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View Full Version : Both Rudy and Paul continue to go up in the prediction markets



terlinguatx
10-15-2007, 12:31 PM
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dude58677
10-15-2007, 12:38 PM
The prediction markets at intrade.com are a better gauge than any poll of the candidates national support. Rudy stands at 41% and Paul is at 7.3%. Obviously his support is much greater than the 2% the "legit" polls give him

It isn't 7.3 percent it is 7.3 dollars a share.
RonPaul_Has_2_first_names
10-15-2007, 12:45 PM
It isn't 7.3 percent it is 7.3 dollars a share.

Yep which puts pauls support probably at around 3% if translated to polls, right?
mwkaufman
10-15-2007, 12:47 PM
Yep which puts pauls support probably at around 3% if translated to polls, right?

Are these posts both a level of some sort? 7.3 dollars/share = 7.3% of the time Ron wins the GOP nomination.
terlinguatx
10-15-2007, 12:48 PM
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terlinguatx
10-15-2007, 12:52 PM
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runderwo
10-15-2007, 01:07 PM
Intrade is insurance for your maximum RP donation.
It is very cool.
If everybody maxed out and covered their donation on Intrade at the currently low rates, RP would have the nomination without a doubt.