PDA

View Full Version : Polling Results for Mass Race




bkreigh
01-19-2010, 03:51 PM
hey guys remember the county by county breakdown during the primaries for each state and that crap? I was curious if anybody remembered where we found them and if they have something similar for the Senate race tonight. Would love to view that as the night goes on.

Flash
01-19-2010, 03:52 PM
http://www.politico.com/

You will have to wait until some of the results are in.

The Patriot
01-19-2010, 04:04 PM
I have family in Massachusetts, they are all democrats, and are split between Scott and Brown. One is voting for brown and two are voting for Coakley. All three voted for Obama. I think this is indicative of most families in MAssachusetts. The republican vote is solid behind brown, independents are in a majority behind Brown, and a chunk of dems(about 20-30%) are for Brown.

sarahgop
01-19-2010, 04:15 PM
suffolk university polled 3 bellweather cities today that have a 96% predictibility

Brown (55 percent) leads Coakley (40 percent) by 15 points in Gardner. Independent candidate Joseph L. Kennedy polls 2 percent, while 3 percent are undecided.
In Fitchburg, Brown (55 percent) has a 14-point lead over Coakley (41 percent), with 2 percent for Kennedy and 2 percent undecided.
Peabody voters give Brown (57 percent), a 17-point lead over Coakley (40 percent), with Kennedy polling 1 percent and 3 percent undecided.

Bruno
01-19-2010, 04:16 PM
This could be a total blowout

georgiaboy
01-19-2010, 04:17 PM
interesting numbers, sarahgop. link?

bkreigh
01-19-2010, 04:17 PM
http://www.politico.com/

You will have to wait until some of the results are in.

thanks. yeah i know ill have to wait. Figured id get the site so im not scratching and clawing when shit hits the fan. I know people will have other crap on their mind when the time comes.

sarahgop
01-19-2010, 04:19 PM
i dint know how these cities normally vote, but it does look good.

LittleLightShining
01-19-2010, 04:21 PM
Heard earlier from a man on the ground that at noon internal polling showed Brown up by 9pts and exit polls had him up by 5 (in Boston).

sarahgop
01-19-2010, 04:23 PM
interesting numbers, sarahgop. link?

http://www.suffolk.edu/research/40031.html

Bruno
01-19-2010, 04:27 PM
http://www.suffolk.edu/research/40031.html

Was that from two days ago? It says the 17th on it and the questions ask if they are going to be voting on the 19th.

sarahgop
01-19-2010, 04:28 PM
i was listening to cavuto and they said it was done today

sarahgop
01-19-2010, 04:33 PM
i may have misunderstood. more info:

The bellwether polls are designed to predict outcomes and not margins. Suffolk’s bellwether polls have been 96 percent accurate in picking straight-up winners when taken within three days of an election since 2006.

Results of the November 2006 survey in the three bellwether communities closely traced the final statewide outcome. Those 2006 results were as follows:

* Statewide: Edward M. Kennedy (D), 67 percent; Kenneth Chase (R), 29 percent; blanks, 4 percent
* Gardner: Kennedy, 68 percent; Chase, 30 percent; blanks, 3 percent
* Fitchburg: Kennedy, 67 percent; Chase, 30 percent; blanks, 4 percent
* Peabody: Kennedy, 67 percent; Chase, 29 percent; blanks, 4 percent
Party registration in the three bellwether communities largely mirrors statewide registration, with the following breakdown:

* Massachusetts statewide: Democrats, 36 percent; Republicans, 12 percent; unenrolled, 52 percent
* Gardner: Democrats, 35 percent; Republicans, 12 percent; unenrolled, 53 percent
* Fitchburg: Democrats, 34 percent; Republicans, 11 percent; unenrolled, 55 percent
* Peabody: Democrats, 35 percent; Republicans, 9 percent; unenrolled, 56 percent
__________________