Washington NEWS: A Ron Paul/Tea Party Candidate Surges in Texas (Medina)

[HOLLYWOOD]

Nice articles... I notice in all of Medina's interviews and debates... she has NOT brought up that US Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson, was nominated as the #2 PORKER of 2009 with $1.65 BILLION in earmarks. Even FOX NEWS carried the coverage, in which, Barney Frank was voted #1 PORKER. I wonder why this hasn't been exposed?

http://washingtonindependent.com/76149/a-ron-paultea-party-candidate-surges-in-texas (http://washingtonindependent.com/76149/a-ron-paultea-party-candidate-surges-in-texas)

A Ron Paul/Tea Party Candidate Surges in Texas (http://washingtonindependent.com/76149/a-ron-paultea-party-candidate-surges-in-texas)

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The new Public Policy Polling numbers (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/medina-coming-on-strong.html) on the Texas gubernatorial primary have first-time candidate Debra Medina surging against Gov. Rick Perry (R-Texas) and Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Texas), from nowhere to 24 percent support.

Medina is clearly riding the wave of discontent with the Republican establishment. Among primary voters who disapprove of the job the GOP in Congress is doing she actually leads with 37% to 32% for Perry and 22% for Hutchison.
Medina owes at least some of her support to Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas), (http://blogs.chron.com/texaspolitics/archives/2009/09/ron_paul_touts.html) who has employed her on his electoral bids and with his Campaign for Liberty, and who tipped off his supporters to her candidacy in September. While the challenge Paul is facing from three Tea Party candidates reveals that the movement is much more hawkish and traditionally Republican in federal elections, the 10th Amendment argument is clearly a winner with state voters.
And how much further to the right is Medina than the other candidates? While Perry edged away from his apparent endorsement of secession at an April 15 Tea Party, Medina spoke in August at a “sovereignty or secession” rally.

YouTube - Texas Sovereignty or Secession Rally - Debra Medina (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qO4K_wmJ94&feature=player_embedded)

[rp08orbust]

Nice articles... I notice in all of Medina's interviews and debates... she has NOT brought up that US Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson, was nominated as the #2 PORKER of 2009 with $1.65 BILLION in earmarks. Even FOX NEWS carried the coverage, in which, Barney Frank was voted #1 PORKER. I wonder why this hasn't been exposed?

Maybe because Ron Paul ranks pretty high up there in the House for earmarking?

[LibertyEagle]

They make it sound like Medina is pro-secession and the reality is that she is pro-nullification, instead. She talked about this in the last debate.

[HOLLYWOOD]

At least it's PPP polling referenced as the results and not the Bias AND inaccurate NEOCON Rasmussen or Zogby polsters.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/medina-coming-on-strong.html (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/medina-coming-on-strong.html)

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Medina coming on strong (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/medina-coming-on-strong.html)


Could the Republican primary for Governor in Texas end up in a runoff between Rick Perry...and Debra Medina? Medina is coming on strong and polls now at 24%, just four points behind Kay Bailey Hutchison's 28%. Perry continues to hold a double digit advantage at 39%.

Medina is clearly riding the wave of discontent with the Republican establishment. Among primary voters who disapprove of the job the GOP in Congress is doing she actually leads with 37% to 32% for Perry and 22% for Hutchison. The problem for Medina is those folks only account for a third of the electorate and among the majority who are happy with the Republicans in Washington she's in a distant third at 17% to 48% for Perry and 27% for Hutchison. There may not end up being enough discontented Republican voters for her to move into the top two but she is nevertheless exceeding expectations.

Hutchison's issues are twofold: voters trust Washington politicians even less than usual right now and she's simply not connecting with the conservative voters who dominate a GOP primary electorate. Asked whether they have more faith in Washington politicians or Austin politicians to solve Texas' problems 78% said the state level ones to just 3% picking the national level. And while Hutchison has a commanding 49-29 lead over Perry with moderate voters, she is in last place with conservatives. Perry leads the pack at 42% followed by Medina at 25% and Hutchison at 23%. 76% of likely primary voters are conservatives to only 20% who are moderates.

Medina supporters say their second choice is Perry by a 43-39 margin over Hutchison, suggesting that if Perry does win by ten points but still end up in a runoff Hutchison's prospects for gaining ground on him are not that strong.

Hutchison actually has better approval numbers than Perry, pulling a 51/28 spread to his 50/36. But with Medina in the race the anti-Perry vote is splitting almost evenly with 46% going to Hutchison and 43% going to Medina. And in a huge shift from when PPP polled this race last February Perry is leading Hutchison 61-15 among voters who like both of them. A year ago Hutchison led 49-33 with those voters. At this point they seem to be sending a message that they'd like for both Perry and Hutchison to stay right where they are.

It'll be interesting to see if Medina continues to gain over these final three weeks- even getting to a runoff would have to be seen as a pretty big victory for the Tea Party crowd.

On the Democratic side Bill White leads with 49% to 19% for Farouk Shami and a total of 8% for the other five candidates.

Wall Street Journal Swing State Polls Chart
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_IKhPZc5iEus/SfCoMmJLh7I/AAAAAAAAAEk/Ea5AlJ78Hho/S220/Wall+Street+Chart.jpg
The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country last year. (11-6-08 WSJ)

[dr. hfn]

Email Glenn Beck about her!

[rp08orbust]

They make it sound like Medina is pro-secession and the reality is that she is pro-nullification, instead. She talked about this in the last debate.

Her speech in the video he linked to implies she'll try for sovereignty first, but if she can't have that, she'll take secession.

[HOLLYWOOD]

They make it sound like Medina is pro-secession and the reality is that she is pro-nullification, instead. She talked about this in the last debate.

Here yah go: http://washingtonindependent.com/our-team (http://washingtonindependent.com/our-team)

David Weigel, Politics Reporter

David Weigel is a reporter covering the conservative movement for The Washington Independent, and a contributing editor of Reason. His work has appeared in The American Prospect, The American Conservative, The American Spectator, The Guardian, Politico, and The Economist.

dweigel (at) washingtonindependent (dot) com