Magellan New Hampshire GOP Primary Survey (05/28/10)

[Agorism]

http://www.magellanstrategies.com/index.php/tag/new-hampshire-republican-primary



Mitt Romney 40%
Newt Gingrich 16%
Sarah Palin 11%
Mike Huckabee 10%
Ron Paul 6%
Tim Pawlenty 5%

[libertythor]

WTF :mad:

[dr. hfn]

wat the flying fuk!

[low preference guy]

Walter Williams 2012

[0zzy]

WTF :mad:

did you...did you think Ron was going to win? :\

[libertythor]

did you...did you think Ron was going to win? :\

Of course not right off the bat, but I expected him to at least get 8-12% based on past performance there. He is pulling 10% right now in CA.

[specsaregood]

NH sucks.

[MRoCkEd]

Free state my ass!

[libertythor]

NH sucks.

I wouldn't go that far, but it appears that the influx of Boston people into the southern part of the state has tarnished its "Live Free or Die" ambient.

[dr. hfn]

Fsp fail! >:{

[low preference guy]

We need a new face. Ron won't be able to survive the coming newsletter controversy if he runs. Let's draft Walter Williams. He has about the same message and is less controversial.

[teamrican1]

New Hampshire is not, and will never be a good state for us. Barry Goldwater lost there. And since then, it's become about 100 times more socialist. If Ron runs in 2012, he should just skip the state.

[libertythor]

We need a new face. Ron won't be able to survive the coming newsletter controversy if he runs. Let's draft Walter Williams. He has about the same message and is less controversial.

A serious effort needs to be made now to draft him. I would back a Williams/Paul ticket.

[Agorism]

I think Ron is the only candidate who would not compromise if in the WH. In fact the entire world could be melting down and it probably wouldn't matter to him.

That's why he's still the best choice.

[low preference guy]

I think Ron is the only candidate who would not compromise if in the WH. In fact the entire world could be melting down and it probably wouldn't matter to him.

That's why he's still the best choice.

Do you think he'll survive a week long attack based on the news letters that starts one week before the Republican Primary? I don't believe so. On the other hand, they've got nothing on Walter Williams. He already expressed his admiration for Ron Paul, repeatedly, and has about the same message and might choose him as VP.

Did you listen to his show Tuesday? He criticized Rand for not going further and not defending his position more aggressively!

[tremendoustie]

Fsp fail! >:{


I'll post the same thing I did a month ago, on a nearly identical thread:



Dude, this baloney gets posted every time there's a NH poll. ~1000 people have moved so far. That's less than 0.1% of NH.

The point is to get activists involved in government, civdis, etc. They are already having a disproportionate effect. The point is not to import a majority.

For example, tuesday the governor signed HB1665 into law ([/URL][URL]http://www.nhliberty.org/bills/view/2010/HB1665 (http://www.nhliberty.org/bills/view/2010/HB1665)). The prime sponsor in the house, and one co-sponser, were FSP members. It eliminated all knife laws for the state of NH.

[Agorism]

I think the newsletters are a nonissue now. All the bad stuff was in the 1990-94 timeframe, and 5 of the 6 "racist" snippets were attacking MLK.

Seven years earlier Paul voted against his party and Reagan to order to support MLK day.

I'm not too concerned.

[libertybrewcity]

i thought new hampshire was liberty oriented? was happenin over there

[FSP-Rebel]

Fsp fail! >:{
The FSP isn't a short-term project, a migration of this size takes a while. That said, the vast majority of freestaters are focused on in-state activities like local/state level races or civil disobedience. Most have given up on the federal government long ago, which is why they picked up their lives and moved here.

Anyways, there's plenty of time between now and primary season.

[Agorism]

Hey Paul is only 4% behind Huckabee at least.

[Anti Federalist]

The NH GOP, as a statewide organ, is one of the most hidebound, blockheaded organizations out there.

I live there and agree with previous poster, RP should just skip the state.

[libertybrewcity]

in regards to the free state project, the website says only 817 people are in the state out around 10500 signed up. once they hit 20000 then everyone has to move there within a certain period of time.

[Epic]

State polls as of now:
6% in New Hampshire (Magellan, May 2010, 7 choices): http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Magellan-New-Hampshire-GOP-US-Senate-Primary-Survey-Release-0528101.pdf
10% in California (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/gingrich-looking-serious.html
9% in Colorado (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_518.pdf (PDF)
8% in North Carolina (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/looking-at-our-gop-polling.html
8% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-still-up-big.html
6% in Kentucky (PPP, May 2010, 5 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/paul-continues-to-lead-big.html
9% in Arizona (PPP, April 2010, 5 choices ): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/2012-gop-in-arizona.html
7% in New Hampshire (PPP, April 2010, 8 choices): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/04/romney-up-big-in-new-hampshire.html

National Polls previously:

PPP May 2010 national poll - 8% for Ron Paul - 5 way race - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/05/jumble-for-gop.html
PPP March 2010 national poll - 11% for Ron Paul - 4 way race (no Gingrich): http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/03/romney-leads-tight-republican-race.html
CNN March 2010 national poll: 8% for Ron Paul - 9 way race (w/Santorum, Pence, Barbour, Pawlenty, Gingrich): http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/04/13/rel7d.pdf (PDF)
Gallup February 2010 poll: 2% for Ron Paul (open ended poll, so it's lower): http://www.gallup.com/poll/125777/Voters-Divided-Obama-Republican-Candidate-2012.aspx

Versus Obama:
Rasmussen March 2010 poll: Obama 42 Paul 41 (highlighted by Drudge) http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_barack_obama_42_ron_paul_41
PPP November 2009 poll: Obama 46 Paul 38 http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/monthly-2012-numbers.html

[Anti Federalist]

I wouldn't go that far, but it appears that the influx of Boston people into the southern part of the state has tarnished its "Live Free or Die" ambient.

True that, not only leftist aligned democrats but even worse, spongy, wishy washy, "moderate" RINOs that love them some establishment hack like Mittens.

They are old, wealthy, neoconnish and not about to rock the boat with someone who talks crazy talk about following the constitution.

[Keith and stuff]

I wouldn't go that far, but it appears that the influx of Boston people into the southern part of the state has tarnished its "Live Free or Die" ambient.

From what I understand, that has increased the Live Free or Die stuff. Where are you getting your info from?

[BarryDonegan]

its truly ironic that people move from their lefty-fascist state to a freer state to avoid the economic devastation caused by their political mistakes, only to then push for the same failed reforms in the state that better preserved its liberties for them to enjoy.