Working Poor
07-17-2010, 10:31 AM
I saw this article while @ newsvine this morning thought I would let you see it.
I have had a theory for a little while now at what the impact of the Tea Party is going to have on the Right wing, that is to say all those that consider themselves right of center, and America as a whole. Ever since they emerged there has been no doubt that the Tea Party has been a fringe element. Some wish to dispute this claim but when the numbers of those in the actual Tea Party are counted up and their views polled they show that they are on the far right of the political spectrum. Over the past year and a half the media has had an intense infatuation with the Tea Party expressing their views on TV more so than that of the average mainstream conservative. This has only increased with time and more and more the right wing of the American public has become polarized.
This leaves the moderate conservative without a voice, without representation if you will. It has created a vacuum for that political view within the country. No one has yet to fill that void but within the next year or so it will begin to materialize. The GOP itself has catered to the Tea Party, embracing the 9/12 movement, jeering on the crowds at the town hall meetings, holding up the Gadsden Flag, Don't Tread on Me, and calling our President a socialist, a tyrant, etc. They have been trying to rile up the base in order to take back their country, as they say.
Yet, some GOPers are standing back. One such is Lindsey Graham of SC. When confronted by the Tea Partiers screaming we want our country back, he responded saying, "and what are you going to do with it, once you take your country back?" Apparently, there was a dead silence. This party is based on emotional frustration of the government. They feel they have lost their voice, their representation. In truth they have, just not to whom they think. Special interests have taken over Washington D.C. en mass. You can see evidence of this in the health care reform debates, and in financial reform. The amount of lobbyists sent to our nation's capitol was the largest seen in history this year. That is usually a good sign of change, however this year it got watered down due to the immense influence by the special interests.
With the looming 2010 mid-term elections, the right wing has a very active base. The Tea Party is gaining speed all the time while the moderate GOP is trying to catch it's footing. Once they catch an issue, they will be off running. The problem is, they are running two different races. The Tea Party's platform is ambiguous at best. They mainly have talking points that can be dashed with one or two fact checks or a few successive civil debates. This is apparent from their hypocrisy in the health care debate. Many elderly (60+) in the Tea Party would hold signs that stated No Socialist Health Care. Right next to it on the same sign would be Hands Off My Medicare. This has been exploited time and time again by the political left and is easy pickings. Yet it shows what the Tea Party really stands for, discontent with their government. The moderate GOP does have discontent with their government, but not in the same emotional manner that the Tea Party exhibits.
With the special election in New York, the Tea Party ran it's own candidate pulling in groups from around the country and national figures. Some of these were Freedom Works, Americans For Prosperity, Dick Armey, and Sarah Palin. These individuals and groups propelled Doug Hoffman over the GOP candidate, Dede Scozzafava causing her to quit not a week or two before the primary. In doing so she put her weight behind the democrat in the race, Bill Owens. This action caused the election to swing in Owens' favor putting him in the house of representatives, and a member of the U.S. Congress.
This is just a microcosm of what things are to come. The Tea Party represents a brand of conservatism that is solely based on emotional discontent with the government. It thrives on the passions of the people but does not have one clear unique vision. When asked about party platforms all they give are platitudes. They have a strong base however in the discontented with the lack of government action for the people and for the special interests. This has caused the Tea Party to form over the past 20-30 years and finally spring up when the situation is ripe, President Barack Obama's election.
The NY-23 special election is a window in to what the possible outcome may be for the Tea Party. With as it stands now the Tea Party and GOP are one united entity. However, why then are there Tea Party candidates running against the GOP in primaries? There is a clear crevice that is forming between the two entities that have been embraced by both. The issue is taking back their country and bringing the power back to the GOP, and the people. The Tea Party views many in congress as corrupt, and they are. They want to throw the bums out. What the GOP is hoping is that means the democratic majority, not them. What they are finding is a different story.
Come this November the ballots across the US will be a little different than what they have been in the past. There may be a few Tea Party candidates in the race instead of the GOP. These are polarized figures, such as Sharon Angle, who can make it on a small time local or state government level. When they come out into the full view of the complete American public however, that is a different story. Sharon Angle has been seen literally running away from reports when being asked questions. Using phrases such as "God's calling" in referencing her political campaign against Harry Reid. She has made some outlandish remarks about abortion rights, and in the case of rape or incest calling that pregnancy, "God's plan". To the minority on the far right, this is fine. But to the majority of American's this is Clarrence Darrow being questioned on the witness stand by William Jennings Bryan in the Scopes Monkey Trial. Instead of Bible literalism, Jonah actually being eaten by a whale, we have a politically religious ideology in which flies in the face of most Americans.
The Tea Party candidates will be hammered by the political machine of the democrats, exposing every radical view such as they did with Rand Paul. The small time politics that they have been accustomed to playing will be immediately clear, when they get hammered by the "big boys". Except in extremely right leaning districts, most of these candidates will lose. I would put at most them winning 33% of the time. They will be viewed as unelectable. Meanwhile the GOP will run its moderate or conservative candidate that appeals to the base and the middle ground. The GOP machine will fight tooth and nail and probably end up winning at least half if not up to 66% of these races depending on the make up of the district.
In the end the GOP and Tea Party combined will not take back the Senate and doubtfully take back the House of Representatives. This will create a divide between the two parties that they have never had to encounter before. The Tea Party will view the GOP as insiders and Big Washington Government. They will begin to vocally show their displeasure and the media war will begin. Meanwhile the GOP will view the Tea Party as unelectable and begin to cast them out as much as possible. The national icons sch as Sarah Palin, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, will all have to pick sides. The Tea Party may even change it's name to lose the noteriety that it gained with it's racist comments as well as some of it's less intelligent placards (misspelled, improper english, socialism and nazism and marxism called the same, etc etc). All of this will be an image job and to dispel the GOP from their ranks. The GOP will redefine itself as the moderate middle ground party opposed to the fringes on both sides of the political spectrum. This will happen at one of two points, within the first three months after the mid-term elections. Or at the 2011 GOP convention in Tampa, FL. There could be some violence down there so please be careful.
This sounds all too familiar to me, and hopefully to American's with a little historical knowledge. The only real difference is this time the incumbent's party would split not the minority power. The GOP back in 1910 began to unravel a little bit. A formidably business minded party William Taft was beginning to align himself with the big corporations of the day. While he was busting them up at an unprecedented rate, he also choose which ones he did or did not in order to embolden certain industries while crippling others. When Teddy Roosevelt got back from Safari he saw this connection and began to run for a third time. He did so on a progressive platform when the GOP picked Taft at the GOP national convention. He created the Bull-Moose party.
This party had a large proportion of the GOP electorate and crippled any chances that the GOP had winning that Presidential election. Taft and Roosevelt split the GOP votes and Wilson, who probably would have not won on his own merit, took the Presidency with open arms. It is a stark resemblance to what we see today with the Tea Party and the GOP. Ironically the election that propelled Wilson into the white house due to the split of the GOP was 1912; 100 years on the dot from our next Presidential election.
The Tea Party will run it's candidates (my prediction Gingrich and Palin), and the GOP theirs (Romney and Bob McDonnell) and they will split the GOP right down the middle. President Barack Obama wins his second term without much of a fight. He moves on to his second term with an overwhelming majority in the senate and house once again. History repeats itself, or so they say. I have never been a believer in this. Napoleon cannot come back and invade Russia again, it is physically impossible. However the stunning similarities between that of the 1912 election and the possibility of the 2012 make up is one that can hardly be ignored
http://onevoiceamongmany.newsvine.com/_news/2010/07/16/4691657-the-tea-party-and-the-gops-divorce-the-century-cycle-?last=1279364000&threadId=1016056&sp=0&pc=25#last_1
I have had a theory for a little while now at what the impact of the Tea Party is going to have on the Right wing, that is to say all those that consider themselves right of center, and America as a whole. Ever since they emerged there has been no doubt that the Tea Party has been a fringe element. Some wish to dispute this claim but when the numbers of those in the actual Tea Party are counted up and their views polled they show that they are on the far right of the political spectrum. Over the past year and a half the media has had an intense infatuation with the Tea Party expressing their views on TV more so than that of the average mainstream conservative. This has only increased with time and more and more the right wing of the American public has become polarized.
This leaves the moderate conservative without a voice, without representation if you will. It has created a vacuum for that political view within the country. No one has yet to fill that void but within the next year or so it will begin to materialize. The GOP itself has catered to the Tea Party, embracing the 9/12 movement, jeering on the crowds at the town hall meetings, holding up the Gadsden Flag, Don't Tread on Me, and calling our President a socialist, a tyrant, etc. They have been trying to rile up the base in order to take back their country, as they say.
Yet, some GOPers are standing back. One such is Lindsey Graham of SC. When confronted by the Tea Partiers screaming we want our country back, he responded saying, "and what are you going to do with it, once you take your country back?" Apparently, there was a dead silence. This party is based on emotional frustration of the government. They feel they have lost their voice, their representation. In truth they have, just not to whom they think. Special interests have taken over Washington D.C. en mass. You can see evidence of this in the health care reform debates, and in financial reform. The amount of lobbyists sent to our nation's capitol was the largest seen in history this year. That is usually a good sign of change, however this year it got watered down due to the immense influence by the special interests.
With the looming 2010 mid-term elections, the right wing has a very active base. The Tea Party is gaining speed all the time while the moderate GOP is trying to catch it's footing. Once they catch an issue, they will be off running. The problem is, they are running two different races. The Tea Party's platform is ambiguous at best. They mainly have talking points that can be dashed with one or two fact checks or a few successive civil debates. This is apparent from their hypocrisy in the health care debate. Many elderly (60+) in the Tea Party would hold signs that stated No Socialist Health Care. Right next to it on the same sign would be Hands Off My Medicare. This has been exploited time and time again by the political left and is easy pickings. Yet it shows what the Tea Party really stands for, discontent with their government. The moderate GOP does have discontent with their government, but not in the same emotional manner that the Tea Party exhibits.
With the special election in New York, the Tea Party ran it's own candidate pulling in groups from around the country and national figures. Some of these were Freedom Works, Americans For Prosperity, Dick Armey, and Sarah Palin. These individuals and groups propelled Doug Hoffman over the GOP candidate, Dede Scozzafava causing her to quit not a week or two before the primary. In doing so she put her weight behind the democrat in the race, Bill Owens. This action caused the election to swing in Owens' favor putting him in the house of representatives, and a member of the U.S. Congress.
This is just a microcosm of what things are to come. The Tea Party represents a brand of conservatism that is solely based on emotional discontent with the government. It thrives on the passions of the people but does not have one clear unique vision. When asked about party platforms all they give are platitudes. They have a strong base however in the discontented with the lack of government action for the people and for the special interests. This has caused the Tea Party to form over the past 20-30 years and finally spring up when the situation is ripe, President Barack Obama's election.
The NY-23 special election is a window in to what the possible outcome may be for the Tea Party. With as it stands now the Tea Party and GOP are one united entity. However, why then are there Tea Party candidates running against the GOP in primaries? There is a clear crevice that is forming between the two entities that have been embraced by both. The issue is taking back their country and bringing the power back to the GOP, and the people. The Tea Party views many in congress as corrupt, and they are. They want to throw the bums out. What the GOP is hoping is that means the democratic majority, not them. What they are finding is a different story.
Come this November the ballots across the US will be a little different than what they have been in the past. There may be a few Tea Party candidates in the race instead of the GOP. These are polarized figures, such as Sharon Angle, who can make it on a small time local or state government level. When they come out into the full view of the complete American public however, that is a different story. Sharon Angle has been seen literally running away from reports when being asked questions. Using phrases such as "God's calling" in referencing her political campaign against Harry Reid. She has made some outlandish remarks about abortion rights, and in the case of rape or incest calling that pregnancy, "God's plan". To the minority on the far right, this is fine. But to the majority of American's this is Clarrence Darrow being questioned on the witness stand by William Jennings Bryan in the Scopes Monkey Trial. Instead of Bible literalism, Jonah actually being eaten by a whale, we have a politically religious ideology in which flies in the face of most Americans.
The Tea Party candidates will be hammered by the political machine of the democrats, exposing every radical view such as they did with Rand Paul. The small time politics that they have been accustomed to playing will be immediately clear, when they get hammered by the "big boys". Except in extremely right leaning districts, most of these candidates will lose. I would put at most them winning 33% of the time. They will be viewed as unelectable. Meanwhile the GOP will run its moderate or conservative candidate that appeals to the base and the middle ground. The GOP machine will fight tooth and nail and probably end up winning at least half if not up to 66% of these races depending on the make up of the district.
In the end the GOP and Tea Party combined will not take back the Senate and doubtfully take back the House of Representatives. This will create a divide between the two parties that they have never had to encounter before. The Tea Party will view the GOP as insiders and Big Washington Government. They will begin to vocally show their displeasure and the media war will begin. Meanwhile the GOP will view the Tea Party as unelectable and begin to cast them out as much as possible. The national icons sch as Sarah Palin, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, will all have to pick sides. The Tea Party may even change it's name to lose the noteriety that it gained with it's racist comments as well as some of it's less intelligent placards (misspelled, improper english, socialism and nazism and marxism called the same, etc etc). All of this will be an image job and to dispel the GOP from their ranks. The GOP will redefine itself as the moderate middle ground party opposed to the fringes on both sides of the political spectrum. This will happen at one of two points, within the first three months after the mid-term elections. Or at the 2011 GOP convention in Tampa, FL. There could be some violence down there so please be careful.
This sounds all too familiar to me, and hopefully to American's with a little historical knowledge. The only real difference is this time the incumbent's party would split not the minority power. The GOP back in 1910 began to unravel a little bit. A formidably business minded party William Taft was beginning to align himself with the big corporations of the day. While he was busting them up at an unprecedented rate, he also choose which ones he did or did not in order to embolden certain industries while crippling others. When Teddy Roosevelt got back from Safari he saw this connection and began to run for a third time. He did so on a progressive platform when the GOP picked Taft at the GOP national convention. He created the Bull-Moose party.
This party had a large proportion of the GOP electorate and crippled any chances that the GOP had winning that Presidential election. Taft and Roosevelt split the GOP votes and Wilson, who probably would have not won on his own merit, took the Presidency with open arms. It is a stark resemblance to what we see today with the Tea Party and the GOP. Ironically the election that propelled Wilson into the white house due to the split of the GOP was 1912; 100 years on the dot from our next Presidential election.
The Tea Party will run it's candidates (my prediction Gingrich and Palin), and the GOP theirs (Romney and Bob McDonnell) and they will split the GOP right down the middle. President Barack Obama wins his second term without much of a fight. He moves on to his second term with an overwhelming majority in the senate and house once again. History repeats itself, or so they say. I have never been a believer in this. Napoleon cannot come back and invade Russia again, it is physically impossible. However the stunning similarities between that of the 1912 election and the possibility of the 2012 make up is one that can hardly be ignored
http://onevoiceamongmany.newsvine.com/_news/2010/07/16/4691657-the-tea-party-and-the-gops-divorce-the-century-cycle-?last=1279364000&threadId=1016056&sp=0&pc=25#last_1