RonPaulFanInGA
08-31-2010, 03:56 PM
http://www.betus.com/sports-betting/pr/pop_culture_news/betting-palin-early-favorite-republican-nomination-08-31-2010/
Political Betting Odds: To Win 2012 Republican Nomination
•Sarah Palin +250
•Mitt Romney +400
•Bobby Jindal +500
•Mike Huckabee +500
•Tim Pawlenty +1000
•Mark Sanford +1200
•Charlie Crist +1200
•David Petraeus +1500
•Newt Gingrich +1500
•Jeb Bush +2000
•John McCain +2000
•Rudolph Giuliani +1500
•Ron Paul +2000
Here’s the political betting analysis, one-by-one:
SARAH PALIN (+250 in the political betting odds) -- Yeah, she's rapidly become famous for being famous, but she is just not going to get there at the end. There's an entertainment quotient that is pretty high here, but it is a little too cartoonish to be taken seriously. In effect, she has been running for president ever since the polls were closed in November 2008, and so she's had the jump on many. But there will be better alternatives for conservatives by the time there has to be, I am reasonably assured of that.
MITT ROMNEY (+400 in the political betting odds) -- Romney has the kind of solid business background that will make him attractive to many primary voters. But man, he spent a lot of money last time around and really didn't get anywhere. That's not efficient politics. They'll still jump on him for some of his flip-flops too.
BOBBY JINDAL (+500 in the political betting odds) -- He is the proverbial "new kid on the block" when it comes to national politics; he's brilliant, and he's got a lot of people who'd like to support him. However, there's a long way to go, and he hasn't experienced a vetting process like he'll have to go through if, well, he wants to go through with it.
MIKE HUCKABEE (+500 in the political betting odds) -- I get the feeling he's the guy who's been groomed by Fox News to be the candidate since the 2008 elections. I just wonder if he's having too much fun being a TV personality; you know, the kind who DOESN'T have to make decisions on national security on a daily basis.
TIM PAWLENTY (+1000 in the political betting odds) -- There's some buzz here. Pawlenty is the guy some Republicans are hoping will strike a chord with younger voters, and at the same time galvanize some of the blue-collar types. Maybe he'll develop the wide appeal that makes him the "go-to" guy.
MARK SANFORD (+1200 in the political betting odds) -- If he does decide to enter the race in earnest (well, "earnest" may be an in appropriate word), he'll pick up some of the comic relief crumbs that are left by Palin. Although I would say, if he got elected he would revitalize an entire industry of investigative reporters who seem to be taking four years off since Barack Obama came into office.
CHARLIE CRIST (+1200 in the political betting odds) -- This won't happen for the Florida governor. Crist went independent, which means he's going to get it from both sides. He's got his hands full with a Senate race against Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican Marco Rubio, and then there is his close involvement with Ron Rothstein, a politically-connected Fort Lauderdale attorney who robbed $1 million from investors in a Ponzi scheme.
DAVID PETRAEUS (+1500 in the political betting odds) -- Well, he ain't no Eisenhower.
NEWT GINGRICH (+1500) -- Gingrich does not come across with an electric personality, but there are not too many intellectual equals in this Republican field. I'm just wondering if he isn't going to be undercut by candidates who may want to paint him as an elitist. But he certainly comes with gravitas, and may be a value at his price.
JEB BUSH (+2000 in the political betting odds) -- Yeah, this would be a logical move, but I don't know that voters wouldn't just rather put the name "Bush" in their rearview mirrors.
JOHN McCAIN (+2000) -- Too old by now. And he better concentrate on winning his Senate race.
RUDOLPH GIULIANI (+1500) -- He was in an ideal position to make a move in '08, but blew it. Not a great campaigner. Why would things be so different this time around?
RON PAUL (+2000 in the political betting odds) -- Everyone's aware of him now. Yeah, I was happy to endorse his "Campaign for Liberty" in 2008. And guess what? He wouldn't mind legalizing online sports betting (Yay!). But he'll be 77 by Election Day, and I'm thinking that his son Rand, who'll probably be a Senator come November, might have a better chance, which is to say very little chance at all. Bottom line - he's not a value, given these political betting odds.
Political Betting Odds: To Win 2012 Republican Nomination
•Sarah Palin +250
•Mitt Romney +400
•Bobby Jindal +500
•Mike Huckabee +500
•Tim Pawlenty +1000
•Mark Sanford +1200
•Charlie Crist +1200
•David Petraeus +1500
•Newt Gingrich +1500
•Jeb Bush +2000
•John McCain +2000
•Rudolph Giuliani +1500
•Ron Paul +2000
Here’s the political betting analysis, one-by-one:
SARAH PALIN (+250 in the political betting odds) -- Yeah, she's rapidly become famous for being famous, but she is just not going to get there at the end. There's an entertainment quotient that is pretty high here, but it is a little too cartoonish to be taken seriously. In effect, she has been running for president ever since the polls were closed in November 2008, and so she's had the jump on many. But there will be better alternatives for conservatives by the time there has to be, I am reasonably assured of that.
MITT ROMNEY (+400 in the political betting odds) -- Romney has the kind of solid business background that will make him attractive to many primary voters. But man, he spent a lot of money last time around and really didn't get anywhere. That's not efficient politics. They'll still jump on him for some of his flip-flops too.
BOBBY JINDAL (+500 in the political betting odds) -- He is the proverbial "new kid on the block" when it comes to national politics; he's brilliant, and he's got a lot of people who'd like to support him. However, there's a long way to go, and he hasn't experienced a vetting process like he'll have to go through if, well, he wants to go through with it.
MIKE HUCKABEE (+500 in the political betting odds) -- I get the feeling he's the guy who's been groomed by Fox News to be the candidate since the 2008 elections. I just wonder if he's having too much fun being a TV personality; you know, the kind who DOESN'T have to make decisions on national security on a daily basis.
TIM PAWLENTY (+1000 in the political betting odds) -- There's some buzz here. Pawlenty is the guy some Republicans are hoping will strike a chord with younger voters, and at the same time galvanize some of the blue-collar types. Maybe he'll develop the wide appeal that makes him the "go-to" guy.
MARK SANFORD (+1200 in the political betting odds) -- If he does decide to enter the race in earnest (well, "earnest" may be an in appropriate word), he'll pick up some of the comic relief crumbs that are left by Palin. Although I would say, if he got elected he would revitalize an entire industry of investigative reporters who seem to be taking four years off since Barack Obama came into office.
CHARLIE CRIST (+1200 in the political betting odds) -- This won't happen for the Florida governor. Crist went independent, which means he's going to get it from both sides. He's got his hands full with a Senate race against Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican Marco Rubio, and then there is his close involvement with Ron Rothstein, a politically-connected Fort Lauderdale attorney who robbed $1 million from investors in a Ponzi scheme.
DAVID PETRAEUS (+1500 in the political betting odds) -- Well, he ain't no Eisenhower.
NEWT GINGRICH (+1500) -- Gingrich does not come across with an electric personality, but there are not too many intellectual equals in this Republican field. I'm just wondering if he isn't going to be undercut by candidates who may want to paint him as an elitist. But he certainly comes with gravitas, and may be a value at his price.
JEB BUSH (+2000 in the political betting odds) -- Yeah, this would be a logical move, but I don't know that voters wouldn't just rather put the name "Bush" in their rearview mirrors.
JOHN McCAIN (+2000) -- Too old by now. And he better concentrate on winning his Senate race.
RUDOLPH GIULIANI (+1500) -- He was in an ideal position to make a move in '08, but blew it. Not a great campaigner. Why would things be so different this time around?
RON PAUL (+2000 in the political betting odds) -- Everyone's aware of him now. Yeah, I was happy to endorse his "Campaign for Liberty" in 2008. And guess what? He wouldn't mind legalizing online sports betting (Yay!). But he'll be 77 by Election Day, and I'm thinking that his son Rand, who'll probably be a Senator come November, might have a better chance, which is to say very little chance at all. Bottom line - he's not a value, given these political betting odds.