing now in Alaska as more precincts come in. Write-in leads by three and a half points with 256 of 438 precincts reporting. Get ready for “Hanging Chads II: Handwriting Edition” coming soon to Anchorage as every last write-in ballot is scrutinized for clear voter intent.

Update: A good point from a reader via e-mail: Miller can probably expect military ballots from overseas to break heavily in his favor given his West Point/Bronze Star pedigree. Even if he ends the night a bit behind, he’s in good shape to make up votes two weeks from now.


It looks like every vote will be counted

[LibertyEagle]

If this is true, then I think Miller is safe. If right-ins are only 4% above Miller, then virtually all of those have to be Murkowski and they have to be spelt right.....and there's no way that many people know how to spell. We're talking about Americans here.

I think you meant, spelled.

[Sola_Fide]

I think you meant, spelled.

I think he meant, shcpeeled.

[aGameOfThrones]

Write-ins: 38.8%

Miller: 35.6%

71.2% reporting.

[kkassam]

This will go on for a long time, but I predict Joe Miller will come out on top.

I base this on the fact that most people (Alaskans included) can't spell.

[Philhelm]

I think you meant, spelled.

Yet you missed "right-in". :p

[Kregisen]

I think you meant, spelled.

Dictionary.com says both spelled and spelt are correct. :D

[itshappening]

The fact that Miller is behind is BAD NEWS...

The good news is there isnt many votes in it, overseas and military returns need to come in and then you have the spelling issue so Miller can still come out on top but i dont know what odds i'd give on that

Alaskans like their pork and Lisa M shamelessly promised it so I dont even think military votes will save Miller

[AlexMerced]

I bet you a bunch of people now knowing how to write a candidate in wrote in ridiculous things like batman, I lost a class president race once to batman... BATMAN!!!

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Write-ins: 77,587 (40.2%)
Joe Miller: 67,087 (34.7%)
Scott McAdams: 46,444 (24.1%)

87.7% reporting.

So much for the democrat having a shot. Murkowski has this. It's a safe bet that almost all those write-ins are for her.

[robert9712000]

im suprised he could win the primary against her but lose to her in the main,guess the establishment came out in force for her

[RonPaulFanInGA]

im suprised he could win the primary against her but lose to her in the main,guess the establishment came out in force for her

It's really not surprising. The electorate in a primary and a general are very different. Look at the 2006 Connecticut Senate race when Lieberman lost to Lamont in the primary but won easily in the general election. Or how O'Donnell in Delaware won the primary and was crushed last night....if Mike Castle had won the GOP primary, that seat would have been a pick-up for the Republicans.

[malkusm]

There is a list of acceptable mis-spellings, submitted by Murkowski, which will be accepted as votes for her. Nothing that is NOT included on that list can be counted as a vote for her.

Additionally, since the Alaska Supreme Court ruled that voters could be given a list of write-in candidates at the polling place, a lot of write-in candidates filed last-minute, including one who filed as "Lisa M."

So, it's not a foregone conclusion, and I expect an ugly end to this. But indeed, the raw numbers aren't great for us.

[MRoCkEd]

Oh man :(

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Write-ins: 81,876 (41.0%)
Joe Miller: 68,288 (34.2%)
Scott McAdams: 47,414 (23.7%)

98.6% reporting.

[ARealConservative]

I'm impressed with the write-in candidate.

not her positions obviously, but that she pulled off such a major, major upset.

[MRoCkEd]

We need them to throw out 7% of write in ballots. I just don't see that happening.

[Indy Vidual]

I'm impressed with the write-in candidate.

not her positions obviously, but that she pulled off such a major, major upset.


We need them to throw out 7% of write in ballots. I just don't see that happening.

Is write-in an establishment person who lost in the primary? :confused:

[kkassam]

I'm really surprised by all this. Certainly an achievement if she pulls it off. More information on the write-in counting (http://www.adn.com/2010/11/02/1532963/senate-drama-could-just-be-beginning.html#ixzz14E92ShAD):


The Division of Elections has sent out more than 31,200 absentee ballots. The first batch of those, as well as questioned ballots, will be counted Nov. 9. Some absentee ballots mailed back from overseas won't be counted until Nov. 17.

Alaska's computerized voting system shows how many voters filled in the oval for a write-in candidate but not the actual name the voter wrote in. The write-in ballots are only opened to look at the name if there are more of them than votes for the leading candidate, or if the number of write-in ballots is within .5 percent of the frontrunner.

That count would begin Nov. 18 and be expected to last three days. The campaigns have been getting ready for the court challenges over "voter intent" that would be expected to follow. Minor misspellings are probably OK but simply writing "Lisa M,"; for example, could be a problem.

[K466]

This is surprising, I think this will be a long battle.