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View Full Version : Public Policy Polling VOTE for Kentucky Senate Race



TCE
08-27-2010, 02:54 PM
http:// publicpolicypolling. blogspot.com/2010/08/taking-nominations. html

Post in the comments for Kentucky Senate race since it has been two months since they've polled it and last time it was a tie. It would be nice to see where we are in the month of September as far as Non-Rasmussen polling goes.
Bergie Bergeron
08-27-2010, 03:06 PM
It would be nice to see where we are on Non-Rasmussen polling.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Kentucky,_2010#Po lling_3
TCE
08-27-2010, 03:15 PM
It would be nice to see where we are in the month of September as far as Non-Rasmussen polling goes.

Yeah...that's what I said the first time :).
libertybrewcity
08-27-2010, 03:38 PM
BUMP x A MILLION
Bergie Bergeron
08-27-2010, 06:58 PM
Important bump.
libertybrewcity
08-27-2010, 08:55 PM
Important bump.

Very important bump. It only takes a second to leave a comment. You don't have to ask for polling only in the Kentucky Senate. I mentioned they should poll CA-8, Pelosi's district!
Brett85
08-27-2010, 09:22 PM
Lol. Right, since a partisan Democrat poll is more accurate than Rasmussen, which is an independent polling organization that has been proven to be one of the most accurate election after election.
TCE
08-27-2010, 09:32 PM
Lol. Right, since a partisan Democrat poll is more accurate than Rasmussen, which is an independent polling organization that has been proven to be one of the most accurate election after election.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/06/pollster-ratings-v40-results.html

PPP is a touch better than Rasmussen, but Rasmussen is only that accurate within 4 weeks of an election. Notice how their numbers magically shift in that time frame.
sailingaway
08-27-2010, 11:20 PM
TCE, Rasmussen has been closely mirroring SUSA, which is considered the most reliable poll for Kentucky.

PPP on the other hand projects that MORE Dems will vote in KY in 2010 than did in 2008 in order to manufacture a 'tie'.

PPP is so biased, daily kos hired them as its polling company. daily kos has endorsed Rand's opponent.

Why on earth do we want to inflict them on Rand?
TCE
08-28-2010, 12:29 PM
TCE, Rasmussen has been closely mirroring SUSA, which is considered the most reliable poll for Kentucky.

PPP on the other hand projects that MORE Dems will vote in KY in 2010 than did in 2008 in order to manufacture a 'tie'.

PPP is so biased, daily kos hired them as its polling company. daily kos has endorsed Rand's opponent.

Why on earth do we want to inflict them on Rand?

Obviously PPP is a Democratic pollster, but they are much more reliable in the middle of the cycle than Rasmussen. Rasmussen tends to give candidates HUGE primary bounces, which make no sense. Rasmussen is a Republican pollster without any of the benefits and I would much rather PPP poll it. If Rand is up in a PPP poll, he is in great shape.

If we are tied again, then he is truly up a point or two. It is too hard to believe that Rand is ahead by 9 points as Rasmussen tells it.
Bergie Bergeron
08-29-2010, 09:12 AM
bump
sailingaway
08-29-2010, 09:47 AM
Obviously PPP is a Democratic pollster, but they are much more reliable in the middle of the cycle than Rasmussen. Rasmussen tends to give candidates HUGE primary bounces, which make no sense. Rasmussen is a Republican pollster without any of the benefits and I would much rather PPP poll it. If Rand is up in a PPP poll, he is in great shape.

If we are tied again, then he is truly up a point or two. It is too hard to believe that Rand is ahead by 9 points as Rasmussen tells it.

SUSA says he is up by 8. Is that hard to believe, too? And before Cn2 changed its polling methodology by throwing out the voter registration lists and calling random people, they had Rand up by 9.3% (now they have a tie, but with 'randomly called' people who SAY they are likely voters.)

Why is it so hard to believe?

My own opinion is all the stuff about Rasmussen only being correct end of cycle caused Rasmussen to become more careful midcycle. Remember they had Rand up something like 20 pts right after the primary just before that analysis of their polls made headlines. Other polls stayed consistent with pre primary polling, but now Rasmussen is consistent with them. (But not PPP which is WAY biased Dem.)