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View Full Version : Florida's Crist failed to understand Tea Party's significance




bobbyw24
05-02-2010, 12:01 PM
By Matt Towery

Over a week ago, I reported in the Southern Political Report, a D.C.-based political website, that Republican Florida Gov. Charlie Crist definitely would run for U.S. Senate as an independent.

Many had speculated the same, but no one else in the media that I know of said it was a done deal.

Yet, most observers have understood for a while that with GOP luminaries endorsing former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio for the Republican nomination, it would prove nearly impossible for Crist to climb out of his enormous polling deficit to win the GOP primary.

Interestingly, the concept of independent candidacies this year isn’t confined to Florida. Georgia voters in November will select a replacement for term-limited Republican Gov. Sonny Perdue.

In that race, a successful businessman with no previous political resume has vowed to plunk down $2 million of his own money.
At first, he said he’d run as a Republican, but he changed his mind when he discovered that he had to sign a loyalty oath in which he’d pledge to support the party and its slate of candidates.

Now he may run as an independent.

In Britain, a quickly tumbling Labor Party and a lifeless Conservative Party are now facing a serious challenge from a third party.

It’s led by a dynamic rising star, Nick Clegg, who took command of the first major televised debate among the candidates.

We all know this will be a topsy-turvy political year. As I study my polling from across America, it appears that voter turnout is going to be very brisk, especially in Republican primaries.

As for Crist, the necessity of his running as an independent was less because of circumstances beyond his control and more a matter of his own making. When the tea party movement emerged about a year ago, Crist failed to understand its significance.

Potentially, he could have leveraged it to try to recapture support from the Florida GOP’s conservative wing.

And in recent weeks, he could have made a comeback attempt to win some of that vote by signing a bill that, among other things, would have provided more latitude to reward effective teachers and to cull the bad ones.

That was the moment of permanent separation between Crist and the Republicans.
Some polls have indicated that Crist as an independent candidate for Senate is at least within striking distance of perceived frontrunner Rubio — and may be ahead of him. But the ultimate outcome, as in Britain, likely will depend on voter intensity.

http://jacksonville.com/opinion/columnists/matt-towery/2010-05-02/story/crist-failed-understand-tea-partys-significance

Depressed Liberator
05-02-2010, 12:03 PM
Rubio is a neocon.

LibertyMage
05-02-2010, 12:48 PM
Rubio is a neocon.

This.

Slutter McGee
05-02-2010, 12:49 PM
Rubio is a neocon.

.facepalm.

Sincerely,

Slutter McGee

bobbyw24
05-02-2010, 02:19 PM
By Sean Lengell

Florida Gov. Charlie Crist on Sunday said that "primary fear" stirred up from the right wing of the Republican Party led him to withdraw from the GOP Senate primary last week and run as an independent.

The career Republican said it had become apparent in recent weeks that conservatives had rejected his moderate views and would deny the broader Florida electorate the opportunity to consider his candidacy for the U.S. Senate unless he broke from the party.

"I would emphasize that those are primary Republican voters. It's very different from the November Republican," he said on NBC's "Meet the Press."

"What's happened in our country is a lot of primary fear," the governor added. "I see people in Washington in the House or the Senate, and they're so concerned about being faced or challenged in a primary that they can't speak their true sense, their free will. They feel kind of shackled, if you will, by what the primary voters might do."

The once-popular Mr. Crist, who just a year ago was considered a shoo-in to win his party's primary and the probable winner in November's general election, is fighting for his political life. His support among Republicans began to erode almost immediately after the conservative Marco Rubio entered the race about a year ago.

Mr. Crist in recent months has fallen significantly behind Mr. Rubio in polls for the open Senate seat. Recent surveys suggest Mr. Rubio still would defeat the governor and Democratic Rep. Kendrick B. Meek in a three-way race, though the margin is much tighter.

Mr. Rubio, 38, a lawyer and former Florida House speaker, said Sunday that Mr. Crist's decision to shun his party showed that he is more concerned about his political self-preservation than about the people of Florida.

"You're never going to be able to hold him accountable to anything because his opinions are going to change based upon what polling tells him and what his political convenience tells him," Mr. Rubio said on "Fox News Sunday."

Mr. Rubio, a Miami native whose parents immigrated to the state from Cuba, has been hailed by many Florida Republicans as a better representative of the party's core values than the governor. But he will have a tough challenge attracting independents and Democrats, a skill that has propelled Mr. Crist throughout a successful political career in the Sunshine State.

Mr. Crist sidestepped the question of whether he would caucus with Republicans if he won the election.

"I will caucus with the people of Florida," he said on "Meet the Press."

When pressed by show moderator David Gregory that such a position would be almost politically impossible, Mr. Crist responded that "you have to go with your gut and your heart."

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/may/02/crist-conservatives-turned-me/

Flash
05-02-2010, 02:41 PM
There are going to be a lot of races this year where a Republican leaning third party candidate would do Democrats a lot of good. The Florida Senate race is not going to be one of them. If Charlie Crist's independent run has any impact on Kendrick Meek's chances of winning it's likely to be negative. Here are three reasons why:

-In a hypothetical three way contest last month we found Crist winning 32% of Obama voters but only 22% of McCain voters. Even before making his departure from the Republican Party a reality he was pulling more from likely Meek voters than likely Rubio voters.

-The level of support Crist starts out with from Republicans is likely to decline over the next six months. On our recent poll Crist had 18% of the GOP vote in a three way contest. 18% is the share of the Republican vote Arlen Specter got against Pat Toomey on a Quinnipiac poll immediately after his party shift. A year later he's now getting just 9% of the GOP vote. Crist seems likely to experience a similar erosion in his Republican support as the year progresses.

-45% of Democratic voters have a favorable opinion of Crist while only 29% have a favorable opinion of Meek. Compare that to 52% of Republicans with a favorable opinion of Rubio and 28% with a favorable one of Crist. If Crist is more popular with the Democrats than their candidate and less popular with the Republicans than their candidate it stands to reason he'll pull more of the Democratic vote long term. Maybe that will change down the road once Meek becomes better known but for now it's good for Crist.

Republicans are going to be angry at Crist for leaving the GOP, but it may actually be the best thing he's done for the party in months. It should help Marco Rubio's chances of getting to the Senate.

Source: http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/

Looks like Crist is going to hurt the Democrats more than anything else.