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View Full Version : Inferring Medina's "truther" support base from PPP poll data is flawed

johngr
02-24-2010, 03:16 AM
Because no informed "truther" is going to say that Medina is a truther.

Here's how you can extrapolate the extent of her support from truthers:

1. ask truthers if they support Slick Rick, Bailout, Medina or the liberal
2. do a general population survey on truther beliefs

Extend the "truther percentage" from the second number and multiply by the fraction of Medina support from the first.

michaelwise
02-24-2010, 03:18 PM
I suppose you could paint all liberty candidates into a 9/11 Truther Box, when you get right down to it. Neo-cons like Beck and Davis create the illusion they are for the Constitution and Liberty, when in reality, they are really just neo-con scorpions.

The Scorpion and the Fox

The Scorpion and the Fox

Here's how they sting you.
Pose a Two Dimensional question to the candidate you oppose about 9/11 and make them give you a two dimensional answer. Paint them into the 9/11 Truther Box. The problem for the candidate is, the question requires a Three Dimensional answer. The audience is fooled and looked upon as two dimensional thinkers for the most part requiring a two dimensional answer. Not all audience listeners are stupid.

Making a blanket absolute statement about a subject as complex as 9/11 indicates you are a moron and your pattern indicates two dimensional thinking.

Galileo Galilei
02-24-2010, 04:24 PM
Because no informed "truther" is going to say that Medina is a truther.

Here's how you can extrapolate the extent of her support from truthers:

1. ask truthers if they support Slick Rick, Bailout, Medina or the liberal
2. do a general population survey on truther beliefs

Extend the "truther percentage" from the second number and multiply by the fraction of Medina support from the first.

This is a good post:

1) people who don't like Medina, for example people who thi k she's a radical secessionist, are more likely to believe she's a "truther".

2) people (29%) who "don't know if she is a "truther" are among the same people (33%) who have no opinion on Medina. Obviousely Medina will poll worse among those who know little about her.