Fund-Raising Bump

[kylejack]

Whoa, sharp incline today, starting 2 or 3 hours ago. What's that all about?

http://ronpaulgraphs.com/

[kylejack]

Maybe people reading the news reports this morning? Or is there some promotion somewhere hyping donations?

[JenHarris]

Campaign sent out an email today/last night

[grfgerger]

probably the debate :)

[kylejack]

Oh I see, I got a fund-raising e-mail about 2.5 hours ago.

[dsentell]

Probably everyone is worked up this morning after fuming about the debate all night!

[Johnnybags]

No doubt in my mind he has the most donors from there or soon will. Unfortunately for us a 100 donation takes 23 to offset one donation for Rudy. Do we not have 10,000 freedom loving wealthy people left? Thats all it took for Rudy to be the so called frontrunner. 10,000 max donations.

[kylejack]

No doubt in my mind he has the most donors from there or soon will. Unfortunately for us a 100 donation takes 23 to offset one donation for Rudy. Do we not have 10,000 freedom loving wealthy people left? Thats all it took for Rudy to be the so called frontrunner. 10,000 max donations.

This works to our benefit. Our donors can donate again next paycheck. Rudy's people are tapped out.

[kylejack]

I'm crossing my fingers for this to be a $100K day. So far so good. Chart's looking nice.

[Johnnybags]

This works to our benefit. Our donors can donate again next paycheck. Rudy's people are tapped out.

but we do not have a long term left. The MSM needs to be shocked and awed, 5 million was good but if we had those 10,000 patriots donate the max along with our pittance and Pauls management of money skills we would get 100 million of attention and tons banked. The faster the better. Even 5000 at 2300 a pop + ours would scare the hell out of Rudy and waste some more of Mitts fortune. Is there not an avg of 100 well off people per state that want real change?

[margomaps]

I'm crossing my fingers for this to be a $100K day. So far so good. Chart's looking nice.

I just went to check out the chart. It went from $499k to $502k in one fell swoop. Someone just donated $2,300 methinks. :)

[BillyDkid]

but we do not have a long term left. The MSM needs to be shocked and awed, 5 million was good but if we had those 10,000 patriots donate the max along with our pittance and Pauls management of money skills we would get 100 million of attention and tons banked. The faster the better. Even 5000 at 2300 a pop + ours would scare the hell out of Rudy and waste some more of Mitts fortune. Is there not an avg of 100 well off people per state that want real change?Yes, but we have to reach those people. I donated 50 more after watching the debate after donating 50 in the morning - money, trust me, I can ill afford. If I can do that, those people who are loaded can certainly afford to max out.

[Exponent]

Does anyone else think that the # of donors chart for today looks rather conspicuously linear? As though due to the way it is grabbing data, it can only find out about so many donors per time period, but there may in fact be more donors than it shows? For example, if it is only ever showing the last five most recent donors, but there have been 10 in the last minute, five of those might never get recorded on these charts. This will definitely seem to be plausible if the $ chart goes up way faster, over a consistent period of time, than the # of donors chart.

[CasualApathy]

Does anyone else think that the # of donors chart for today looks rather conspicuously linear? As though due to the way it is grabbing data, it can only find out about so many donors per time period, but there may in fact be more donors than it shows? For example, if it is only ever showing the last five most recent donors, but there have been 10 in the last minute, five of those might never get recorded on these charts. This will definitely seem to be plausible if the $ chart goes up way faster, over a consistent period of time, than the # of donors chart.

Sounds very plausible!

[kylejack]

Does anyone else think that the # of donors chart for today looks rather conspicuously linear? As though due to the way it is grabbing data, it can only find out about so many donors per time period, but there may in fact be more donors than it shows? For example, if it is only ever showing the last five most recent donors, but there have been 10 in the last minute, five of those might never get recorded on these charts. This will definitely seem to be plausible if the $ chart goes up way faster, over a consistent period of time, than the # of donors chart.

Its going to look pretty linear right after an e-mail sent out. This is the hard data.

10/10/2007 7:36 476130 5252
10/10/2007 7:39 476497 5259
10/10/2007 7:42 476747 5262
10/10/2007 7:45 477422 5270
10/10/2007 7:48 477482 5273
10/10/2007 7:51 477637 5276
10/10/2007 7:54 477832 5280
10/10/2007 7:57 478882 5285
10/10/2007 8:00 479187 5288
10/10/2007 8:03 479842 5292
10/10/2007 8:06 480061 5297
10/10/2007 8:09 480436 5303
10/10/2007 8:12 480636 5307
10/10/2007 8:15 480741 5310
10/10/2007 8:18 482186 5317
10/10/2007 8:21 482536 5324
10/10/2007 8:24 482736 5326
10/10/2007 8:27 482979 5331
10/10/2007 8:30 483254 5335
10/10/2007 8:33 483554 5340
10/10/2007 8:36 483784 5343
10/10/2007 8:39 483809 5344
10/10/2007 8:42 484659 5350
10/10/2007 8:45 484959 5355
10/10/2007 8:48 485139 5358
10/10/2007 8:51 485274 5361
10/10/2007 8:54 485899 5368
10/10/2007 8:57 486074 5371
10/10/2007 9:00 486364 5376
10/10/2007 9:03 486664 5381
10/10/2007 9:06 486899 5388
10/10/2007 9:09 487264 5393
10/10/2007 9:12 487434 5396
10/10/2007 9:15 487494 5398
10/10/2007 9:18 487694 5402
10/10/2007 9:21 487939 5407
10/10/2007 9:24 488289 5411
10/10/2007 9:27 488539 5413
10/10/2007 9:30 489914 5420
10/10/2007 9:33 491774 5426
10/10/2007 9:36 492324 5429
10/10/2007 9:39 492744 5434
10/10/2007 9:42 492744 5434
10/10/2007 9:45 493219 5441
10/10/2007 9:48 493289 5444
10/10/2007 9:51 493424 5447
10/10/2007 9:54 494599 5451
10/10/2007 9:57 495424 5461
10/10/2007 10:00 495484 5464
10/10/2007 10:03 495879 5470
10/10/2007 10:06 496038.11 5474
10/10/2007 10:09 496238.11 5479
10/10/2007 10:12 496583.11 5486
10/10/2007 10:15 497374.11 5493
10/10/2007 10:18 497624.11 5498
10/10/2007 10:21 498024.11 5501
10/10/2007 10:24 498379.11 5506
10/10/2007 10:27 498710 5511
10/10/2007 10:30 499410 5515
10/10/2007 10:33 502044.81 5523
10/10/2007 10:36 502373.92 5527
10/10/2007 10:39 502541.68 5530
10/10/2007 10:42 503141.68 5536
10/10/2007 10:45 503451.68 5540
10/10/2007 10:48 503926.68 5544
10/10/2007 10:51 504111.68 5549
10/10/2007 10:54 504436.68 5553
10/10/2007 10:57 504866.68 5557

[jj111]

Could someone please explain to me the two lines on each of the three graphs which include the word "projection" in it?

What are the two lines, how are they generated?

http://ronpaulgraphs.com/

Full qtr. projection: Red and blue line
Projection for Q4 total: Blue and black line
Projection for October total: Blue and black line

[kylejack]

Could someone please explain to me the two lines on each of the three graphs which include the word "projection" in it?

What are the two lines, how are they generated?

http://ronpaulgraphs.com/

Full qtr. projection: Red and blue line
Projection for Q4 total: Blue and black line
Projection for October total: Blue and black line
The red line is the trend we need to be on to hit the goal. The blue is the course we're currently on. The black is time passed so far. As you can see, we need to be doing twice as well as we are doing.

The blue line on the other projections is a general trend line, and the black line is some kind of least-squares algorithm predicting that we'll end up at 4.892 million or so. One encouraging factor is that the campaign hasn't really run any fund-raising promotions yet, like the meetup fund-raiser. Also, this is just the online fund-raising, not the direct mail fund-raising. Furthemore, the end of the quarter is always more powerful than the rest of the quarter.

Still, we need to dig a lot deeper to hit the goal.

[DahuiHeeNalu]

ppl are mad about that 1 sided debate and the poll being reset they are donating so am i!