Gallup: Ron Paul draws 7% in GOP Presidential Primary; Romney ahead with 19%

[Epic]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143309/Romney-Palin-Front-GOP-Presidential-Field.aspx

Hey guys, this is mostly good news!

In a 12 way race, Ron Paul drew 7% of the GOP Presidential Primary vote. He was just 2% back of Gingrich, and 5% back of Huckabee. The leader, Romney, had just 19% of the vote.

http://sas-origin.onstreammedia.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/84vh2ke1i0k0xlybxyoxug.gif


In addition to the 12 named candidates, 1% of respondents volunteered the name of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Christie, in his first year as governor of the state, has become a prominent GOP figure, though he is not expected to run for president in 2012.

Ron Paul draws even support from conservatives and moderates.

Ron Paul performs best in the South and Midwest, while struggling in the East (just 3%). Mitt Romney has the coasts sewn up, drawing 26% and 27% in the east and west, respectively.

It's important to help Ron Paul out early:


Historically, Republicans have generally nominated the early front-runner as the party's presidential candidate. The notable exception came in the last presidential election, when Rudy Giuliani led in most of the early nomination polls but had several poor early primary or caucus showings before withdrawing from the race.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143309/Romney-Palin-Front-GOP-Presidential-Field.aspx

[wormyguy]

What's Paul + Johnson?

[Epic]

POLL TRACKER

State polls:
8% in Michigan (PPP, September 14-16 2010, 5 choices) http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CAWVMI_924.pdf
6% in California (PPP, September 14-16 2010, 5 choices) http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CAWVMI_924.pdf
6% in West Virginia (PPP, September 14-16 2010, 5 choices) http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CAWVMI_924.pdf
10% in Alaska (PPP, August 27-28 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/09/palin-2012-in-alaska.html
7% in Louisiana (PPP, August 21-22 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/08/vitter-headed-for-romp.html
7% in Illinois (PPP, August 14-15 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/08/looking-at-santorum-bid.html
8% in Pennsylvania (PPP, August 14-15 2010, 5 choices, RP gets 6% when Santorum included) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/08/looking-at-santorum-bid.html
5% in Iowa (Lohuizen for theiowarepublican.com, August 2010, 10 choices) http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/morning-fix/mike-huckabee-early-iowa-front.html?wprss=thefix
13% in New Hampshire (PPP, July 23-25 2010, 7 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/romney-continues-to-lead-in-nh.html
7% in Nevada (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
6% in Florida (PPP, July 16-18 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/2012-floridanevada-gop-numbes.html
11% in Pennsylvania (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
8% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 6 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
10% in Texas (PPP, June 19-21 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/little-support-for-perry-pres-bid.html
7% in Iowa (PPP, May 31 2010, 7 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
7% in South Carolina (PPP, May 31 2010, 6 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in Michigan (PPP, May 31 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/early-republican-numbers.html
6% in New Hampshire (Magellan, May 2010, 7 choices) http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Magellan-New-Hampshire-GOP-US-Senate-Primary-Survey-Release-0528101.pdf
10% in California (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/gingrich-looking-serious.html
9% in Colorado (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices) http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_518.pdf (PDF)
8% in North Carolina (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/looking-at-our-gop-polling.html
8% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-still-up-big.html
6% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-continues-to-lead-big.html
9% in Arizona (PPP, April 2010, 5 choices ) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/2012-gop-in-arizona.html
7% in New Hampshire (PPP, April 2010, 8 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/romney-up-big-in-new-hampshire.html

National Polls:
7% (Gallup September 2010 12 choices): http://www.gallup.com/poll/143309/Romney-Palin-Front-GOP-Presidential-Field.aspx
6% (PPP September 2010 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/09/another-tie-at-top.html
4% (PPP August 2010 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/08/republican-jumble.html
10% (CNN August 2010 9 choices): http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/08/13/cnn-poll-whos-on-top-in-hunt-for-2012-gop-nomination/
7% (PPP July 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/gingrich-leads.html
6% (PPP June 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/monthly-gop-poll.html
8% (PPP May 2010, 5 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/jumble-for-gop.html
8% (CNN April 2010, 9 choices): http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf (PDF)
11% (PPP March 2010, 4 choices) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/03/romney-leads-tight-republican-race.html
8% (CNN March 2010 9 choices) http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/03/25/rel5i.pdf (PDF)
2% (Gallup February 2010, open-ended poll) http://www.gallup.com/poll/125777/Voters-Divided-Obama-Republican-Candidate-2012.aspx

Versus Obama:
Obama(D) 42 Romney(R) 36 Paul(I) 13 (PPP August 2010) http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/08/13/cnn-poll-whos-on-top-in-hunt-for-2012-gop-nomination/http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/08/monthly-2012.html
Obama 46 Paul 36 (PPP June 2010, Paul wins indeps 46-28) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/06/obama-up-in-2012-contests.html
Obama 42 Paul 41 (Rasmussen March 2010, highlighted by Drudge) http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_barack_obama_42_ron_paul_41
Obama 46 Paul 38 (PPP November 2009) http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/monthly-2012-numbers.html

[Epic]

Liberty candidates get 8% support if you include the 1% for Gary Johnson.

I think it's a good thing if Johnson runs and then drops out before the important stuff.

[xd9fan]

The GOP is dead if Romney is the guy.............

[tangent4ronpaul]

Find another Mormon to run against Romney and split the Mormon vote, fund and campaign for them. Then offer Palin or Huck the VP slot. That should wrap it up :)

Odd that McCain wasn't on the list...

-t

[TNforPaul45]

I have a feeling that Ron is going to be tarted by both the GOP and it's tea party in a blackout campaign this time. The tea partiers are hopping for palin and the GOP is hopping for Romney.

Ugh.

Ron needs something big, something widely distributed, and he needs it fast. I don't think that Rand's win of the senate seat is going to do more than 2-3 points nationally for knowledge of Ron and his policies, unfortunately.

[Epic]

I have a feeling that Ron is going to be tarted by both the GOP and it's tea party in a blackout campaign this time. The tea partiers are hopping for palin and the GOP is hopping for Romney.

Ugh.

Ron needs something big, something widely distributed, and he needs it fast. I don't think that Rand's win of the senate seat is going to do more than 2-3 points nationally for knowledge of Ron and his policies, unfortunately.

The (hopefully upcoming) CPAC 2011 win may propel him to large moneybombs and an Iowa Straw Poll win... then who knows...

[rich34]

The (hopefully upcoming) CPAC 2011 win may propel him to large moneybombs and an Iowa Straw Poll win... then who knows...

Agreed! Folks that wasn't around last time have to realize that Ron jumped into the ring very late in the game and no one except for the diehards even knew who he was. And even after all the big moneybombs most national polls had him only at 3 percent or less. Last time the campaign had no idea how big it was going to get and really only jumped in to change the debate.

Now we got name recognition, organizations setup throughout the country, and like epic said if we can pull off a win or close second at the CPAC straw poll we're in business. I think the fact that a hell of a lot of people now no about Ron Paul if the media starts their bullshit again hopefully most will realize it and demand his share of media. I really like the enviroment and this could be as little as some think the best shot we'll ever have.

[nate895]

12% out of the lead!! We need a 5-6% swing from Romney and a 2-3% swing from Palin in order to get in the lead. We can do this with negative campaigning incredibly easy. See my thread on the subject (http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?t=261414).

[LatinsforPaul]

would she support Romney or Paul?

If she would give her full support to Ron Paul, even if she doesn't agree 100% with him just like McCain, Dr. Paul can win the GOP nomination over Romney.

[nate895]

would she support Romney or Paul?

If she would give her full support to Ron Paul, even if she doesn't agree 100% with him just like McCain, Dr. Paul can win the GOP nomination over Romney.

I doubt she'd publicly support anyone if she doesn't run, but I would be willing to bet most of her supporters would vote Paul if she doesn't.

[Kregisen]

I doubt she'd publicly support anyone if she doesn't run, but I would be willing to bet most of her supporters would vote Paul if she doesn't.

No way. A small percentage would go for Paul but by far the majority of Palin supporters would move to Romney or Huckabee or someone. (basically whoever Beck endorses....Beck and Palin supporters are one and the same)

[johnrocks]

Cool, if he can get in the low double digits going into the early debates before the first primaries and caucuses, he could really surprise a lot of people.

[nate895]

No way. A small percentage would go for Paul but by far the majority of Palin supporters would move to Romney or Huckabee or someone. (basically whoever Beck endorses....Beck and Palin supporters are one and the same)

They won't go for Romney. They didn't last time, and they won't this time. Besides, this is just another reason we need to eliminate Romney as an option for conservatives by funding a massive negative ad campaign.

[pacelli]

I'm now going to be choosing my location as somewhere in Iowa for all further polls so that RP's percentages can be higher.