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Johnnybags
10-08-2007, 11:58 AM
Ron Paul Surging in the Polls Among Moderates

10/8/07

There is more great news for the Ron Paul campaign, not just the money he raised in the third quarter but also that this is starting to translate into real life support. Among moderates in New Hampshire, Ron Paul is in the double digits. The sample size of moderates in this poll is only 203 but is as high as some of the University polls that are reported widely in the media.
John McCain 26%
Mitt Romney 17%
Rudy Giuliani 16%
Ron Paul 10%
Fred Thompson 5%
Mike Huckabee 4%
Unsure 21%
Source

In Michigan, out of a sample size of 307, Ron Paul is sitting at 8% among moderates.
John McCain 20%
Rudy Giuliani 16%
Ron Paul 8%
Mitt Romney 6%
Fred Thompson 5%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Sam Brownback 2%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Unsure 38%
Source

This is very promising news for Ron Paul because the moderates tend to be the most Undecided of all the voters. New Hampshire (21%), Michigan (39%) so as those voters learn of Ron Paul, more gains are expected. The other item to note is that Independents in New Hampshire are allowed to vote for Ron Paul in the primaries if they wish. Thus, Ron Paul will be gaining in the polls shortly.
kylejack
10-08-2007, 12:02 PM
CITATION. Come on.
JoshLowry
10-08-2007, 12:02 PM
got a link?
Johnnybags
10-08-2007, 12:06 PM
got a link?

Good numbers with black and hispanic moderates too.

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/ron-paul-surging-in-the-polls-among-moderates.html
goRPaul
10-08-2007, 12:08 PM
Its on their front page- http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/

Ron is doing great in the state polls, and still has nowhere to go but up.
winston_blade
10-08-2007, 12:14 PM
If we could pull within 5-8% of the leader in any state, we could win that state.
speciallyblend
10-08-2007, 12:22 PM
Great Stuff,plus the article gives contact info for the ap polls that are excluding Ron Paul,someone make a post for us to call maybe???
RJB
10-08-2007, 12:40 PM
I love the high undecided numbers. Those are people who need to hear our message. As well as those who back another candidate :)
MsDoodahs
10-08-2007, 12:40 PM
:)
ghemminger
10-08-2007, 12:41 PM
This is big fricken news - has MSM gotten this yet?
kylejack
10-08-2007, 12:44 PM
This is Insider Advantage again. I'm not sure if we can trust these people. I've never heard of them.
MsDoodahs
10-08-2007, 12:45 PM
Where is that post with the info on which pollsters were most accurate?

Bradley, was that one you posted?
FreedomLover
10-08-2007, 03:09 PM
This is the same one from a couple days ago.

I'm not sure about insider advantage, i'll have to wait for a few more polls to see if this is a real trend
kylejack
10-08-2007, 03:11 PM
Where is that post with the info on which pollsters were most accurate?

Bradley, was that one you posted?

Gallup is probably the most respected. Gallup has had him at 4% nation-wide. Other big ones are Rasmussen and Zogby.

Gallup: http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=17785&pg=1

That was from September 14th - 16th. I'm eager to see the next poll they do.
stevedasbach
10-08-2007, 03:13 PM
Gallup should have a new poll out this week.
kylejack
10-08-2007, 03:18 PM
Gallup should have a new poll out this week.

Excellent. I'm thinking that if we pass 7% or so, we'll start to get some tipping from people who were supporting bigger candidates because "Ron Paul can't win". Hopefully that's when the dam will break and they all flood in. I'd also like to see some Huckabee people (who are already obviously resistant to "first-tier" candidates) re-consider and back Ron Paul.

Ultimately, though, we have to get a LOT of Republicans to change their mind on the war.
Keith
10-08-2007, 03:26 PM
If everyone who said that they would vote for him but won't because he can't win would just vote for him then I think he would win by a landslide.
cujothekitten
10-08-2007, 03:30 PM
awesome news!
Ibgamer
10-08-2007, 03:38 PM
This is so great!
Nash
10-08-2007, 03:41 PM
Up to 10% in NH and 8% in Michigan. I have no idea how the poll "Moderates" but I think this is pretty significant.

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/ron-paul-surging-in-the-polls-among-moderates.html
ButchHowdy
10-08-2007, 03:41 PM
Kewl!!

So the surge is working!
kylejack
10-08-2007, 03:42 PM
Edit: threads merged
Nash
10-08-2007, 03:43 PM
Admin please delete. I didn't see the other post. Thanks.
Lord Xar
10-08-2007, 03:56 PM
Are these moderates registered republicans?
allyinoh
10-08-2007, 03:56 PM
They have to poll a few people and have that represent the state I am assuming?

I have never been contacted nor has anyone I known so I wonder who they poll?