DailyKos Poll: Medina still at 17%; Leads in Very Favorables

[Epic]

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/2/10/TX/444

[Flash]

Are Daily Kos polls reliable? That one shows KBH at 30 and DM only at 17.

[Epic]

usually they are not reliable and heavily favor democrats.

[specsaregood]

And the poll was before beckgate.

[TheTyke]

PPP, which had her at 24%, was the 2nd most accurate polling firm in 2008, and also called the Massachusetts election. It's undoubtedly the most accurate one we have so far, but it was also before Beckgate.

[Galileo Galilei]

Medina is the most popular candidate according to the poll. That means her numbers should improve. Compare the last question with the first question:

FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION

PERRY 16 34 25 20 5
BAILEY HUTCHISON 17 35 21 16 11
MEDINA 20 27 21 14 18

QUESTION: If the Republican Primary for Governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED): Rick Perry, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Debra Medina
PERRY HUTCHISON MEDINA UNDECIDED
ALL 42 30 17 11

17% for Medina is less than her 'very favorables'. Medina has stronger support than KBH or Perry.

[damiengwa]

Are Daily Kos polls reliable? That one shows KBH at 30 and DM only at 17.

Poll was conducted by telephone... How many internet savvy politico's still have a land line? I have a skype number and cell number. No land line. I wouldn't answer questions if they did call. All telephone surveys will under-report our candidate.

The other criteria is likely voters. Eg, those who voted in '08 primaries. This year will have much bigger turn out. Particularly an anti-encumbent turn out. K Bailout Hutchinson is also an incumbent. This cycle is like no other. The media didn't admit Brown would take it until the very last minute, and he won handily...

Debbie is going to do very well.

[Kludge]

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