lifeasariver
06-06-2007, 01:07 PM
Most of the "mainstream media" (that is paid and owned by the all kinds of crooks that wouldn't want to see any real changes in America) say that the Ron Paul phenomenon is happening only on the web and go further to say that all the polls and blogs that show Ron Paul as being the winner in all the debates are actually skewed by spammers. As you know, CNN even took down the "who won" blog.
I have to admit that I was actually afraid that it did happen only on the web, amongst bloggers and newsgroups communities, especially after the "traditional" polls showed Ron Paul at between 1% and 2%.
But let's think about it for a minute.
The household broadband penetration in the US is over 60%. Broadband only, not taking into account the relatively large number of dial-up users.
60% means 180,000,000 users. Let's say that only 60% of these users are involved in political blogs, newsgroups and forums. That's 108,000,000. The response Ron Paul gets amongst these users is 90% positive, at least. But to be more conservative, let's say 80%. That's 86,400,000.
The number seems large, maybe the assumption that 108,000,000 read and post on political blogs, forums and polls is wrong and most likely it is.
But that's not the point. My point is that the number of people actively involved in these discussions on the web is large enough to the point that is statistically representative for the entire voting US population.
This means that a reversal from over 90% positive response in this population sample to 2% in the offline polls is mathematically impossible, in other words, the reversal has a probability very close to 0 (zero).
If this is true, who can orchestrate such a a manipulation of the polls' results, and for what purpose?
I have to admit that I was actually afraid that it did happen only on the web, amongst bloggers and newsgroups communities, especially after the "traditional" polls showed Ron Paul at between 1% and 2%.
But let's think about it for a minute.
The household broadband penetration in the US is over 60%. Broadband only, not taking into account the relatively large number of dial-up users.
60% means 180,000,000 users. Let's say that only 60% of these users are involved in political blogs, newsgroups and forums. That's 108,000,000. The response Ron Paul gets amongst these users is 90% positive, at least. But to be more conservative, let's say 80%. That's 86,400,000.
The number seems large, maybe the assumption that 108,000,000 read and post on political blogs, forums and polls is wrong and most likely it is.
But that's not the point. My point is that the number of people actively involved in these discussions on the web is large enough to the point that is statistically representative for the entire voting US population.
This means that a reversal from over 90% positive response in this population sample to 2% in the offline polls is mathematically impossible, in other words, the reversal has a probability very close to 0 (zero).
If this is true, who can orchestrate such a a manipulation of the polls' results, and for what purpose?